Xi Jinping lays out blueprint to make China a global superpower by 2050

[GnauzBookOfRhymes]

That's the problem. Trump is now making that much harder, this is will be your demise, your willingness to go backward into isolationism.

Whoever comes after Trump will do the same thing he did - systematically undo/dismantle all of those policies. At the end of the day the US will still be the destination of choice for much of the rest of the world. The US economy (and its overlords) will demand it.

 

[ChatGPT-5]

Whoever comes after Trump will do the same thing he did - systematically undo/dismantle all of those policies. At the end of the day the US will still be the destination of choice for much of the rest of the world. The US economy (and its overlords) will demand it.

Doubt it, I think the general public are starting to hate immigrants. Even liberals, the more chinese import programmers, the more the liberals over in Silicon and Seattle will start to be for harsher immigration. Obama was actually pretty harsh despite his amnesty. He deported at record numbers, a lot of people don't know this.....

It's the jobs, americans are getting fed up.

 

[GnauzBookOfRhymes]

Doubt it, I think the general public are starting to hate immigrants. Even liberals, the more chinese import programmers, the more the liberals over in Silicon and Seattle will start to be for harsher immigration. Obama was actually pretty harsh despite his amnesty. He deported at record numbers, a lot of people don't know this.....

It's the jobs, americans are getting fed up.

Who cares what the general public wants? It's about what the corporations want and what the economy demands/requires.

We don't graduate enough people in the hard sciences so the idea that all of a sudden silicon valley is going to support limiting employment based immigration is a nonstarter.

We don't even graduate enough people with skilled technical certificates - which is why the construction industry has been suffering under a severe labor shortage. If the "general public" was smart, they'd be demanding the government provide free training/certification in this area. But then again that would require they be able to pass a drug test and not steal the equipment to feed their meth/heroin addiction.

 

[Red Shield]

Yeah I can see that.. it won't be usa level tho..

but then again no place is hitting usa level after the usa goes down.

 

[Scoop]

 

[the cac mamba]

sounds like a great leap forward :hovtrump:

i say fukk it, let em have "it". couldnt care less

 

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This was written in 1979 by Maoist critics of Deng's reforms and it is super funny in hindsight.

2/3
The Destruction of China’s Socialist Economy

3/3
The Destruction of China’s Socialist Economy


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New Essay: The Five Fundamental of Chinese Grand Strategy:

"What follows is my personal attempt to summarize the essentials of Chinese foreign policy in as few points as possible."

Five points, to be exact.

2/10
Here is a proper link to the piece: Five Fundamentals of Chinese Grand Strategy

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The five points are as follows:

1. The overriding goal of the Communist Party of China is to restore China to a position of glory and influence commensurate with its ancestral heritage.

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2. This can only be accomplished by pioneering a technological transformation of the global economy on the scale of the industrial revolution.

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3. The greatest perceived threat to China’s rise is found in the ideological domain—and in a globalized world that domain is a global one.

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4. Chinese leaders imagine they will reshape the global order primarily through economic, not military, tools.

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5. The main exception to this is Taiwan. With Taiwan economic tools have proven ineffective; the possibility of war is very real.

8/10
These five points are derived from Chinese government statements but are not an official CPC formulation. Just my personal attempt to boil Chinese strategic relations to its core.

9/10
I originally articulated these five fundamentals in a panel event hosted by @civic_future last month. Other panelists included @michaelgove, @DesmondShum, and @CindyXiaodanYu. You can watch that here: https://invidious.poast.org/watch?v=tvAF0PhKYFw

10/10
If you were to attempt to summarize the essentials of Chinese grand strategy in 4-8 points, what would your version be?


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[bnew]

China to test lunar-soil bricks in space to pave the way for its planned moon base

Researchers want to study how bricks made from local moon materials hold up in extreme environments.

www.space.com

China to test lunar-soil bricks in space to pave the way for its planned moon base​

News

By Andrew Jones
published 9 hours ago

Researchers want to study how bricks made from local moon materials hold up in extreme environments.

When you purchase through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Here’s how it works.

A still from a video released by the China National Space Administration (CNSA) that outlines its concept for a lunar base to be developed across the next couple of decades.(Image credit: China National Space Administration)

China will send samples of bricks to its space station in the coming months to test their durability in extreme conditions and potential use in building moon bases.

Samples of bricks made of varying compositions from lunar soil simulant will be launched to the Tiangong space station aboard the upcoming Tianzhou 8 cargo mission, according to a report from Chinese state media CCTV.

The bricks will be subjected to three years of exposure tests in space. They will be bombarded by ultraviolet light and cosmic rays and subjected to temperature differences. This will test the strength and durability of bricks in extreme environments and how the materials behave in the vacuum of space.

The experiment is designed to give insight into which composition and which methods of producing bricks from lunar soil will be most suitable for building structures on the moon.

One method for creating these bricks, according to CCTV, involves heating the simulant to over 1,830 degrees Fahrenheit (1,000 degrees Celsius) using electromagnetic induction in a sintering furnace. This process fuses the material into solid structures, creating a 7-inch-long (18 centimeters) brick in just 10 minutes.

Launching materials to the moon is tremendously expensive, so using lunar resources locally could greatly reduce costs and increase possibilities for lunar exploration. This is known as in-situ resource utilization (ISRU).

 

[bnew]

https://www.aspi.org.au/opinion/critical-technology-tracker-two-decades-data-show-rewards-long-term-research-investment

05 Sep 2024

Critical technology tracker: two decades of data show rewards of long-term research investment​

By Jennifer Wong Leung, Stephan Robin and Danielle Cave

China and the United States have effectively switched places as the overwhelming leader in research in just two decades, ASPI’s latest Critical Technology Tracker results reveal.

The latest tracker findings, which can be found in a new report and on the website, show the stunning shift in research leadership over the past 21 years towards large economies in the Indo-Pacific, led by China’s exceptional gains.

China led in just three of 64 technologies in the years from 2003 to 2007, but is the leading country in 57 of 64 technologies over the past five years from 2019 to 2023. This is an increase from last year’s Tech Tracker results, in which it was leading in 52 technologies.

The US led in 60 of 64 technologies in the five years from 2003 to 2007, but in the most recent five year period, it was leading in just seven.

Critical technologies have been on the agenda for US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan’s visit to Beijing this week—the first visit by a US NSA since 2016. Meanwhile, dozens of countries are coming together in Australia for the third Sydney Dialogue on Monday to discuss issues around technology, security, cyber and global strategic competition.

Our results show India is also emerging as a key centre of global research innovation and excellence, establishing its position as a science and technology power. India now ranks in the top five countries for 45 of 64 technologies (an increase from 37 last year) and has displaced the US as the second-ranked country in two new technologies (biological manufacturing and distributed ledgers) to rank second in seven of 64 technologies.

The latest Tech Tracker has updated results for 64 critical technologies from crucial fields spanning artificial intelligence, defence, space, energy, the environment, biotechnology, robotics, cyber, computing, advanced materials and quantum technology areas. The dataset has been expanded from five years of data (previously, 2018 to 2022) to 21 years of data (from 2003 to 2023).

The Tech Tracker is a data-driven website that reveals the countries and institutions—universities, national labs, companies and government agencies—leading scientific and research innovation in critical technologies. It does that by focusing on high-impact research—the top 10 percent of most highly cited papers. We focus on the top 10 percent because those publications have a higher impact on the full technology life cycle and are more likely to lead to patents, drive future research innovation and underpin technological breakthroughs.

Looking at the average share of annual global research across the 64 technologies (see Figure 1 below), shows us the astonishing inversion between the US and China in high impact research.

Figure 1: Average annual research share across the 64 technologies between 2003 and 2023.

China has made its new gains in quantum sensors, high-performance computing, gravitational sensors, space launch and advanced integrated circuit design and fabrication (semiconductor chip making). The US leads in quantum computing, vaccines and medical countermeasures, nuclear medicine and radiotherapy, small satellites, atomic clocks, genetic engineering and natural language processing.

Another notable change involves the United Kingdom, which has dropped out of the top five country rankings in eight technologies, declining from 44 last year to 36 now. The technologies in which the UK has fallen out of the top five rankings are spread across a range of areas, but are mostly technologies related to advanced materials, sensing and space.

The European Union, as a whole, is a competitive technological player that can challenge the China-US duopoly. Like the US and China, the EU, when aggregating its member countries over the past five years, is in the top FIVE countries in all 64 technologies. With members of the EU aggregated over the past five years, we found that the EU leads in two technologies (gravitational force sensors and small satellites) and is ranked second in 30 technologies.

Besides India and the UK, the performance of second-tier science and technology research powers (those countries ranked behind China and the US) in the top five rankings is largely unchanged: Germany is in the top five in 27 technologies, South Korea in 24, Italy in 15, Iran in 8, Japan also in 8 and Australia in 7.

In terms of institutions, US technology companies have leading or strong positions in AI, quantum and computing technologies. IBM now ranks first in quantum computing, Google ranks first in natural language processing and fourth in quantum computing, and Meta and Microsoft also place seventh and eighth in natural language processing respectively. The only non-US based companies that rank in the top 20 institutions for any technology are the UK division of Toshiba, which places 13th in quantum communications, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, which places 20th in advanced integrated circuit design and fabrication.

Key government agencies and national labs also perform well, including the US National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), which excels in space and satellite technologies. The results also show that the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS)—thought to be the world’s largest science and technology institution—is by far the world’s highest performing institution in the Tech Tracker, with a global lead in 31 of 64 technologies—an increase from 29 last year. CAS is a ministerial-level institution that sits directly under the State Council, and has spearheaded the development of China’s indigenous science, technological and innovation capabilities, including in computing technologies, nuclear weapons and intercontinental ballistic missiles. CAS also specialises in commercialising its findings and creating new companies. According to CAS, by 2022, more than 2,000 companies had been founded from the commercialisation of its scientific research.

Our report also looks at the combined US-UK-Australia performance in AUKUS pillar two-relevant technologies. It finds that combining AUKUS efforts with those of closer partners Japan and South Korea helps to close the gap in research performance for some technologies. But for others such as autonomous underwater vehicles and hypersonic detecting and tracking, China’s high impact research lead is so pronounced that no combination of other countries can currently match it.

The graph below shows the share of research across a range of AUKUS pillar two-relevant technologies. (Please click on the image to see it full screen.)




We have continued to measure the risk that any country will hold a monopoly in a technology capability in the future, based on the share of high impact research output and the number of leading institutions in the dominant country—noting that for all 64 technologies, only China or the US currently has the lead. The number of technologies classified as ‘high risk’ has jumped from 14 technologies last year to 24 now. China is the lead country in every one of the technologies newly classified as high risk—putting a total of 24 of 64 technologies at high risk of a Chinese monopoly.

Worryingly, the technologies newly classified as high risk include many with defence applications, such as radar, advanced aircraft engines, drones, swarming and collaborative robots and satellite positioning and navigation. See the below table for a small selection of critical technologies currently classified as ‘high risk’.

 

[bnew]

The new historical dataset shows the points in time at which countries have gained, lost or are at risk of losing their global edge in scientific research and innovation. It provides a new layer of depth and context, revealing the performance trajectory countries have taken, where the momentum lies and also where longer term dominance over the full two decades might reflect foundational expertise and capabilities that carry forward even when that leader has been edged out more recently by other countries. The results also help to shed light on the countries, and many of the institutions, from which we’re likely to see future innovations and breakthroughs emerge.

In advanced aircraft engines, for example, US government or government-affiliated institutions performed strongly from 2003 to 2007—with NASA and the US Air Force Research Laboratory ranking first and second respectively—reflecting this technology’s clear relevance to military and space capability. Today, these institutions occupy much lower positions in the new rankings and 10 out of 10 of the world’s top-performing institutions are in China.

When looking further down the science and technology life cycle, at patent data for example, our research finds there is a closer and more recent competition between the US and China but the overall trends are similar.

China’s dominant high impact research performance across so many technologies doesn’t necessarily equate to the same dominance in actualising those technologies. At times, China is ahead in high impact research because it’s actually behind in the development and commercialisation of that technology and is making major investments to try to catch up to the advances made by other countries over previous decades.

But the fact that China has enhanced its lead since last year’s Critical Technology Tracker results, especially in defence technologies, points to its growing momentum in science and technology, which other countries would be wise to assume will continue.

For some technologies, this inversion in research leadership has occurred because the high impact research output of pioneering science and technology powers such as the US, Japan, the UK and Germany has flatlined, putting them in a position where they’re losing—or at risk of losing—some of the research and scientific strengths they have built over many decades. Some of these long-term changes can be seen, for example, in the dwindling numbers of globally recognised—and sometimes Nobel Prize winning— research and development laboratories based in electronics and telecommunications firms across Europe—Philips of the Netherlands— and the US—AT&T Bell Labs previously known as Lucent Technologies or Alcatel Lucent and now as Nokia (US).

With other technologies, however, the shift is instead being driven by an enormous surge in China’s research outputs over the past 21 years. China has executed a dramatic step-up in research performance that other countries simply haven’t been able to match.

The historical strong performance of the US and other advanced economies in high impact research, which can now be tracked closely, is reflected in their sustained vitality. For example, the US shows continued innovation and leadership in key technology areas amidst immense competition, especially in quantum computing, and vaccines and medical countermeasures. This reflects its long term strengths across the full spectrum of the technology ecosystem. Decades of research effort can lead to decades of payoff in the application and commercialisation of the knowledge and expertise that a country has built up.

Measuring high-impact research, by itself, doesn’t provide a full picture of a country’s current technological or innovation competitiveness of course. Actualising and commercialising research performance into technological gains can be a difficult, expensive and complicated process, no matter how impressive the initial breakthrough. A range of other inputs are needed, such as an efficient manufacturing base and ambitious policy implementation.

But the purpose of the Tech Tracker is not to assess the current state of play but to improve global understanding of countries’ strategic intent and potential future science and technology capability.

Some observers might argue that China’s ascendance into a research power—indeed the research power—doesn’t matter because other countries, the US in particular, remain ahead in commercialisation, design and manufacturing. That might be true for some technologies, but it represents a very short term attitude. China, too, is making enormous investments in its manufacturing capabilities, subsidising key industries and achieving technological breakthroughs that are catching the world by surprise.

Our results serve as a reminder to governments around the world that building technological capability takes a sustained investment in, and accumulation of, knowledge, innovative skill, talent and high performing institutions—none of which can be acquired through only short term investments. In a range of essential sectors, democratic nations risk losing hard-won, long term advantages in cutting edge science and research—the crucial ingredient that underpins much of the development and progress of the world’s most important technologies. There’s also a risk that retreats in some areas could mean that democratic nations aren’t well positioned to take advantage of new and emerging technologies, including those that don’t exist yet. Meanwhile, the longitudinal results in the Tech Tracker enable us to see how China’s enormous investments and decades of strategic planning are now paying off.

The sugar hit of immediate budget savings must be balanced against the cost of losing the advantage gained from decades of investment and strategic planning. Strategic investments are needed in technologies that are identified as important to a country’s national interest. Continuous investments in those technology areas must then follow. And, of course, that must take place alongside complementary efforts that help build capability across the science and technology life cycle: targeted policies on issues such as skilled migration, industry reform and incentives to boost innovation, manufacturing capability and commercialisation opportunities.

Given the extent to which strategic influence will be determined by technological primacy, even the US has demonstrated that it needs trusted partners in research, innovation and industry to maintain an edge over major competitors such as China.

The Tech Tracker results show that countries can benefit from co-operation on technology by pooling their efforts and finding complementary and tangible areas in which to collaborate in an era when science and technology expertise is becoming increasingly concentrated in one country. Without bigger changes to the status quo, the trajectory laid out in this research will continue to be consolidated.

Partners and allies must plan, act and collaborate more strategically and more ambitiously—indeed, this might be the only way to stay collectively ahead.

Originally published by:​

 

[StoneColdSteveAustin]

chinese scientists may stepped their game up, but the number of publications is largely inflated, because they release a lot of bs papers without much new findings

 

[Geek Nasty]

The whole China situation is an enigma to me. I've been getting completely contradictory info on the state of China right now. On one hand China seems to be rising as a technology power (even though they're stealing a ton of research and IP to do it), but I'm also hearing how their economy is a bubble about to collapse as the West starts moving manufacturing to Vietnam, India and Mexico.