It's never easy to overcome the loss of the greatest player in a college football program's history, but the track record of teams rebounding from the loss of their biggest name is far from entirely negative.
The
Georgia Bulldogs went 10-1-1 the season after they said goodbye to Herschel Walker. Bear Bryant once called Joe Namath the most talented player he had ever seen. And yet, a year after Namath went pro, the
Alabama Crimson Tide won a share of the national championship. Archie Griffin was the only two-time winner of the Heisman Trophy, but in the campaign following his graduation, Woody Hayes was able to lead the
Ohio State Buckeyes to a 9-2-1 record and an Orange Bowl win.
These examples offer hope for the
Texas A&M Aggies, who will be without Heisman winner
Johnny Manziel -- with all due respect to
John David Crow, arguably the best player in the storied history of the program -- come this fall.
Indeed, when looking at the entirety of this roster and the circumstances surrounding the SEC, the Aggies seem poised to overcome Manziel's departure and join the club described above.
Here are four reasons:
State of the SEC makes this the perfect time to develop a QB
The Aggies aren't the only program in the SEC who will have a new face under center this coming season. In fact, the majority of the conference is experiencing upheaval at quarterback, with only three passers who started 10 games in 2014 --
Brandon Allen,
Nick Marshall and
Bo Wallace -- returning this season. If Allen doesn't get the starting job for the
Arkansas Razorbacks (
a sincere possibility) the list of SEC teams in a state of flux will grow even longer.
As such, whichever teams can develop a strong starter fastest will be positioned for success. Kevin Sumlin's history suggests the Aggies are as good a candidate as any. Prior to his arrival in College Station, Sumlin's
Houston Cougars quarterbacks posted a composite
Raw Total QBR of 81 on passing plays -- a mark not far removed from the 85 Raw Total QBR tallied by Aggies quarterbacks on passing plays over the past two seasons.
Sumlin won't have to scale back the offense for either of his two starting candidates this year. True freshman
Kyle Allen enrolled in January and
immediately displayed an ability to absorb the playbook. Sophomore
Kenny Hill has also shown he could be a worthy inheritor of the Aggies' offense.
Also working in the Aggies' favor is a talented corps of skill players. Workhorse veteran
Malcome Kennedy finished sixth in the SEC in receptions (60) last year.
Ricky Seals-Jones was the best receiver in the 2013 recruiting class and has the potential to be a
second-year star.
Speedy Noil was the No. 1 athlete in the 2014 class. Noil
brings to mind Percy Harvin because he "is a flat-out jet ... instinctive, confident and could play multiple positions with a quick acclimation and minimal learning curve," according to Recruiting Nation.
Powerful O-line will allow for a greater emphasis on the running game
Last year, Texas A&M seemed to try and force opponents into shootouts. While this strategy led to the Aggies scoring 40 points in 10 straight games, it also had the side effect of overextending the defense, which finished last in the SEC in points per game (32.2), yards per game (475.8) and yards per play (6.36).
With a new starter under center, A&M will likely begin to lean more strongly on its rushing game in an effort to better protect the defense and Sumlin's personnel should be more than up to the task. The offensive line returns four starters from a group which last year helped the Aggies lead the SEC in percentage of rushing plays that gained 5 or more yards (50.2 percent). According to ESPN Stats & Information, Texas A&M also posted the third-highest percentage in the conference of running back carries that netted 5 or more yards. Even in Manziel's absence, much talent remains on this roster.
The offensive line
will also benefit from the development of fifth-year senior
Garrett Gramling, who performed well while filling a starting role in spring practice. At best, Gramling becomes the fifth starter on the line. At worst, he offers some very valuable depth.
Slew of rushing talents in the backfield should make up for much of the big-play loss
It will take more than one prospect to replace the 36 rushing plays of 10 or more yards that Manziel posted on called rushes last year. Luckily, Texas A&M has a number of viable candidates ready to step up and fill the void.
Trey Williams is likely the strongest candidate in the field. Williams ranked fifth in the conference in yards per rush (7.02) among ball carriers with at least 50 rushing attempts last season, and racked up 19 carries that gained 10 or more yards. He was one of only 11 players nationally to post that level of double-digit gains on fewer than 100 carries, and very well
could be a breakout star in 2014.
Tra Carson should also be able to lend a hand. Carson has the ability to turn the corner and hit an alley untouched (see: Carson's
amazing run in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl) and has received plenty of praise from Sumlin during the offseason.
A foot injury has left
Brandon Williams lower on the depth chart than some expected. Still, Sumlin
once called Williams "a home run threat from anywhere" and said the now-junior "probably has the most wire-to-wire potential [among Texas A&M's running backs]."
It's not too late for Williams to make an impact, even amidst this talented group.
Manziel's shortcomings leave room to improve
Manziel's Heisman Trophy was the achievement of a lifetime. Outside of that honor, though, and the statistical highlights that went along with it, Manziel fell short in the area of team-oriented milestones.
Manziel's Aggies failed to win either an SEC championship or SEC division title under his stewardship. Manziel also had a 13-6 record against teams from BCS conferences and an 8-6 mark against BCS conference teams that ended the season with a record of .500 or better. Five of those eight wins came against the Ole Miss Rebels, Mississippi State Bulldogs and Vanderbilt Commodores, each of whom finished those campaigns with a combined record in SEC play of 17-23. While Manziel piloted Texas A&M to a signature victory against the Alabama Crimson Tide in 2012, his combined record against the Crimson Tide, Florida Gators, Auburn Tigers and LSU Tigers was a meager 2-5.
There's also a case to be made that Manziel wasn't even the Aggies' best player last season -- arguably, Mike Evans made an even larger impact in the early going.
None of this is meant to diminish Manziel's accomplishments, but rather to highlight the strength of his surroundings -- much of which remains intact -- and the room for improvement in College Station.
Bottom line
A brutal 2014 schedule that includes away games against the South Carolina Gamecocks, and at Alabama and Auburn, as well as home contests against the Missouri Tigers and LSU may make a repeat or improvement upon last year's 9-4 record difficult. Still, the trajectory of Texas A&M football is nevertheless upward, and any shortcomings this season shouldn't be solely because of Johnny Football's absence.