Yea, as currently constructed Sacramento is probably another glorified 1st round exit.
That said, I actually don't think the West is as clear cut as the East, since 2 of the top 3 teams (MIN, OKC) will have young inexperienced stars, the reigning champs are savvy but not head and shoulders above anyone talent or depth wise, and the two most talented teams (LAC, PHX) are also the most volatile.
SAC, DAL, NOP are all entertainingly flawed teams with star power, but without any trades to fix their issues (or injuries to the opps) i see them one and done in dramatic fashion.