2020 Democratic Primary Thread: Focus on House & Senate races

[the cac mamba]

those are fukking awful numbers :deadjay:

 

[Dr. Acula]

@FAH1223 about those negative ratings....As we just saw, Republicans still believe in Republican type things. Trump hasn't turned them away from their stupid theories. He's just pushed them away from flag waving with the party.

So we're going to see a situation in battleground states where candidates in statewide races actually pull Trumps numbers up on election day, despite those same voters saying they disapprove of Trump.

Also as always once election season really ramps up, partisan polarization also increases as people start investing more emotional energy into it. A lot of folks disapproving of Trump now will find some new love for him around election time.

 

[FAH1223]

@FAH1223 about those negative ratings....As we just saw, Republicans still believe in Republican type things. Trump hasn't turned them away from their stupid theories. He's just pushed them away from flag waving with the party.

So we're going to see a situation in battleground states where candidates in statewide races actually pull Trumps numbers up on election day, despite those same voters saying they disapprove of Trump.

This is true, it just puts the onus on turnout... Milwaukee can't have the same BS as 2016... can't have only 47% of black voters in WI showing up and then lose the election by slim margins..

Michigan it was the same..though its leaning bluer

Pennsylvania conversely though is trending much more blue...

 

[JoogJoint]

Al Sharpton asked Bernie if he'd sign HR 40 to commission a study on reparations and he said 'Of course I'd sign it' if the House and Senate passed it.

I saw on the news about Buttegeig coppin' pleas on his "ALL Lives Matter" comments.

All of them were really except Warren. She's been about that life.

 

[JoogJoint]

Biden doesn't give a f_ck and he's poor at campaigning.

 

[Uncle Phil 36]

This is true, it just puts the onus on turnout... Milwaukee can't have the same BS as 2016... can't have only 47% of black voters in WI showing up and then lose the election by slim margins..

Michigan it was the same..though its leaning bluer

Pennsylvania conversely though is trending much more blue...

Wisconsin seems like the next Ohio tbh, it’s been trending that way lately. They elected Evers but just this week put another super conservative on the Supreme Court

 

[FAH1223]

Wisconsin seems like the next Ohio tbh, it’s been trending that way lately. They elected Evers but just this week put another super conservative on the Supreme Court

I disagree

Baldwin won by 10 points

A liberal got elected to the WI Supreme Court by 11 points last year

 

[Secure Da Bag]

If Bernie said yes to reparations, and still be as popular as ever, what is the excuse for not voting for him?

Because Warren actually has policy and supported reparations first.

 

[FAH1223]

@King Kreole Bernie is gonna outflank the field on foreign policy. Matt Duss is a good mind he has on his squad.

 

[Wild self]

Also as always once election season really ramps up, partisan polarization also increases as people start investing more emotional energy into it. A lot of folks disapproving of Trump now will find some new love for him around election time.

But is Trump's base growing? He can't convert a single Dem to be on his side.

 

[King Kreole]

@King Kreole Bernie is gonna outflank the field on foreign policy. Matt Duss is a good mind he has on his squad.

Yep, he's notably in the lead when it comes to FP...that is until Gravel gets in there

I will say, Bernie/Duss were saying some shaky shyt when it came to Venezuela, but it's good to see them promote strong leftist messaging on Israel, Saudi Arabia, and now Korea. They're definitely taking pole position in the progressive FP lane, and I feel like they should be promoting it more. They can make easy money there. Bernie has been right on American imperialism for decades, long before anyone else in the field.

 

[Dr. Acula]

But is Trump's base growing? He can't convert a single Dem to be on his side.

I'm assuming that these people who you can assume voted for Trump and are falling out of love with him may end up "coming back home" around election time. Because, at the end of the day, they are still conservative and would rather vote for Trump before a Democrat and as mentioned, he will be boosted by votes in local races for Republican candidates.

But nah he is not growing his base and there is weakness there. But at the same time, just agreeing with the sentiment these folks are still conservative and have republican ideas at the end of the day.

 

[dora_da_destroyer]

Bernie talking tangibles

What is tangible here? This is captain obvious levels of assessment of why blacks are in the position we’re in.

 

[tru_m.a.c]

Wisconsin seems like the next Ohio tbh, it’s been trending that way lately. They elected Evers but just this week put another super conservative on the Supreme Court

Poor comparison not based on actual numbers.

Dems have been able to capture more than 50% of the vote statewide multiple times, multiple offices over the past decade. Only Sherrod Brown can win a statewide race in Ohio.

But is Trump's base growing? He can't convert a single Dem to be on his side.

He doesn't need his base to grow. He needs to win WI, PA, and Michigan. He can literally lose every republican in NY and California and it wouldn't change the election.

 

[tru_m.a.c]

Damn I can't find the posts that quoted me last week about Trump's base. @FAH1223 where is that thread about Trump's polls numbers by state?