Michael Moore Correctly Predicted The Presidential Winner in 2016 & 2020. This Year, He Says Trump Will Lose By A Landslide

[IsThatBrothaMouzone?]

Betting markets are being driven by a handful of Trump-supporting whales including one that put $30M on Trump.

The demographics of the bettors for an election are mostly male and white. The electorate is also more divided by gender than it ever has been. It's basically the equivalent of asking a bunch of white men who they WANT to win.

 

[Saysumthinfunnymike]

i would like to see his opinion based on numbers etc instead of feelings

He said he's seen internal polling data and has had discussions with people "in the know" behind closed doors. Do I think he's lying about seeing internal polling data? No, I don't think he's lying..

I do think the battleground states are still close and within the margin of error so that's what makes the election close at this point.

Fat boy is a little out there but he's not typically full of shyt...

 

[Saysumthinfunnymike]

Betting markets > polls. Election markets are wild liquid. You were begging for another stimulus. So why not go bet Harris at +120. If you aren’t confident enough to back your opinion with cash when it is a highly liquid market, your opinion isn’t worth jack shyt

Nobody cares about any of this with raw numbers coming in daily... Right now Kamala is looking good in PA early returns and that's all the data anyone should be looking at. If Trumps loses PA, he will not be winning this election. He desperately needs it. If I see Kamala is lagging behind in PA then I'd change my opinion but right now she's where she needs to be.

 

[lib123]

Betting markets are being driven by a handful of Trump-supporting whales including one that put $30M on Trump.

The demographics of the bettors for an election are mostly male and white. The electorate is also more divided by gender than it ever has been. It's basically the equivalent of asking a bunch of white men who they WANT to win.

True but the Vegas odds are also giving Trump the advantage, not just Polymarket.

 

[Absolut]

Nobody cares about any of this with raw numbers coming in daily... Right now Kamala is looking good in PA early returns and that's all the data anyone should be looking at. If Trumps loses PA, he will not be winning this election. He desperately needs it. If I see Kamala is lagging behind in PA then I'd change my opinion but right now she's where she needs to be.

How much you betting on Harris as a dog in PA right now then?

 

[Saysumthinfunnymike]

 

[Absolut]

Betting markets are being driven by a handful of Trump-supporting whales including one that put $30M on Trump.

The demographics of the bettors for an election are mostly male and white. The electorate is also more divided by gender than it ever has been. It's basically the equivalent of asking a bunch of white men who they WANT to win.

So you getting down big figs on Harris, who is a bigger underdog now than when this thread was made?

 

[Shadow King]

Between this and the JLova thread cats are in denial about the tightness of the race.

 

[Absolut]

Yes that’s how betting works. You backing up your opinion betting anything you can get down on Harris? I have, in a couple states and the race as I don’t think it’s representative of the actual chances of her winning. Have you? If you haven’t you’re just like this other clown talking out of your ass

 

[Samori Toure]

If you look at the early voting numbers so far it is looking like Moore is right. So far records are being broken in early voter turnout all around the country, which is a bad sign for Republicans because they need low voter turnout to win which is why they try to suppress suppress the vote.

 

[Absolut]

We got fukking numb nuts on here posting on a message board concrete opinions instead of backing those up with cash when you can make money up tha wazoo on this stuff. This dumbass @Saysumthinfunnymike was loving bidens performance in the debate while I was buying up all the Harris 10/1, 8/1, 6/1, 5/1, 4/1 I could get because I knew Biden wasn’t going to be the nom. Gained 6 figs in equity on Harris winning the election with what couldn’t be an EASIER position to hedge and trade some trump buyback when Harris ultimately surged ahead with the expected dem convention bump, and bought trump back at plus whatever I could get. I now stand to win 75K if Harris wins, 30k if trump wins, and am positioning some states bets where I think the data doesn’t match up with the betting markets (ie NV where Trump was a small fave at some points and Kamala should be fave here). Absolutely risk free position regardless who wins, prob win more than many folks year salaries if Harris wins, and we got people acting like they are the election experts on here

 

[Schadenfreude]

raw

 

[Fill Collins]

I'm as straight as an arrow but Michael Moore could get it breh

That baseball cap

 

[MoshpitMazi]

Only way republicans win elections these days are by voter interference

 

[Saysumthinfunnymike]

We got fukking numb nuts on here posting on a message board concrete opinions instead of backing those up with cash when you can make money up tha wazoo on this stuff. This dumbass @Saysumthinfunnymike was loving bidens performance in the debate while I was buying up all the Harris 10/1, 8/1, 6/1, 5/1, 4/1 I could get because I knew Biden wasn’t going to be the nom. Gained 6 figs in equity on Harris winning the election with what couldn’t be an EASIER position to hedge and trade some trump buyback when Harris ultimately surged ahead with the expected dem convention bump, and bought trump back at plus whatever I could get. I now stand to win 75K if Harris wins, 30k if trump wins, and am positioning some states bets where I think the data doesn’t match up with the betting markets (ie NV where Trump was a small fave at some points and Kamala should be fave here). Absolutely risk free position regardless who wins, prob win more than many folks year salaries if Harris wins, and we got people acting like they are the election experts on here

You trying me on this shyt and calling me a "dumbass" while I have the Yankees winning the American League since Spring training

That's a lot of words..... and you already exposed yourself as a MAGA clown so I don't have much more to say about it