Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)

Who wins?

  • Joe Biden, Vice President of the USA (2009-2017)

    Votes: 440 81.6%
  • Donald Trump, President of the USA (2017-present)

    Votes: 99 18.4%

  • Total voters
    539
  • Poll closed .

Baka's Weird Case

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To be honest, I feel more confident about Biden in Texas than I do Florida. The last two cycles in Florida has made me skeptical. The margin of fukkery always favor the republicans there :mjcry:
as a born and raised texan, you shouldn't feel that way. florida at least voted for obama twice and had a democratic senator until 2018.

we haven't elected a democrat statewide since 1994 - the longest in the country. i dont expect biden to win there and if he does it will be a huge upset

statistically right now, trump is about as likely to win florida as biden is to win texas
 
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Yall looking for +6-8 state polls in a real swing state in this environment?

Come on brehs.

Regardless, you have to believe one of two things now: Biden is up +10 nationally or all the swing states are tossups. I don’t believe the latter tbh. Being close in OH/GA/TX by a similar margin as PA doesn’t make sense.

The national polls were far more accurate in 2016. At a +10 margin, Joe doing damage. That’s just my take as of right now. Things could change but if Joe wins the popular vote by +8 and loses the EC(almost impossible), you’ll have to worry about than just Trump winning.

You're absolutely right that if Biden were to be +10 nationally it is impossible for Cheeto to have won the electoral college.

But the reason why we're so heavily focused on PA (and I do think Biden will pull it out there) is just simply because it's the easiest path to victory. If Biden reclaims the upper midwest for the Dems it's game. set. match. Everyone go home. No sweating it out, no court involvement.. no real fukkery... he's DONE...

Nobody wants to rely on a Florida... for example... I still think Georgia and especially Texas are like dream scenarios. Florida I'm not even thinking about much because I just never trust it and for good reason..

Looking at the map though.. it just wouldn't make sense to me for Biden to lose a state in the upper midwest but then WIN a state south of Virginia. Like that shyt really don't make sense to me. I think if Biden wins in North Carolina then it spells disaster for Trump in the upper midwest.. we'd be looking at a rout :wow:
 
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..and to @AAKing23 point about the debate, it's going to be a bad week for Trump on the national stage. He's not going to look good at the debate and then it sounds like complete fukkery for his 60 Minutes interview.. those clips will be played all Monday morning around the clock.. and he fukking knows it, it's why he's so desperate to get ahead of the interview because when it drops it's going to be Thanksgiving dinner for the national media.

Trump isn't going to do anything to help himself these next two weeks. If people are voting Trump it's because they had their mind made up likely months or years ago.
 

Baka's Weird Case

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Looking at the map though.. it just wouldn't make sense to me for Biden to lose a state in the upper midwest but then WIN a state south of Virginia. Like that shyt really don't make sense to me. I think if Biden wins in North Carolina then it spells disaster for Trump in the upper midwest.. we'd be looking at a rout :wow:
the only way it would be possible is if he has a ton of black and latino turnout, but underperforms with the older and suburban white voters, which itself is really unlikely
 

AAKing23

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For those wondering this is the current electoral map with the polls swinging like they did in 2016 ( they really didn't, only Wisconsin honestly) based on RCP averages


bvJJWZv.png
 
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