Random NBA Observations 2017 - 2018

L&HH

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I actually had a bet on the Pelicans and I felt that putting Lonzo back in would get me to cash my ticket.

That said, I'm a bit torn on this type of thing. If you're giving Lonzo the keys to the franchise what's the most effective way of teaching him? Through experience or do you let him sit there and watch? As a Laker fan it was a bit frustrating to see Luke go away from what as working yet at the same time it felt like Lonzo did a solid job setting up teammates for shots in crunch time and they just missed.

I recommended Pelicans -4 in the betting thread as well:

Anybody else on Pelicans -4 at the Lakers? Lakers defense is completely terrible. Cousins and Davis might both drop 40.

Gamblers Only Week 1 CFB Betting Thread

And I agree with you. I'm a Lonzo fan so from a learning experience I wanted to see him try and close it out. But ultimately I knew running a slower half-court game played right into the Pelicans hands.
 

<<TheStandard>>

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I recommended Pelicans -4 in the betting thread as well:



Gamblers Only Week 1 CFB Betting Thread

And I agree with you. I'm a Lonzo fan so from a learning experience I wanted to see him try and close it out. But ultimately I knew running a slower half-court game played right into the Pelicans hands.


I didn't lay the 4.

I took the Pelicans ML -190.

I didn't have time to run my NBA model off Friday and Saturday's numbers because I was out of town on some DJ shyt Saturday and today (Sunday) I was tied up at the casino with NFL shyt. I think my numbers from last year had this game at Pelicans -2 but it felt like laying only 1.90 with this pelicans team in this spot (coming off the GS game) was +EV given the Lakers lack of experience and talent.
 

L&HH

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I didn't lay the 4.

I took the Pelicans ML -190.

I didn't have time to run my NBA model off Friday and Saturday's numbers because I was out of town on some DJ shyt Saturday and today (Sunday) I was tied up at the casino with NFL shyt. I think my numbers from last year had this game at Pelicans -2 but it felt like laying only 1.90 with this pelicans team in this spot (coming off the GS game) was +EV given the Lakers lack of experience and talent.
:ohhh: How's your system been working out for you?
 

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:manny: It's quite possible at this point. Zo and Ingram have shown flashes, Kuzma is solid. But none of them are close to sure things. All flawed prospects. D'Lo on the other hand has the skills to be great, just gotta be more consistent and improve his attitude/mentality I guess. Dude has balled so far in Brooklyn.

4 years into a rebuild without a clear centerpiece is rough though.
 

<<TheStandard>>

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:ohhh: How's your system been working out for you?

I'm pretty sure I've had a lot of luck but I went the final four and half months of the NBA season last year without a losing week.

Biggest loss I had in NBA last year during that time period was the Rockets/Spurs series (I had the Rockets :scust:Harden SMH) but even then I had games that week that made me all but break even.

Besides that I couldn't miss from the beginning of March to June.

I'm easing my way into this season. I prefer totals to sides but I'm really just picking my spots on sides right now. While it's early in the season I'm betting teams I liked. I've bet Portland every game this year (against -1 against PHX, -3.5 agains Indy, +3.5 and ML against Milwaukee) Felt like what they've done in the small sample size with Nurkic would extrapolate to a full season so I'm riding them.

NFL is definitely a lot better this year than last year for me. If every favorite is covering then I'm probably losing money. Pats, Cowboys, Raiders covering literally every single week last year was pure hell. I remember betting the Texans +17.5 against the Pats in the playoffs and the Texans dominated, won the turnover margin and somehow the Pats still ended up covering. shyt was :bryan:

Besides that I'm really just trying to improve my stat modeling skills. Using excel right now but in the process of teaching myself Python and R.
 

I'm Chillin

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I actually had a bet on the Pelicans and I felt that putting Lonzo back in would get me to cash my ticket.

That said, I'm a bit torn on this type of thing. If you're giving Lonzo the keys to the franchise what's the most effective way of teaching him? Through experience or do you let him sit there and watch? As a Laker fan it was a bit frustrating to see Luke go away from what as working yet at the same time it felt like Lonzo did a solid job setting up teammates for shots in crunch time and they just missed.

Experience.. Sitting and watching only does so much imo, gotta let him go through the growing pains
 

TrillaMonsoon

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Man, I just had to miss the best Wolves game in years :beli:

In the highlights I saw, it looked like Wiggins was attacking and going for rebounds. He had a big offensive rebound late and had 7 overall :ehh:

He's got so much natural talent and I feel like rebounding is something he should excel at because he's at worst the 2nd best athlete on the court at all times. I'm looking forward to this team figuring it out and Thibs to get these rotations figured out. I think Bjelicia is gonna end up getting this crunch time minutes at the 4 before too long. 
 

DosCadenaz

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I don't think putting Lonzo ruined our game. They had plenty of looks and just couldn't connect. As they gel n grow it'll be more consistent performances. No hot one night n cold the next. It'll be more consistent.
 

Dirty D

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I'm pretty sure I've had a lot of luck but I went the final four and half months of the NBA season last year without a losing week.

Biggest loss I had in NBA last year during that time period was the Rockets/Spurs series (I had the Rockets :scust:Harden SMH) but even then I had games that week that made me all but break even.

Besides that I couldn't miss from the beginning of March to June.

I'm easing my way into this season. I prefer totals to sides but I'm really just picking my spots on sides right now. While it's early in the season I'm betting teams I liked. I've bet Portland every game this year (against -1 against PHX, -3.5 agains Indy, +3.5 and ML against Milwaukee) Felt like what they've done in the small sample size with Nurkic would extrapolate to a full season so I'm riding them.

NFL is definitely a lot better this year than last year for me. If every favorite is covering then I'm probably losing money. Pats, Cowboys, Raiders covering literally every single week last year was pure hell. I remember betting the Texans +17.5 against the Pats in the playoffs and the Texans dominated, won the turnover margin and somehow the Pats still ended up covering. shyt was :bryan:

Besides that I'm really just trying to improve my stat modeling skills. Using excel right now but in the process of teaching myself Python and R.

Are u posting your picks somewhere?
 
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