If the Knicks lock in on a star in July or August, whichever team they’re talking to might just prefer an extra pick instead of the role player who’s about to get paid. A similar conversation surrounded the
Utah Jazz and RJ Barrett this past offseason, though Utah ended up making a play for Barrett anyway.
The current front office has valued its talent highly in trade negotiations of the past, even if it hasn’t shown faith in clearing the roster so its younger members can play abundantly. The Knicks watched the team move with a different energy around Toppin last season and decided to re-sign Mitchell Robinson, add Isaiah Hartenstein, re-sign Jericho Sims and hold onto Julius Randle, blocking Toppin’s path once again. They held onto Evan Fournierand Derrick Rose and are now overloaded with guards, enough so that it took an injury to Cam Reddish over the weekend just to get Quentin Grimesback into the rotation. Trading away one rotation player without bringing one back (à la flipping a guard for a draft pick) would grease the situation. It’s how Rose ends up on the trade block, as well, according to Charania’s report.
But the Quickley case, more so than the Rose one, is what inspires ruminating about the Knicks’ swing-for-the-fences ideology.
Rose is 34 and playing 13 minutes a game. His contract expires after this season. Meanwhile, Quickley should be part of the future. Yet, holding onto him could mean locking into a middling roster.
The Knicks’ cap sheet isn’t so flexible.
In 2024-25, which would be the first season of a Quickley or Toppin extension, the salaries of just Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle, Robinson, Barrett and Grimes add up to $97 million. Let’s say the Knicks hypothetically re-signed Quickley and Toppin for approximately the midlevel exception each. That would bring them to the ballpark of $120 million to pay for less than half the roster.
The cap projects to be around $140 million that season, but it’s not like the team would have $20 million in room. It would need to fill seven-to-eight more roster spots. It would need to decide on Reddish (a free agent after this season), Hartenstein (a free agent in 2024) and Sims (who the Knicks would almost certainly bring back in this scenario since he has a cheap non-guarantee for the 2024-25 season).
All of this would be for a group that, so far, seems to cap out as a Play-In Tournament hopeful. Meanwhile, the five players still under contract make up the current starting lineup, which has been an unnatural fit together. It’s not like the Knicks could just as easily trade someone from that quintet instead of Quickley in the hopes of wiping long-term money off their books. All of those guys are either too good to cope with losing or too expensive to command as lucrative a return as Quickley hypothetically could.
The Knicks saw the modern craze of stars demanding out before they hit free agency and figured the best way to take advantage of the new norm was to set themselves up for trades. Be competitive enough to boast a desirable basketball situation in a large market and let the big name choose you, just like the
Brooklyn Nets did with Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant and James Harden or the
LA Clippers did with Paul Georgeand Kawhi Leonard or the
Los Angeles Lakers did with Anthony Davis, and so on.
But all of those examples came in situations where teams were malleable enough to do more than just trade for someone. The Nets had the cap room to sign Irving and Durant, then used a glut of players and picks to deal for Harden. The Clippers traded for George but signed Leonard. The Lakers traded for Davis but only after they signed LeBron James.
The reality is that the Knicks’ supposed flexibility extends only to the first star trade. If acquiring Mitchell would have left the cupboard too bare to trade for a second star, then the next available star who is as good as or better than Mitchell and thus costs as much as or more than Mitchell will leave the front office engaged in the same conversation.
How could we trade all this great stuff for this great player if we’re left with too little to land him a co-star?
It feels like the cycle could continue in perpetuity.
The Knicks gave themselves little room to deviate from Plan A. And now they’re conversing about Quickley.
They won’t tank, which would increase their chances of drafting a star. An organization can get lucky with the 15th pick, but there’s a reason selections like Leonard and Giannis Antetokounmpoare ones we marvel over; they’re not the norm. Meanwhile, they’ve locked up their roster with enough long-term money that it would require serious cap gymnastics (and attaching first-round picks to some of the bigger contracts on their books) to sign one.
Gymnastics aren’t easy when you’re not as flexible as you claim.
(Top photo of Quickley: Al Bello / Getty Images)