Official War With Iran Thread
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ZoeGod
I’m from Brooklyn a place where stars are born.
There's 'no Plan B' for Biden if Iran nuclear talks fail, experts warn
The Iran nuclear deal is dead. There is little Biden can do. Israeli assassinations and sabotage haven’t really slowed down Iran nuclear program. Trumps decision to withdraw from the deal is going to lead to a crisis in the Mideast. Biden may soon find himself in a position where Israel will unilaterally strike Iran’s nuclear program. Biden is a realist however. He may simply allow Iran to get nukes because what is the other option. All out war with Iran at a time he wants to pivot against China? I have a feeling once is realized the JCPOA is dead Israel may do something stupid next year.
The Iran nuclear deal is dead. There is little Biden can do. Israeli assassinations and sabotage haven’t really slowed down Iran nuclear program. Trumps decision to withdraw from the deal is going to lead to a crisis in the Mideast. Biden may soon find himself in a position where Israel will unilaterally strike Iran’s nuclear program. Biden is a realist however. He may simply allow Iran to get nukes because what is the other option. All out war with Iran at a time he wants to pivot against China? I have a feeling once is realized the JCPOA is dead Israel may do something stupid next year.
88m3
Fast Money & Foreign Objects
WSJ News Exclusive | Iran Resumes Production of Advanced Nuclear-Program Parts, Diplomats Say
WSJ News Exclusive | Iran Resumes Production of Advanced Nuclear-Program Parts, Diplomats Say
Laurence Norman
7-9 minutes
Iran has resumed production of equipment for advanced centrifuges at a site the United Nations’ atomic energy agency has been unable to monitor or gain access to for months, said diplomats familiar with the activities, presenting a new challenge for the Biden administration as it prepares for nuclear talks.
The renewed work has raised fresh concerns among Western diplomats who say it could allow Iran to start secretly diverting centrifuge parts if Tehran chose to build a covert nuclear-weapons program, although they say there is no evidence at this point that it has done so.
Iran resumed work on a limited scale in late August at an assembly plant in Karaj, a city west of Tehran, and has since accelerated its production, allowing it to manufacture an unknown number of rotors and bellows for more advanced centrifuges, diplomats said. Iran had stopped work at Karaj in June after a sabotage attack that Tehran blamed on Israel, which hasn’t acknowledged responsibility.
According to the diplomats, Iran has now produced significant amounts of centrifuge parts since late August, with one of the diplomats saying it has produced parts for at least 170 advanced centrifuges. Centrifuges are used to spin enriched uranium into higher levels of purity either for civilian use or, at 90% purity, for nuclear weapons.
Iran has withdrawn from most commitments under the 2015 nuclear deal since the Trump administration reimposed sweeping sanctions in November 2018. In February, Iran scaled back International Atomic Energy Agency oversight of many of its nuclear-related sites, including Karaj, but agreed to keep agency cameras and recording devices in place at Karaj and a series of other sights.
All of the recent work at Karaj has taken place without any official IAEA monitoring, the diplomats said. Iran significantly tightened security at Karaj after the June alleged sabotage, the latest in a series of explosions at its nuclear facilities over the past two years.
Iran’s production of centrifuges is a critical issue in talks beginning Nov. 29 to revive the nuclear deal, which the Biden administration is hoping to restore after former President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. from it in May 2018.
New-generation Iranian centrifuges on display in Tehran in April.
Photo: iranian presidency office/Reuters
The original deal was built around the idea that Iran should be kept at least one year away from being able to produce enough nuclear fuel for one bomb—its so-called breakout time. Since the U.S. exited the deal, Iran has installed more than 1,000 more advanced centrifuges, which are able to enrich uranium more quickly. That has helped reduce Iran’s current breakout time to as little as a month.
The IAEA has echoed Western concerns in recent weeks that Iran’s nuclear activities are no longer being fully tracked, saying in September that Iran’s failure to restore cameras to Karaj is “seriously compromising” the agency’s ability to ensure continuous knowledge about the nuclear program.
According to one of the diplomats familiar with Iran’s program, Iran has installed the centrifuges whose key parts were produced at Karaj at Iran’s underground, heavily fortified, Fordow site. The diplomat said there is no evidence the centrifuges parts have been diverted elsewhere but “as the number of unmonitored centrifuges increases, the likelihood for this scenario increases.”
There is no evidence Iran has a covert nuclear program, the diplomats said, and Iran’s core nuclear facilities, including Fordow and Natanz, which produce enriched uranium, remain under IAEA oversight. Iran says its nuclear activities are purely peaceful.
The IAEA didn’t respond to a request for comment. The agency is expected to issue its latest report on Iran’s nuclear program this week. There was no immediate response from Iran’s IAEA mission.
Iran’s Nuclear Program: What We Know About Tehran’s Key Sites
0:00 / 7:42
7:42
Iran’s Nuclear Program: What We Know About Tehran’s Key Sites
Iran’s Nuclear Program: What We Know About Tehran’s Key Sites
While Iran says it isn’t trying to build nuclear weapons, a look at its key facilities suggests it could develop the technology to make them. WSJ breaks down Tehran’s capabilities as it hits new milestones in uranium enrichment and limits access to inspectors. Photo illustration: George Downs
Iran’s work at Karaj creates a new complication for nuclear talks, which are already shaping up to be extremely tough due to major differences between the U.S. and Iran’s new hard-line government under President Ebrahim Raisi on restoring the deal.
Western diplomats have warned that without a clear understanding of what material and equipment Iran has now, it is harder to reach an agreement that ensures effective but temporary restrictions on Iran’s nuclear activities in exchange for the lifting of most international sanctions.
Tensions over monitoring have been growing for months between the agency and Iran.
Iran in February suspended oversight of its uranium mines, yellowcake facilities and centrifuge assembly plants, including Karaj, which were supposed to be kept under IAEA cameras and other supervision under the 2015 nuclear deal.
However, Iran made a side deal at the time that the IAEA could keep cameras and other recording equipment going at the sites and that Tehran would store and hand over the footage in future to the agency if a deal was struck on reviving the 2015 accord.
In September, after a last-minute visit to Tehran, IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi won Iran’s agreement for inspectors to access these facilities to reset cameras and other monitoring equipment.
However, in late September, the IAEA said Iran had reneged on its commitment to allow inspectors into Karaj to replace four cameras that had been removed from the site after the June sabotage. Iran claimed it had never agreed to allow access to Karaj.
In its quarterly report on Iran in September, the IAEA reported that it asked for access to Karaj in late August—a request that wasn’t granted—and was seeking the whereabouts of missing footage from one of those cameras.
On Friday, Mr. Grossi confirmed at a news conference the IAEA still had been given no access to Karaj, saying it would be “very problematic” if the issue wasn’t resolved.
However, even as the agency was first seeking access to Karaj in late August, Iran had started work again at the assembly plant, which satellite imagery showed was badly damaged in the June sabotage. Work started initially on only a few machines before expanding.
Write to Laurence Norman at laurence.norman@wsj.com
Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8
WSJ News Exclusive | Iran Resumes Production of Advanced Nuclear-Program Parts, Diplomats Say
Laurence Norman
7-9 minutes
Iran has resumed production of equipment for advanced centrifuges at a site the United Nations’ atomic energy agency has been unable to monitor or gain access to for months, said diplomats familiar with the activities, presenting a new challenge for the Biden administration as it prepares for nuclear talks.
The renewed work has raised fresh concerns among Western diplomats who say it could allow Iran to start secretly diverting centrifuge parts if Tehran chose to build a covert nuclear-weapons program, although they say there is no evidence at this point that it has done so.
Iran resumed work on a limited scale in late August at an assembly plant in Karaj, a city west of Tehran, and has since accelerated its production, allowing it to manufacture an unknown number of rotors and bellows for more advanced centrifuges, diplomats said. Iran had stopped work at Karaj in June after a sabotage attack that Tehran blamed on Israel, which hasn’t acknowledged responsibility.
According to the diplomats, Iran has now produced significant amounts of centrifuge parts since late August, with one of the diplomats saying it has produced parts for at least 170 advanced centrifuges. Centrifuges are used to spin enriched uranium into higher levels of purity either for civilian use or, at 90% purity, for nuclear weapons.
Iran has withdrawn from most commitments under the 2015 nuclear deal since the Trump administration reimposed sweeping sanctions in November 2018. In February, Iran scaled back International Atomic Energy Agency oversight of many of its nuclear-related sites, including Karaj, but agreed to keep agency cameras and recording devices in place at Karaj and a series of other sights.
All of the recent work at Karaj has taken place without any official IAEA monitoring, the diplomats said. Iran significantly tightened security at Karaj after the June alleged sabotage, the latest in a series of explosions at its nuclear facilities over the past two years.
Iran’s production of centrifuges is a critical issue in talks beginning Nov. 29 to revive the nuclear deal, which the Biden administration is hoping to restore after former President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. from it in May 2018.
New-generation Iranian centrifuges on display in Tehran in April.
Photo: iranian presidency office/Reuters
The original deal was built around the idea that Iran should be kept at least one year away from being able to produce enough nuclear fuel for one bomb—its so-called breakout time. Since the U.S. exited the deal, Iran has installed more than 1,000 more advanced centrifuges, which are able to enrich uranium more quickly. That has helped reduce Iran’s current breakout time to as little as a month.
The IAEA has echoed Western concerns in recent weeks that Iran’s nuclear activities are no longer being fully tracked, saying in September that Iran’s failure to restore cameras to Karaj is “seriously compromising” the agency’s ability to ensure continuous knowledge about the nuclear program.
According to one of the diplomats familiar with Iran’s program, Iran has installed the centrifuges whose key parts were produced at Karaj at Iran’s underground, heavily fortified, Fordow site. The diplomat said there is no evidence the centrifuges parts have been diverted elsewhere but “as the number of unmonitored centrifuges increases, the likelihood for this scenario increases.”
There is no evidence Iran has a covert nuclear program, the diplomats said, and Iran’s core nuclear facilities, including Fordow and Natanz, which produce enriched uranium, remain under IAEA oversight. Iran says its nuclear activities are purely peaceful.
The IAEA didn’t respond to a request for comment. The agency is expected to issue its latest report on Iran’s nuclear program this week. There was no immediate response from Iran’s IAEA mission.
Iran’s Nuclear Program: What We Know About Tehran’s Key Sites
0:00 / 7:42
7:42
Iran’s Nuclear Program: What We Know About Tehran’s Key Sites
Iran’s Nuclear Program: What We Know About Tehran’s Key Sites
While Iran says it isn’t trying to build nuclear weapons, a look at its key facilities suggests it could develop the technology to make them. WSJ breaks down Tehran’s capabilities as it hits new milestones in uranium enrichment and limits access to inspectors. Photo illustration: George Downs
Iran’s work at Karaj creates a new complication for nuclear talks, which are already shaping up to be extremely tough due to major differences between the U.S. and Iran’s new hard-line government under President Ebrahim Raisi on restoring the deal.
Western diplomats have warned that without a clear understanding of what material and equipment Iran has now, it is harder to reach an agreement that ensures effective but temporary restrictions on Iran’s nuclear activities in exchange for the lifting of most international sanctions.
Tensions over monitoring have been growing for months between the agency and Iran.
Iran in February suspended oversight of its uranium mines, yellowcake facilities and centrifuge assembly plants, including Karaj, which were supposed to be kept under IAEA cameras and other supervision under the 2015 nuclear deal.
However, Iran made a side deal at the time that the IAEA could keep cameras and other recording equipment going at the sites and that Tehran would store and hand over the footage in future to the agency if a deal was struck on reviving the 2015 accord.
In September, after a last-minute visit to Tehran, IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi won Iran’s agreement for inspectors to access these facilities to reset cameras and other monitoring equipment.
However, in late September, the IAEA said Iran had reneged on its commitment to allow inspectors into Karaj to replace four cameras that had been removed from the site after the June sabotage. Iran claimed it had never agreed to allow access to Karaj.
In its quarterly report on Iran in September, the IAEA reported that it asked for access to Karaj in late August—a request that wasn’t granted—and was seeking the whereabouts of missing footage from one of those cameras.
On Friday, Mr. Grossi confirmed at a news conference the IAEA still had been given no access to Karaj, saying it would be “very problematic” if the issue wasn’t resolved.
However, even as the agency was first seeking access to Karaj in late August, Iran had started work again at the assembly plant, which satellite imagery showed was badly damaged in the June sabotage. Work started initially on only a few machines before expanding.
Write to Laurence Norman at laurence.norman@wsj.com
Copyright ©2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8
ADevilYouKhow
Rhyme Reason
ZoeGod
I’m from Brooklyn a place where stars are born.
The Iran nuclear deal is dead now we are faced with a slow moving crisis. Biggest reason is because the hardliners that are in charge are in no mood to get back in the deal. They want guarantees that the US won’t break the deal again but the Biden administration can’t keep that promise. If a new deal is reached and Trump or a GQP nominee wins in 2024 to only break the deal again. So the Iranian perspective is don’t trust the US’s word.
So the big question is what happens if no deal is reached? Biden can’t pressure China to not buy Iranian oil since the Chinese signed a $500 billion deal with Iran. Russia isn’t interested in pressuring Iran either. So that leverage is gone. All the sabotage from Mossad is only going to motivate the Iranians to accelerate their nuclear program. Two things may happen. One is Israel unilaterally strikes Iran putting Biden in a major geopolitical bind he can’t escape. Secondly Israel will wait for the results of the 2024 election. If Biden wins again they may strike Iran. If the GQP wins they will support the return of maximum pressure which failed. Ultimately given how close we came to war with Iran under Trump if he gets a second term there is no doubt in my mind he will drag us to a war over their nuclear program. In the end this is a slow moving crisis that will speed up after the midterms. Trump withdrawing from the deal pushed Iran to be very headline. And here we are.
So the big question is what happens if no deal is reached? Biden can’t pressure China to not buy Iranian oil since the Chinese signed a $500 billion deal with Iran. Russia isn’t interested in pressuring Iran either. So that leverage is gone. All the sabotage from Mossad is only going to motivate the Iranians to accelerate their nuclear program. Two things may happen. One is Israel unilaterally strikes Iran putting Biden in a major geopolitical bind he can’t escape. Secondly Israel will wait for the results of the 2024 election. If Biden wins again they may strike Iran. If the GQP wins they will support the return of maximum pressure which failed. Ultimately given how close we came to war with Iran under Trump if he gets a second term there is no doubt in my mind he will drag us to a war over their nuclear program. In the end this is a slow moving crisis that will speed up after the midterms. Trump withdrawing from the deal pushed Iran to be very headline. And here we are.
@88m3 @dtownreppin214
Didn't i tell yall iran doesn't play?
Bomb Blows Up Van Driven by Wife of Vincennes Captain; She Escapes
Blast Wrecks Van of Skipper Who Downed Iran Jet (Published 1989)
Didn't i tell yall iran doesn't play?
Bomb Blows Up Van Driven by Wife of Vincennes Captain; She Escapes
Blast Wrecks Van of Skipper Who Downed Iran Jet (Published 1989)
Sick George Floyd video game sparks outrage online
Sick George Floyd video game sparks outrage online
By Ben Cost
November 25, 2021 | 11:26am
Iranian game developers are facing the music online over a tasteless video game in which the objective is to save the life of George Floyd. Twitter/@Seamus_Malek; Ben Crump Law
It was a grotesque attempt to cash in on tragedy.
Iranian game developers are facing the music online over a tasteless video game in which the objective is to save the life of George Floyd.
Dubbed “Save The Freedom,” the mobile game is based on the killing of Floyd, who was black, by white police officer Derek Chauvin in Minnesota in May 2020, an incident that prompted protests around the world.
It was developed over the past year by Iran’s Basij paramilitary force — a branch of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps — at the behest of IRGC General Mohammad Reza Naghdi, the Sun reported. He’d expressed the idea at a Basij digital conference in September 2020, proposing a game where players save “this black citizen from American police,” reported Kayhan Life.
The product sees gamers work their way through 30 levels of ascending difficulty, facing enemies who are presumably trying to kill George Floyd, per a tweet by journalist Séamus Malekafzali.
“Save the Freedom” was developed over the past year by Iran’s Basij paramilitary force — a branch of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps — at the behest of IRGC general Mohammad Reza Naghd.
Twitter/@Seamus_Malek
Suffice to say, “Save the Freedom” sparked a fierce backlash on social media, with critics dubbing the game “sick” and “disgusting.”
“This is a joke right,” wrote one aghast commenter of the tone-deaf pixelated pursuit. “Can someone confirm that for me?”
“This is so sick,” seconded another.
One critic lamented: “Is there anything people won’t try and profit from?”
George Floyd was murdered by Minnesota police officer Derek Chauvin in May 2020.
Ben Crump Law
Unfortunately, this isn’t the first time someone has attempted to cash in on George Floyd’s murder. In June 2020, Amazon pulled a posting for a controversial children’s T-shirt that depicted Derek Chauvin kneeling on the neck of George Floyd.
Demonstrators hold a banner during the “I Can’t Breathe — Silent March for Justice” in front of the Hennepin County Government Center on March 7, 2021, where Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin stood trial.
DrBanneker
Space is the Place
This is true. I think a lot of people forget we were probably within weeks of trading blows with Iran if COVID hadn't knocked down the buildings. I mean killing Suleimani has basically trying to degrade their proxy coordination in case there was a war.