🎶On the First Day of Christmas my Red One Gave to Me... 34M Bottles Full of The Rock's Pee🎶 | The Domestic Box Office Thread | Nov. 15-17

[Artificial Intelligence]

Didn’t know apes was out. Will see it next week

 

[Avisible Man]

'IF' I had $35M for Every Time the Projections Were Wrong: Weekend Box Office Results (May 17-19)​

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I'd be Paramount's IF. $35M was more than enough to clear the Apes and their Kingdom  to open in first place. That seems disappointing for a $110 million budgeted pic, but it is the 6th best opening of the year. It's got a great A CinemaScore that should keep moviegoers going to see it for weeks to come, even though Garfield drops next week. However, If you were to read the deadline box office articles which I do, you would think this movie performed great no matter what.

This is from Friday:

FRIDAY AM: John Krasinski’s imaginary friend feature IF made $1.75 million in Thursday night previews that began at 5 p.m. It’s been awhile since we had a live-action PG-rated feature, so comps are tough. The outlook heading into the weekend is $40M. The top opening for an original live-action PG film was Hop at $37.5M in 2011.

All right. So after $1.75 million in Thursday previews, Anthony D'Alessandro, says to look for a weekend of $40 million.

Then we get D'Alessandro on Saturday morning:

SATURDAY AM EARLY: IF is looking at $30.5M opening this weekend after a $10M Friday + previews, at 4,041 theaters and while that might scream lower than expected on the surface since it’s below its $40M projections, triple note, it’s a PG-rated live-action film. There’s a reason why they haven’t been greenlit in a while, and let’s not slam Paramount and John Krasinsksi for swinging for the fences on original content.

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So that new s*** took a little tumble all the way down to $30.5 million, which is, you know, damn near $10 million off of the $40 million projection. And this D'Alessandro dude says, "well, you know, that might scream lower than expected." No, mother f***** that is lower than expected. In fact, lower than you expected.

And then we get this motherfukker this morning:

SUNDAY AM, 5:36 AM: Saturdays were good to IF lifting the pic to a now $34M opening after a $13.6M Saturday, up 32% against $10.3M Friday and previews. That means that A CinemaScore word of mouth is working. I’m hearing tracking was over its skis predicting it at $40M, and presales all along indicated it was in the $30M range.

Now he's doing cartwheels because Saturday was good to IF. Then magically he heard that the tracking was a bit presumptuous at $40 million and the pre-sales actually indicated that the movie would open in the $30 million range all along. Well how come you didn't say this yesterday? This s*** actually did $35M so right in the middle of $30M and $40M. You don't get to claim victory over that.

The Apes were strong as Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes made $26M in its second weekend. Is that best War for the Planet of the Apes' $20.8M second weekend. That's a $101.2M running 10-day cume -- ahead of War's $98.2M.

The Strangers: Chapter 1 opened with an impressive $12 million. That's 41% more than it's $8.5M production budget. How bout that? It's ahead of The Strangers: Prey at Night's $10.4M opening weekend. Audiences gave both films the same C cinemascore. So if this new Strangers: Chapter 1 has the same legs as Prey at Night, then you're looking at a $28.2 million finish. If it can maintain its audience, it will be the highest grossing horror movie of the year, besting Imaginary's $28M.

The Fall Guy fell to 4th place with $8.4M in its 3rd weekend. And now it falls on to pvod tomorrow where I will promptly watch it on Stremio. With $62.9M after 17 days, The Fall Guy is 9.7% off Bullet Train's (Also Directed by David Leitch) $69M.

Challengers, also out on PVOD, closed out the top 5 with $2.9M. Pickle-smooching aside, I added it to the Stremio library.

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Notables​

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The Amy Winehouse biopic, Back to Black, opened with $2.8M




Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire is up to a $561.05M worldwide running total -- just behind Kong: Skull Island's $561.07M -- as it closes in on the top spot in the MonsterVerse.

With $130K, The First Omen has grossed $20M.

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The Top Ten ​

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Rank​	LW​	Movie​	Gross​	%± LW​	Theaters​	Total Gross​	Weeks​	Distributor​
1	-	IF	$35,000,000	-	4,041	$35,000,000	1	Paramount
2	1	Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes	$26,000,000	-55.5%	4,075	$101,239,501	2	20th Century Studios
3	-	The Strangers: Chapter 1	$12,000,000	-	2,856	$12,000,000	1	Lionsgate
4	2	The Fall Guy	$8,450,000	-38.3%	3,845	$62,986,845	3	Universal
5	3	Challengers	$2,941,203	-32.8%	1,938	$43,510,299	4	Amazon MGM
6	-	Back to Black	$2,850,000	-	2,010	$2,850,000	1	Focus Features
7	4	Tarot	$2,000,000	-41.2%	2,334	$15,433,316	3	Screen Gems
8	5	Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire	$1,710,000	-34.5%	1,773	$194,405,013	8	Warner Bros.
9	-	The Blue Angels	$1,310,767	-	227	$1,310,767	1	Amazon MGM
10	6	Unsung Hero	$1,095,000	-57.1%	1,736	$19,069,317	4	Lionsgate

 

[Deltron]

legit shocked IF did that well.

it's a cute family film and all...but story was kinda meh

 

[Lootpack]

Crazy to see how much of a draw Ryan Reynolds has become since the Van Wilder days. I’d be completely tired of the guy if it wasn’t for Deadpool, but dude seems to have a grasp on the audience.

 

[Lootpack]

The Amy Winehouse biopic, Back to Black, opened with $2.8M

I’m glad this shyt is getting rejected, and I say that as a massive fan of Amy.

 

[Deltron]

I’m glad this shyt is getting rejected, and I say that as a massive fan of Amy.

it was pretty shytty overall

only kinda cool thing was i believe the actress is actually singing, and they aren't overdubbing it w/ Amy's vocals

she kinda sounds like Amy

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

Crazy to see how much of a draw Ryan Reynolds has become since the Van Wilder days. I’d be completely tired of the guy if it wasn’t for Deadpool, but dude seems to have a grasp on the audience.

The movie only made 35 mill. Probably won't even crack 100 domestically. Especially with Furiousa opening next weekend. Apes barely gonna hit 150 domestic.

 

[Lootpack]

The movie only made 35 mill. Probably won't even crack 100 domestically. Especially with Furiousa opening next weekend. Apes barely gonna hit 150 domestic.

That’s a solid opening for a non-IP. It’s The Garfield Movie that ‘If’ should be worrying about more-so than Furiosa, being a family friendly outing and all. WOM has been looking really promising. Pratt bout to make out like a bandit again.

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

Still not a bad opening for a non-IP. It’s The Garfield Movie that ‘If’ should be worrying about more-so than Furiosa, being a family friendly outing and all. WOM has been looking really promising. Pratt bout to make out like a bandit again.

Garfield will do decent numbers but probably not much more that this shyt. I could be wrong but Garfield isn't Super Mario. I still ain't seen super Mario bros. But the Garfield trailer looked coo. I used to have those Garfield books when I was younger.

 

[Deltron]

Garfield will do decent numbers but probably not much more that this shyt. I could be wrong but Garfield isn't Super Mario. I still ain't seen super Mario bros. But the Garfield trailer looked coo. I used to have those Garfield books when I was younger.

garfield was weak...prob will do ok weekend 1, but will drop off after

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

garfield was weak...prob will do ok weekend 1, but will drop off after

Yeah hard to see it doing great numbers. Too much shyt dropping.

 

[Lootpack]

Garfield will do decent numbers but probably not much more that this shyt. I could be wrong but Garfield isn't Super Mario. I still ain't seen super Mario bros. But the Garfield trailer looked coo. I used to have those Garfield books when I was younger.

Wouldn’t shock me if it does better. Garfield isn’t anywhere near as “event” like a Super Mario Bros, but it is an animated IP with familiarity that spans generations. That’s a more inviting trip to the theater for families over Kirkland brand Grimace or the R-rated Furiosa.

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

Wouldn’t shock me if it does better. Garfield isn’t anywhere near as “event” like a Super Mario Bros, but it is an animated IP with familiarity that spans generations. That’s a more inviting trip to the theater for families over Kirkland brand Grimace or the R-rated Furiosa.

 

[Deltron]

i don't know how much of an indication my screening was, but the kids there hardly laughed...my nephews hardly laughed and they laugh at the stupidest shyt, easy to get laughs out of

there was maybe 2-3 times they laughed

 

[Red Shield]

Wonder if this summer is gonna be as flopped filled as last.

Still wondering if I should catch Furiousa. Nothing I really wanna see until June.