First of all, it's a myth that Vegas is some omniscient, all-knowing entity. Most of the lines generated in the modern era come from offshore sites, future odds included.
Those lines are often generated with the intent of drawing action. For example, the Colts were 4-to-1 preseason to win it all and loo kat them now. Future odds don't mean shyt most of the time.
Every game is its own independent event and is no way necessarily indicative of a future event.
There is a slight difference between preseason future odds and Week 17 future odds, amirite?
And I used "Vegas" as a general term referring to all oddsmakers. Obviously if you bet online you're not dealing with vegas odds.
edit- The point remains, the team who has to possibly win 2 games at home obviously has a better chance at going to the SB than the team who would have to win 3 games on the road. That's simple man logic.
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