Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)

[MoneyTron]

I wouldn't go that far. Even though that Iowa poll might have been right in 2016, it wasn't that far out of bounds from other Iowa polls in that cycle and the national vote. This is way out of bounds from what we've been seeing.

Maybe he's right but I'll hedge on it.

 

[Redguard]

 

[DrDealgood]

A 26 point swing of independents in that IA poll to Trump from the last one. Again not impossible but definitely

 

[MoneyTron]

This guy knows Iowa very well and writes for political blog on the state.

 

[Dynamite James]

 

[FAH1223]

A 26 point swing of independents in that IA poll to Trump from the last one. Again not impossible but definitely

 

[Dameon Farrow]

Its kind of crazy how convinced MAGA folks are that Trump is going to win.

I just dont see how it happens...
...why are they so confident?

this is easy....their thinking is polls were wrong in 2016 so they'll be wrong in 2020. So much has changed though. Polls are reporting higher leads. Candidate is better and hitting all cylinders. Political landscaped changed. Much higher voter participation.

I just want them to stay on that wave and that high voter participation bleeds into Tuesday.

 

[Saysumthinfunnymike]

PA hasn't tightened. Joe has maintained a 5-6% lead.

That's still close enough to the MOE to be a concern.

I think Biden is taking it but I don't give PA cacs any credit at all. Look what has happened in Ohio.

 

[MoneyTron]

People calling bullshyt on the poll because one of the House candidates had a 21 point swing from their last poll.

I'm going to stop obsessing about this one now. Maybe they just got a bad sample.

 

[88m3]

cops need to be prosecuted and anyone who signed off on that bs

 

[Cattle Mutilation]

Nearly every metric in this poll runs completely counter to every other poll for every other state. I'm chalking this up to them fukking up the poll.

 

[Saysumthinfunnymike]

Wasserman is super bullish on Arizona, many local people in AZ are basically saying it's over...

That isn't surprising but I'm a little surprised at how confident they are.

 

[Tony D'Amato]

Let me in

 

[The Fukin Prophecy]

Can't wait for this shyt to be over...

I already know election night going to be full blown retarded with everyone panicking 2016 all over again the moment Texas gets announced for Trump...

 

[jilla82]

this is easy....their thinking is polls were wrong in 2016 so they'll be wrong in 2020. So much has changed though. Polls are reporting higher leads. Candidate is better and hitting all cylinders. Political landscaped changed. Much higher voter participation.

I just want them to stay on that wave and that high voter participation bleeds into Tuesday.

So basically people dont understand polling

thing is...the polls werent really wrong.
Race was tight...and it happened within the margin of error.

So if the leads are higher this time...