Funding for Ukraine ends. Russia probably wins the war by 2026.
Israel continues the war in Gaza. Biden didn't do anything to stop it and we know damn well Trump is doing nothing either.
Trump starts gutting the federal government.
Department of Education sees massive cuts.
Mass deportations happen. Not the amount he promised but he'll make a big deal about it to satisfy the base. Mass, sudden deportations like that would really hurt the economy. Despite the rhetoric, the wall still won't get built.
The economy continues to drag.
Lots of conservatives judges get appointed throughout the country.