Essential The Africa the Media Doesn't Tell You About

Bawon Samedi

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Some good news...

East Africa: Is the Collapse of the Economic Partnership Agreement Looming?
By Dorothy Nakaweesi & Ismail Musa Ladu

Kampala — As it stands now, the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) seems to have hit a dead end, Daily Monitor has learnt.

Simply put, EPA is an initiative by the European Union (EU) to secure free market access in the region and reciprocate in equal measure. Should the deal remain frozen as it appears to be the case presently, regional products to the EU market and vice versa would eventually be trading on different terms and not necessarily the preferential treatment that the embattled deal seeks to institute.

The ministry of Trade under the express directive of President Museveni will not proceed with the signing of the EPA until all the East African Community (EAC) partner states are in agreement with the details contained in the deal as well as its repercussions on each of the member's economy.

Speaking at a public policy dialogue on reversing Uganda's declining trade balances and value of exports recently at the Uganda Management Institute in Kampala, the minister of Trade, Ms Amelia Kyambadde disclosed that the deal has been temporarily put on hold pending further consultations and consensus.

She said: "Uganda will not sign the EPA until everybody is on board. We have to wait for the other EAC countries and once that is done then we can proceed. Tanzania has some few issues that need to be dealt with and once that is done we shall proceed."

"The President has said we should first all reach a way forward so that we can sign it (EPA) together as a bloc. He (President Museveni) doesn't want the repeat of the so- called coalition of the willing. But for our part we are ready but we cannot do it alone."

Coalition of the willing

The tripartite arrangement, also known as the "coalition of the willing", involving Uganda, Kenya and Rwanda, emerged as one of the sticky issues in 2013 when the Council of EAC ministers was considering the Monetary Union Protocol.

The coalition of the willing agreements entered by the said countries sought to construct grand infrastructural projects such as rail lines and an oil pipeline that would stimulate and open up the regional economies.

Tanzania was particularly unhappy with this arrangement, describing it as a recipe for disaster. In its recommendation to the heads of state, Tanzania indicated that the tripartite arrangement poses the risk to disintegrate the community rather than integrate it.

And for that, Tanzania, among other things, recommended that all the plans and infrastructural projects that the three countries endorsed in mid that year should be revised and given a regional appeal, rather than it appearing as an initiative of the "coalition of the willing". Tanzania also recommended that all such tripartite arrangements must be sanctioned by the EAC Secretariat as opposed to individual partner states.

Fears of some members

Tanzania, an important member of the Community is unwilling to sign the agreement until she is certain that the treaty reflects her aspirations as well as provide a window to get out should it turn out to be a raw deal.

As the largest member of the Community, Tanzania also wants to further understand how the exit of Britain from the EU bloc will impact on the agreement, and not until that is certain, she is not prepared to sign the deal.

Burundi that looked to be on the fence has now sided with Tanzania on grounds that it shares the same fears and aspirations.

However, Mr Patrick Gomes, the Secretary General of African Caribbean and Pacific Countries (ACP), in his submission during the 32nd conference between ACP and EU held in Nairobi in December last year, said that Uganda, Tanzania and Burundi's slowness in signing the EPA may see them lose development aid from the EU. He said: "EPA comes not only with
http://allafrica.com/stories/201702010202.html
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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Its not just them but all those North African countries including Egypt. They found out the hard way that the Euros and Arabs did not care for them and now their crawling back to o'le "black Africa."

Except Egypt is treacherous and trying to undermine Ethiopia. There needs to be a new Nile treaty.
 

Bawon Samedi

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Except Egypt is treacherous and trying to undermine Ethiopia. There needs to be a new Nile treaty.

Exactly. Egypt is finding out that its "African" and not Middle Eastern. Instead of sticking its nose in the Middle East its sticking it in Africa. But like you said its negative.
 

Poitier

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Morocco didn't rejoin because Europe/ME didn't want them. This is purely a geopolitical power play not some rediscovered sense of panafricanism.
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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Morocco didn't rejoin because Europe/ME didn't want them. This is purely a geopolitical power play not some rediscovered sense of panafricanism.

Morocco wants to be a manufacturer of Goods to the continent. If continental/regional trade deals get off the ground - they could grab a significant market share for stuff like cars and alternatives energy products such as solar panels
 

Poitier

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Which is EXACTLY what we're saying.

That doesn't mean Morocco has learned its lesson or is shifting due to being rejected by Europeans/Arabs. They see an opportunity to manipulate and make bank doing it...no different than Europeans or the Chinese see the continent. I have no feelings on it one way or the other but this is a money and land grab not some altruistic reconnection with the continent.
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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That doesn't mean Morocco has learned its lesson or is shifting due to being rejected by Europeans/Arabs. They see an opportunity to manipulate and make bank doing it...no different than Europeans or the Chinese see the continent. I have no feelings on it one way or the other but this is a money and land grab not some altruistic reconnection with the continent.

This leads me to ask - are any nations in the continent/diaspora serious about the altruistic benefits of Pan Africanism?

Moreover, how much does it matter if Africans achieve beneficial outcomes from fundamentally cynical motivations?
 

Bawon Samedi

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That doesn't mean Morocco has learned its lesson or is shifting due to being rejected by Europeans/Arabs. They see an opportunity to manipulate and make bank doing it...no different than Europeans or the Chinese see the continent. I have no feelings on it one way or the other but this is a money and land grab not some altruistic reconnection with the continent.


The whole "crawling back to black Africa" was a humor in that they are realizing that they're better off looking towards Africa than Europe when it comes to politic/resources.

I doubt anyone here thought it was the bolded.
 

Poitier

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This leads me to ask - are any nations in the continent/diaspora serious about the altruistic benefits of Pan Africanism?

Moreover, how much does it matter if Africans achieve beneficial outcomes from fundamentally cynical motivations?

If smart business is being conducted on both sides of any deal/negotiation then altruism does not matter but I have my doubts about that being the norm on the continent.
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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I have many thoughts...

- Forcing young graduates to teach doesn't allow states to develop professional teachers. In fact, it incentivizes them not to hire teachers.
- The appeal of Nigeria will reduce as East African economies begin to rise. Having a huge market is great, but if Ethiopian consumers are wealthier and have better ability to access electricity...
- Forex issues in Nigeria should not only be looked out from the output perspective. What about Buhari's restrictive forex policies and their impact on Nigerian producers who need foreign capital/ability to purchase goods from abroad?
- His non-answer regarding the naira points towards his administration's inability to assure investors that Nigeria's monetary policy is sensible. If they floated the naira at the start of the oil downturn, inflation would not be as high as it is now.
- Unsure how they can meet 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) if they don't solve the socio-economic/political crises in the Niger Delta. A new group just announced itself last week.
- The catch-22 of Nigerian power generation isn't addressed by his answers. If power is unreliable, does that incentivize consumers to pay for power on time or to utilize power without relying on generators? Privitization of public utilities is NOT the answer for Nigeria's problems. Consumers will eventually suffer for this neoliberalism.

I note his knowledge of the statistics but his solutions are inadequate/missing the big and small pictures.
 
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