I really think Michigan is off the board for Trump due to early voting/democrat machine politics...but Wisconsin? Ehhh? I don't have access to the polls Trump people must be leaking to him but imma say that's bullshyt. I'm not comfortable writing Trump off of any swing states yet, outside of Michigan.
Trump won Wisconsin with 47% in 2016 which as we know was only a 22,000+ vote victory. It is very telling he hasn't been able to get beyond 48% in any poll against Biden in Wisconsin.
Hillary on the other hand was leading in the polls but she was on average getting only 46%-47% which should have been a warning sign.. Biden is doing a couple of points better.
Wisconsin had the biggest polling swing. Clinton's polling average was correct. Trump was polling at average of 40%. He overperformed his polling by 7% on election day. Insane shid.