Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)

Who wins?

  • Joe Biden, Vice President of the USA (2009-2017)

    Votes: 440 81.6%
  • Donald Trump, President of the USA (2017-present)

    Votes: 99 18.4%

  • Total voters
    539
  • Poll closed .

Consigliere

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The average of the polls is what you're supposed to take. Different polls have different methodologies and sample sets. The average brings them all together.

I get how it works...

What makes the polls that show the number you want more reliable than the polls that don’t reflect your views?

Is it possible that the 2pt lead poll is more accurate than the 5 pt lead poll?
 

MoneyTron

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I get how it works...

What makes the polls that show the number you want more reliable than the polls that don’t reflect your views?

Is it possible that the 2pt lead poll is more accurate than the 5 pt lead poll?
It might be, but to mitigate that, you take the average. There's a reason why poll aggregators exist.

538 does a good job of actually rating polls based on result accuracy, but you have to get into the weeds to figure out which polls are best where.

All in all, Biden is probably up 3-5 in PA. The state lately votes to the right of MI/WI and left of OH. Like Florida, the results will never be blowouts no matter who is the candidate.
 

ZoeGod

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Sounds like a "winning" campaign :beli: :snoop:

If the Orange tyrant tries any of this America is done we either descend into full fascism or civil war. Like I said yesterday how did we even reach this point? Trump has to be blown out we cant have close results in key swing states. November 3rd to January 20th is gonna be a shytshow :snoop:
 

Consigliere

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It might be, but to mitigate that, you take the average. There's a reason why poll aggregators exist.

538 does a good job of actually rating polls based on result accuracy, but you have to get into the weeds to figure out which polls are best where.

All in all, Biden is probably up 3-5 in PA. The state lately votes to the right of MI/WI and left of OH. Like Florida, the results will never be blowouts no matter who is the candidate.

I can follow this logic. And I agree with your last sentence. And he probably will win PA big. He’s been winning there his whole career and should be able to keep the voter suppression fukkery at bay.
 
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