I feel that, but pitching is volatile in general. I wanted Fried back for sure but I wasn't interested in paying Blake Snell or Corbin Burnes crazy money. And when you talk about that second tier of SP, we have so many arms that have the potential to put up similar numbers for a fraction of the price that you have to at least give them a chance to take those spots.
We're already locked in with:
Sale
Lopez
Schwellenbach
Strider when he's back, even if he's not 100%
Then we got:
Ian Anderson
Bryce Elder
Grant Holmes
AJ Smith-Shawver
Hurston Waldrep
Already on the 40-man, alongside a bunch of rando lottery tickets,
Then behind that, idk how much yall follow the minors, but you got guys like Hackenburg, Burkhalter, Braun, and a few more that are showing the same type of traits and progress to "come out of nowhere" next year like the Spencers did.
That's a lot of lottery tickets for really only 1.5 open spots in the rotation. It's not guaranteed, but I think that it's a pretty sure bet that 2-3 of these guys can at least be "average", which is all we really need them to be.
I don't know. Sale can fall off a cliff any time given his age. I'm not expecting him to, but I wouldn't be surprised if it happens. I think Lopez likely overachieved last year. Schwellenbach could take the next step. But the other guys listed don't give me much hope. The league figured out Elder fast. Ian Anderson can't seem to put it together. AJSS could take the next step. Grant Holmes doesn't really give me confidence. Waldrep could be good, but that's my Gator bias coming out.
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