Got the Dubs in five. Cavs can make it more of a series IF:
-Come out with a very good Game 1 and 2 and stay disciplined. Golden State had slow starts in the last couple of games against Houston and they're a team of rhythm and runs. If Cleveland can be physical on the boards and play strong team ball and limit turnovers, they'll have a better chance of forcing Golden State into a flat start. They came back and won in 2016 in part because they played physically and worked the paint. Different teams and circumstances, but the Cavs should again look to work the paint.
-Korver, Love, Green, Hill, and Nance have to play really well on offense. Cleveland's offense absolutely has to look better than it did in Boston (lack of player movement was painful to watch) but there were still a handful of open looks that all those guys should have been able to make. Even with Iguodala out / not 100% I like Golden State's bench and their non-star players over Cleveland's in terms of reliability.
-Ty Lue watches Kerr's moves closely. Since there is a talent disparity, Cavs need any tactical advantage they can get. Take advantage if KD does that ISO-ball shyt for large chunks of time or if Kerr has a weird lineup out there or if there is something the Warriors aren't doing defensively that they should do. I'd say Lue coached well to close out Boston but...
But yeah. Got Dubs in five for a reason. Those things are pretty big ifs. Going to enjoy the games anyway.