Official H5N1 (Bird Flu) Thread

bnew

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1/16
@violetblue@mastodon.social
Sounding the alarm to call attention to the unreal US bird flu/illness situation, since we can't depend on the federal government to do so. Healthcare workers are comparing it to March 2020 and I think it's a Yankee Candle moment :(Link: https://www.patreon.com/posts/alert-h5n1-and-u-121989095

2/16
@mattblaze@federate.social
@violetblue on the (very small) plus side, I’m starting to see a lot more people masking in public places these last few weeks (in DC, anyway).

3/16
@godzero@sfba.social
@mattblaze @violetblue Likewise in Olympia, WA.

4/16
@violetblue
@mattblaze That's awesome actually. I've been noticing a lot more in US protest photos on social media, and real respies too, not dude at a protest face coverings :smile:

5/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue In King County WA, we've still got high quality data on ER visits by virus type. 1240 people came to the ER in the week ending Feb 1 with Flu. That's about half as many as crammed the hospitals from Covid during peak Covid (which is a lot) and the trend was sharply upward. They usually publish data on Wednesdays. Graphs available for last seven years.Respiratory virus data dashboards: COVID-19, Influenza, and RSV - King County, Washington

6/16
@ericburger_nl
@violetblue great article thank you. 1st time I learn about the Yankee candle index btw. Here in the Netherlands they do testing in sewage waste. Well, not from the smell of course.

7/16
@samohTmaS
@violetblue #COVID #TRUMP #flu Violet Blue - I believe you are exactly correct.By late in 2020 it was obvious that SARS-CoV-2 causes significant immune damage. Not long after we saw the first reports linking repeated COVID to an AIDS like syndrome. With repeated infections, by about 4 infections the immune damage is sufficient to cause serious rising rates of all sorts of diseases.We are there. There is no turning back.Societal collapse follows.Meanwhile, the Red Queen Donald reigns.

8/16
@sanpan@mas.to
@samohTmaS @violetblue Had two patients with pulm. embolism last week. No thrombosis, no underlying disease or other explanation, just a COVID-infection prior to that. COVID truly is some scary shyt.

9/16
@fionor@mas.to
@violetblue I know it will affect the rest of the world too, but I surely hope this would hit red states the mostIf anyone deserves it, it's Trump's voters. And Trump in particular. It might even fix part of the problem that caused the outbreak.

10/16
@datum@zeroes.ca
H5N1 D1.1 spillover in Nevada - edit: primary source https://www.aphis.usda.gov/sites/default/files/dairy-cattle-hpai-tech-brief.pdfh/t @violetblue at https://www.patreon.com/posts/alert-h5n1-and-u-121989095 and Helen Branswell (@helenbranswell.bsky.social)

11/16
@cassolotl@eldritch.cafe
@violetblue This is not at all the point, I know, but what is a "yankee candle moment"?Edit: This is linked in the Patreon post: Yankee Candle Index | Know Your Meme

12/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue I would think that state level sampling would have picked up on any substantial portion of the Flu A that is out there being H5N1, but the sensitivity and responsiveness of the system is not what it should be if one were wanting to use testing as a way of finding ongoing community spread of H5N1 and shutting it down aggressively before it could become an epidemic.

13/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue For that, we'd need something like what the Netherlands built for Covid, with a high proportion of all Covid+ tests being put through genotyping assays or outright full genome sequencing. At one point something like 20% of all Gisaid sequences worldwide were from the Netherlands, despite having just ~18m people.

14/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue IMO, we should be doing a lot more to type all Flu A strains that show up at an ER. Instead, we're just prioritizing the typing of ones which result in actual admission. Given the ratio of different types of clinical presentation, a lot of H5N1 could fly below the radar before someone ends up hospitalized.

15/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue I'm not confident that we haven't already seen short chain H2H transmission resulting in the various "Unknown source" cases nationally. Such die-off chains are perfectly feasible given current screening. All we can say is that we aren't seeing sustained H2H transmission, which just means that on average the number of people and infected individual spreads to is <1.

16/16
@grheavyroller
@violetblue The "Seattle area" is me, and I'm seeing masks returning (I never stopped wearing one) though no where near the level they need to be. Thanks for your vigilance in keeping us safe and informed--Keep Going Violet!


To post posts in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
 

Serious

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1/16
@violetblue@mastodon.social
Sounding the alarm to call attention to the unreal US bird flu/illness situation, since we can't depend on the federal government to do so. Healthcare workers are comparing it to March 2020 and I think it's a Yankee Candle moment :(Link: https://www.patreon.com/posts/alert-h5n1-and-u-121989095

2/16
@mattblaze@federate.social
@violetblue on the (very small) plus side, I’m starting to see a lot more people masking in public places these last few weeks (in DC, anyway).

3/16
@godzero@sfba.social
@mattblaze @violetblue Likewise in Olympia, WA.

4/16
@violetblue
@mattblaze That's awesome actually. I've been noticing a lot more in US protest photos on social media, and real respies too, not dude at a protest face coverings :smile:

5/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue In King County WA, we've still got high quality data on ER visits by virus type. 1240 people came to the ER in the week ending Feb 1 with Flu. That's about half as many as crammed the hospitals from Covid during peak Covid (which is a lot) and the trend was sharply upward. They usually publish data on Wednesdays. Graphs available for last seven years.Respiratory virus data dashboards: COVID-19, Influenza, and RSV - King County, Washington

6/16
@ericburger_nl
@violetblue great article thank you. 1st time I learn about the Yankee candle index btw. Here in the Netherlands they do testing in sewage waste. Well, not from the smell of course.

7/16
@samohTmaS
@violetblue #COVID #TRUMP #flu Violet Blue - I believe you are exactly correct.By late in 2020 it was obvious that SARS-CoV-2 causes significant immune damage. Not long after we saw the first reports linking repeated COVID to an AIDS like syndrome. With repeated infections, by about 4 infections the immune damage is sufficient to cause serious rising rates of all sorts of diseases.We are there. There is no turning back.Societal collapse follows.Meanwhile, the Red Queen Donald reigns.

8/16
@sanpan@mas.to
@samohTmaS @violetblue Had two patients with pulm. embolism last week. No thrombosis, no underlying disease or other explanation, just a COVID-infection prior to that. COVID truly is some scary shyt.

9/16
@fionor@mas.to
@violetblue I know it will affect the rest of the world too, but I surely hope this would hit red states the mostIf anyone deserves it, it's Trump's voters. And Trump in particular. It might even fix part of the problem that caused the outbreak.

10/16
@datum@zeroes.ca
H5N1 D1.1 spillover in Nevada - edit: primary source https://www.aphis.usda.gov/sites/default/files/dairy-cattle-hpai-tech-brief.pdfh/t @violetblue at https://www.patreon.com/posts/alert-h5n1-and-u-121989095 and Helen Branswell (@helenbranswell.bsky.social)

11/16
@cassolotl@eldritch.cafe
@violetblue This is not at all the point, I know, but what is a "yankee candle moment"?Edit: This is linked in the Patreon post: Yankee Candle Index | Know Your Meme

12/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue I would think that state level sampling would have picked up on any substantial portion of the Flu A that is out there being H5N1, but the sensitivity and responsiveness of the system is not what it should be if one were wanting to use testing as a way of finding ongoing community spread of H5N1 and shutting it down aggressively before it could become an epidemic.

13/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue For that, we'd need something like what the Netherlands built for Covid, with a high proportion of all Covid+ tests being put through genotyping assays or outright full genome sequencing. At one point something like 20% of all Gisaid sequences worldwide were from the Netherlands, despite having just ~18m people.

14/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue IMO, we should be doing a lot more to type all Flu A strains that show up at an ER. Instead, we're just prioritizing the typing of ones which result in actual admission. Given the ratio of different types of clinical presentation, a lot of H5N1 could fly below the radar before someone ends up hospitalized.

15/16
@Infoseepage
@violetblue I'm not confident that we haven't already seen short chain H2H transmission resulting in the various "Unknown source" cases nationally. Such die-off chains are perfectly feasible given current screening. All we can say is that we aren't seeing sustained H2H transmission, which just means that on average the number of people and infected individual spreads to is <1.

16/16
@grheavyroller
@violetblue The "Seattle area" is me, and I'm seeing masks returning (I never stopped wearing one) though no where near the level they need to be. Thanks for your vigilance in keeping us safe and informed--Keep Going Violet!


To post posts in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
I hate this country
 

wire28

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Gloxina

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Yeah I’ve had people just walking in wearing masks which is interesting to me since I’m sure a bunch of them are “economically anxious”. It’s looking like we bout to be replaying the old classics except this time the disinformation will be federally sponsored

Yep.

I’ve just resigned myself to wearing masks again. Screw it.

It’s going to happen again and they aren’t going to alert the public until we see people dropping.
 
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