Random NBA Observations 2018 - 2019

Skooby

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Six big Anthony Davis trades we'd like to see



Which teams can swing the best trades for Anthony Davis, and what would those deals look like?

The New Orleans Pelicans are seeking All-Stars, young players with star potential and multiple first-round draft picks in a Davis trade, according to a report by ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski, and theBoston Celtics and Los Angeles Lakers are engaged in separate trade talks with the Pelicans on Davis, according to a report by ESPN on Wednesday.

Our NBA experts give six trades that work, including nine teams and multiple draft picks.



New York Knicks
Pelicans get: Matthew Dellavedova, Billy Garrett, Frank Ntilikina, Dennis Smith Jr., Cedi Osman, 2019 No. 3 pick, 2021 Dallas first-round pick, 2022 Milwaukee first-round pick (top-10 protected 2022 and 2023, top-eight protected in 2024, otherwise 2024 and 2025 second-round picks)

Knicks get: Anthony Davis

Cavaliers get: Kevin Knox


Kevin Pelton: This turns into a three-team trade because the Pelicans might not value Knox as highly as other teams. So after getting Knox, Ntilikina and Smith from the Knicks along with this year's No. 3 pick and the 2021 unprotected Mavericks pick, Pelicans exec David Griffin also flips Knox to his former team. In exchange for sending out Knox and taking back Dellavedova's salary -- helping the Cavaliers avoid the luxury tax -- New Orleans gets Osman, a Griffin draft pick in the past year on a cheap contract at $2.9 million, and takes an interesting gamble on the Milwaukee pick that won't convey until after Giannis Antetokounmpo hits unrestricted free agency.

The net result for the Pelicans is they add young talent at point guard and small forward, this year's No. 3 pick and have two extra first-round picks coming down the road. That's a steep price for New York to pay, but the Knicks get to hold on to center Mitchell Robinson and could complete this deal as structured 30 days after signing the No. 3 pick to use his salary for matching purposes. That would allow the Knicks to sign a pair of max free agents before adding Davis, creating a top-heavy superteam.

Cleveland adds a second top-10 pick from last year's draft, although both were sub-replacement performers as rookies, and hopes that if Antetokounmpo re-signs in Milwaukee, the Bucks' first-round pick will end up in the late 20s. In that case, the Cavaliers could be getting Knox at a heavy discount relative to where he was drafted.





Los Angeles Lakers
Lakers get: Anthony Davis

Pelicans get: Brandon Ingram, 2019 No. 4 pick, 2019 No. 6 pick

Suns get: Lonzo Ball, Josh Hart

Bobby Marks: While this deal falls short of Griffin's checklist, it does provide strong value with two top-six picks (on top of the No. 1 pick New Orleans already owns) and a player in Ingram who at times displayed All-Star potential before undergoing thoracic outlet decompression surgery in March. The trade also would leave New Orleans with $24 million to use in free agency.

For the Lakers, the question comes down to timing. Because the incoming and outgoing salaries do not match the $27.1 million Davis contract, this trade would be finalized after July 6 when the moratorium is lifted and the 2019-20 salary-cap calendar goes into effect. For the Lakers to maximize cap space, their $32.5 million in available room would have to be used first on one or multiple free agents, and then the trade with the Pelicans would be completed 30 days after the No. 4 pick in the draft sign his contract. Reversing the order costs the Lakers losing $4.8 million in cap flexibility.

After debating about which direction to go at No. 6, Phoenix enters the picture in this deal. Despite Ball having two fewer years on his contract compared to a first-rounder in June, the former No. 2 overall pick gives the Suns their starting point guard of the future. Phoenix also would add much-needed depth off the bench with the addition of Hart. The Suns' front office would need to weigh the long-term impact of Ball compared to players such as Coby White, Cam Reddish, Jarrett Culver, De'Andre Hunter and Darius Garland-- five players who will be in Phoenix's draft range.





Boston Celtics


Celtics get: Anthony Davis, Solomon Hill

Pelicans get: Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, 2019 No. 14 pick, 2019 No. 20 pick, 2020 Memphis first-round pick (top-six protected)

Bobby Marks: Despite the Pelicans insistence on adding a third team to a deal, a package of Tatum, Hayward and these three first-round picks should suffice. While this package is rich for Boston -- especially with the uncertainty of Davis re-signing as a free agent in 2020 -- head of basketball operations Danny Ainge would be following the same script as the Oklahoma City Thunder (Paul George) and Toronto Raptors (Kawhi Leonard) by taking a win-now approach without a long-term commitment.

There is also the uncertainty when it comes to free agent Kyrie Irving. While this trade could not become official until July 6, both sides can verbally agree to a deal before free agency begins. If Davis is on board before the first day of free agency, would that be enough to sell Irving to stay in Boston?

Tatum and the Grizzlies pick are the big prizes here for New Orleans. Tatum checks the most important box as a young player with All-Star potential. The Memphis first-rounder becomes valuable because of the uncertainty surrounding Mike Conley on a Grizzlies team that will prioritize player development in 2019-20. That pick will become unprotected in 2021 if not conveyed next year.







LA Clippers
Clippers get: Anthony Davis

Suns get: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Pelicans get: Danilo Gallinari, Josh Jackson, Jerome Robinson, 2019 No. 6 pick, 2020 LA first-round pick*, 2021 Miami first-round pick

*LA would have to wait until after the 2019 draft to trade this pick.


Andrew Han: Anthony Davis finally gets to LA -- and for one of the teams that was on his original list of four franchises. New Orleans gets a second chance to utilize forward-thinking trade assets eight years after sending Chris Paul to the Clippers for picks and young players. And though the best thing to come of that exchange was its ability to be bad enough to draft AD, Griffin & Co. should be savvy enough to build around the soon-to-be Pelican Zion Williamson with a second high lottery pick and two additional picks in subsequent years.

For the Suns, a reliable playmaking lead guard has been coveted for years to pair with Devin Booker. And while some might think trading the No. 6 pick for last season's No. 11 pick would be a net loss, Gilgeous-Alexander proved himself to be not just one of the best point guard prospects, but one of the best prospects in a deep 2018 draft class.

For Lawrence Frank, Michael Winger and the Clips, this is a cut-and-dried affair. If there is reasonable evidence that Davis will re-sign with the Clippers, the opportunity to pair a perennial MVP candidate with a max salary slot is the reason why prescient front offices collect assets. Add to that the deepest bench in the league and Los Angeles would immediately sport at least one title contender.
 

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Denver Nuggets

Nuggets get:
Anthony Davis

Pelicans get: Gary Harris, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, Michael Porter Jr., 2021 Denver first-round pick, 2022 Denver second-round pick, 2023 Denver second-round pick

Kevin Arnovitz: Last summer, the Toronto Raptors affirmed that very good teams, sometimes, must gamble if they want to break their ceiling. Toronto had every reason to believe that Kawhi Leonard's long-term interest in remaining a Raptor was nil, yet the Raptors shipped out their franchise player and bet on the strength of their organization. Leonard might still depart, but nobody can take away what the Raptors achieved in 2019.

Like the Raptors, the Nuggets are a very good team that, with the addition of a superstar, would become a title favorite in 2020. Like Toronto in the imagination of Leonard, Denver isn't a destination for which Davis has any preference. Yet winning is a powerful potion -- particularly for a player like Davis who has exactly one career win after April. Win the West with Davis, and dare him to dive into the Lakers vortex to play alongside 35-year-old LeBron James.

The Pelicans would receive two-way shooting guard Harris, who turns 25 in September, on a very fair contract, along with two inexpensive guards with some upside in Beasley and Morris. The Pelicans can afford to be patient with Porter, who continues to recover from a debilitating back injury, but whose raw talent remains tantalizing. Denver's picks don't figure to be lottery selections, but with the best defensive backcourt in basketball, Williamson an emerging star, and cap space galore once Solomon Hill and E'Twaun Moorecome off the books next summer, the calculus has changed: The Pelicans are rebuilding on the fly at high speed.



Portland Trail Blazers
Blazers get:
Anthony Davis, E'Twaun Moore, Jahlil Okafor

Pelicans get: CJ McCollum, Jusuf Nurkic, 2019 No. 25 pick, 2021 Portland first-round pick

André Snellings: In this deal, the Blazers become the next team to push in all their chips for a guaranteed season with a superstar. The Davis-Damian Lillard combo would make them contenders immediately, with both stars at the peak of their powers and starving for a title. Plus, like the Raptors, Portland has an outstanding fan base that would welcome Davis with open arms. And if Davis doesn't decide to stay, the Trail Blazers have a lot of expiring deals and would then have the opportunity to almost start fresh around Lillard, who reportedly is interested in signing an upcoming supermax extension.

On the Pelicans' side, McCollum is an All Star-caliber player who has averaged 24.4 PPG during his last three playoff appearances in a secondary role. McCollum is entering his peak at only 27 years old, he's an excellent scorer who would be an outstanding fit next to Williamson and would also form a very intriguing backcourt with Jrue Holiday. Nurkic is only 24. He averaged 15 points and almost 10 rebounds in his two-plus seasons in Portland, and he was rounding into one of the better young big men in the NBA before his leg injury. Both are foundation-level players, and the two draft picks help round out the deal.
 
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