Brooklyn Nets
Free agency delivered a huge win for Brooklyn, but the regular season might prove a bummer. It seems absurd to say this about a playoff team that signed Irving and Kevin Durant, but the Nets may struggle to return to the postseason. Yes, even in the East.
Start with the fact that the Nets have $40 million on the sideline while Durant recovers from a torn Achilles tendon, and end here: After Irving, who are the Nets’ second- and third-best players? The rest of this team projects as very ordinary, unless Caris LeVert blows up as a true second option. (This would not necessarily be shocking; if my prediction for Brooklyn proves horribly wrong, LeVert will likely be the culprit. But it also requires him to complete the season in one piece while shooting more consistently — he’s 32.9 percent from 3 and 70.7 percent from the line career.)
Irving is a clear upgrade on Russell, but the downside is that it may be a case of quality vs. quantity. Russell played 81 games last year, and the Nets needed him for all 81. In, contrast, Irving missed at least 15 games in three of the past four seasons and has never played more than 75. A recurring pattern of breaking his face – most recently in training camp – doesn’t help.
Promise lurks elsewhere on the roster, but big picture, the Nets have several fringe starters and not much in the way of high-level talent around Irving. Jarrett Allen is coming into his own as a starting 5, but if he’s a team’s second- or third-best player, how good can it be? Meanwhile, Joe Harris (Wahoowa!) will rent the starting small forward spot from Durant this year. Again, he’s not bad, but he’s much better utilized as a knockdown shooter off the bench.
Up front, the Nets needed to sign DeAndre Jordan to ink his BFFs Irving and Durant, but that cost them a top-notch backup 5 in Ed Davis. Forward Rodions Kurucs’ promising rookie year showed flashes of a young Andrei Kirilenko, but he has suffered health problems his whole career and now has legal issues too.
Off the bench, the Nets will load heaps of responsibility onto Spencer Dinwiddie, especially with the underrated Shabazz Napier gone, because they lack alternative shot creators. Newly acquired Taurean Prince can shoot (38 percent career from 3) and displays hints of skill as an attacking combo forward. But he is too wild on the ball and a bit in between positions defensively, which is how he fell out of favor in Atlanta after a rough 2018-19.
Veteran pickups Garrett Temple and Wilson Chandler can make the second unit functional, but they aren’t raising the bar beyond that and offer no shot-creation ability. That could leave room for athletic hustler David Nwaba to push his way into the rotation, especially while Chandler sits out an early-season suspension.
The Nets still own multiple first-round picks and several tradeable contacts, so they could implement a few changes on the fly to improve their playoff odds. Bigger picture, they could even push in all their chips to trade for an under-contract star to team up with Durant a year from now (coughBealcough). However, it’s hard to see why they’d surrender assets for the sake of this season as they’re basically killing a power play until the Durant era starts next fall.
Prediction: 39-43, 4th in Atlantic Division, 9th in Eastern Conference.