They're 10-4 right now and averaging the second most points in the league with Middleton on a ridiculous minutes restriction, a new coach and minimal time for Dame/Giannis to build their chemistry.
Milwaukee has consistently lost postseason games because they could not score enough. Not to mention, with all this defense talk, they blew massive fourth quarter leads in games four and five to Miami last season with the Heat scoring 42 and 32 points in each fourth. In those two games, Jrue shot 6-19 and 4-11, which are not abnormal postseason games from him. His playoff shooting has always been trash.
Now, Dame's also been erratic during his playoff career but he's never played with someone as good as Giannis before either. Jrue struggled to crack 40%/30% in his three Milwaukee postseasons. At a minimum, Dame should shoot significantly better from three than Jrue.
Almost any Boston matchup is gonna come down to how well they shoot threes because Joe's philosophy is bombs away, come hell or high water. If they're hot, they're gonna win and when they go cold, they're gonna lose. There is no backup plan.