Yall looking for +6-8 state polls in a real swing state in this environment?
Come on brehs.
Regardless, you have to believe one of two things now: Biden is up +10 nationally or all the swing states are tossups. I don’t believe the latter tbh. Being close in OH/GA/TX by a similar margin as PA doesn’t make sense.
The national polls were far more accurate in 2016. At a +10 margin, Joe doing damage. That’s just my take as of right now. Things could change but if Joe wins the popular vote by +8 and loses the EC(almost impossible), you’ll have to worry about than just Trump winning.
You're absolutely right that if Biden were to be +10 nationally it is impossible for Cheeto to have won the electoral college.
But the reason why we're so heavily focused on PA (and I do think Biden will pull it out there) is just simply because it's the easiest path to victory. If Biden reclaims the upper midwest for the Dems it's game. set. match. Everyone go home. No sweating it out, no court involvement.. no real fukkery... he's DONE...
Nobody wants to rely on a Florida... for example... I still think Georgia and especially Texas are like dream scenarios. Florida I'm not even thinking about much because I just never trust it and for good reason..
Looking at the map though.. it just wouldn't make sense to me for Biden to lose a state in the upper midwest but then WIN a state south of Virginia. Like that shyt really don't make sense to me. I think if Biden wins in North Carolina then it spells disaster for Trump in the upper midwest.. we'd be looking at a rout