2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread: Donald Trump wins & will return to the White House; GOP wins U.S. Senate & U.S. House

[CourtesyFlush]

Ive been seeing comments from conservatives that seem confident about the election say things like this. A quote from reddit: "The RCP "This Day In History" is telling. In 2016, it was Clinton + 1.6. In 2020, it was Biden +7.9. Today, its Trump +0.6"

Can anyone break that down for me?

 

[Piff Huxtable]

Ive been seeing comments from conservatives that seem confident about the election say things like this. A quote from reddit: "The RCP "This Day In History" is telling. In 2016, it was Clinton + 1.6. In 2020, it was Biden +7.9. Today, its Trump +0.6"

Can anyone break that down for me?

They think polls are underestimating Trump for 3rd time after 2016 and 2020

 

[BigMoneyGrip]

The early woman vote is crazy. Men could catch during Election Day but woman always vote more.

Women are 53% of the electorate.. Men ain’t catching them in voting

 

[good pups]

 

[BigMoneyGrip]

Their reputation is the on the line which is why he is hedging. He may not recover if he picks Trump or Harris and ir goes the other way.
They are all frauds

What reputation? That shyt been bushed since 2016

 

[Bleed The Freak]

I hate people like this because Trump has done and said some flagrant shyt, but this tame shyt was the straw that broke the camel's back?

Like I said in the crash-out thread, it's all fun and games until it's your ass staring at the barrel of the gun.

Unbelievable ain't it

 

[good pups]

Ive been seeing comments from conservatives that seem confident about the election say things like this. A quote from reddit: "The RCP "This Day In History" is telling. In 2016, it was Clinton + 1.6. In 2020, it was Biden +7.9. Today, its Trump +0.6"

Can anyone break that down for me?

They think polls are underestimating Trump for 3rd time after 2016 and 2020

Yeah. Most places have tried to update their polling methodology to capture the share of Trump votes they missed in 16 and 20.

At the very least the hope is he can't overperform in the same way this year because his baseline is higher. If he overperformed like in 16 or 20 he'd end up with like over 50% of the vote.

Also, it's possible that he's narrowing the margins in big blue states like CA and NY.

 

[XannyWarbucks]

still a garbage person.

Breh was yelling "KOBE" while throwing paper towels, after they got hit by Maria.
A comedian being on code with the rhetoric Trump has put out since 2015--when his campaign started is the step too far...

Can't help but just laugh.

 

[MushroomX]

Who would ever though that the swing state Trump needed to win the most, was Puerto Rico?

WATTBA

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

Women are 53% of the electorate.. Men ain’t catching them in voting

So this isn't a blue mirage?

 

[Bleed The Freak]

And when she wins, tell his monkey ass ain't no stopping SHYT when it comes to DOJ investigations.

 

[Frump]

Plouffe works for the campaign and doesn’t sugarcoat things so him being publicly confident is a good sign

It not only means things are going well because of that but Dems wanted to downplay good polling so they don’t get complacent. Him being positive publicly must mean he’s confident in a high turnout

 

[King Static X]

I'm really curious seeing how Georgia and NC turn out then....

This is probably more relevant to the Blue Wall states (especially PA).

 

[TheGreatShowtime]

What bothers me the most about this is that this mf was sitting on this for 4+ years.

 

[bnew]

my polling place seemed like it had a ratio of like 4 women to 1 man.