Emerson changed their methodology in 2019 and now their surveys are based on 50% automated calls to landlines, 50% online surveys using Amazon's MTurk service, which pays users a pittance to respond to surveys, translate articles, add tags to images on websites....etc. The quicker you finish, the more you get paid.
Nate Cohn repeatedly shyts on any poll that uses MTurk and I know Elliot Morris refuses to use any MTurk-based polls in his model.
I mean, look at the crosstabs in this poll and tell me how they add up to something that makes sense:
Biden only pulling 77% of the black vote to Trump's 19%, while Biden only gets 79% of Dems with 18% voting for Trump. Those would be a 250% improvement for Trump over 2016.
Biden +21 in suburban areas but -1 in cities.
Biden ahead in the South and Midwest but a dead heat in the Northeast.
They are trash. Sucks, b/c I used to post them on here all the time back in 2016.