Miami Heat 2015 Offseason thread: Reload, Retool, and most importantly, Recover

Sauce Dab

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I highly doubt that trade happens. I don't Phil will be open to having Chalmers on his roster
 

Captain Crunch

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Chalmers, Deng, McRoberts, #10 pick for Melo and Hardaway Jr.

I'd do that trade in a minute, NY wouldnt

:scust:
I know it's not an all-time draft, but the last thing we need is another vet making max money :scusthov:
I know the cap is going to likely increase to 90-100 M, but how do you expect to build a great team with depth, when you got 4-5 guys(Dragic; White, Bosh, Wade, Melo) making 15+M/yr? :heh:
 

Primetime21

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:scust:
I know it's not an all-time draft, but the last thing we need is another vet making max money :scusthov:
I know the cap is going to likely increase to 90-100 M, but how do you expect to build a great team with depth, when you got 4-5 guys(Dragic; White, Bosh, Wade, Melo) making 15+M/yr? :heh:
When you dont have a track record of drafting / developing quality young talent this is the only other option. That could change depending on the growth of Ennis, Napier, Johnson
 

Captain Crunch

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When you dont have a track record of drafting / developing quality young talent this is the only other option. That could change depending on the growth of Ennis, Napier, Johnson

In 2016, 29 other teams will receive 30-40 M to spend, while some teams like Philly will have 80+M to spend.
So given that, it'll be tough to get good role players, as plenty of teams will be ready to overspend.

Let's say we do this trade, where do we get the money to sign a backup center and a 3&D wing?
Courtney Lee(who I would love here) will have a host of teams offering him at least 12M+/year and a guaranteed starting job if he signed there. The Heat can't really entice Lee to come here, unless we have Wade come off the bench(we all know that's not happening).

FA aside, Melo is over 30 is breaking down(ask @The War Report ) and does nothing but score. A Wade and Melo perimeter would get roasted on D, Whiteside is a good defender but he isn't Goebert/Gasol level, he'll need to be that if you have those two guys on the wing. Not too mention, Melo might stunt Whiteside's development, by taking a lot of shots from him.

I understand this franchise doesn't have a great track record of developing talent, but they have to start doing it now. If not, this team will STAY treadmill status or become worse if they can't turn draft picks into good young players. :ld:
 

Skooby

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Roster Reload: Better health, better Heat?

2014-15 record: 37-45
Pythagorean record: 34-48
Offensive rating: 101.5 (22nd)
Defensive rating: 103.8 (19th)





Under Contract for 2015-16
Player Salary RPM WARP
Chris Bosh $22,192,730 0.8 4.6
Chris Andersen $5,000,000 -0.1 3.0
Mario Chalmers $4,300,000 -1.3 0.8
Josh McRoberts $5,543,725 0.9 -0.1
Shabazz Napier $1,294,440 -1.3 -0.1
Zoran Dragic $1,706,225 -3.5 -0.2
Udonis Haslem $2,854,940 -4.5 -0.9








Possible Free Agents
Player Type RPM WARP
Hassan Whiteside Non-guaranteed 0.8 8.4
Dwyane Wade Player option 0.0 5.9
Goran Dragic Player option -0.6 5.8
Luol Deng Player option 3.3 4.1
James Ennis Non-guaranteed -0.3 0.7
Tyler Johnson Non-guaranteed - 0.5
Henry Walker Non-guaranteed - 0.1
Michael Beasley Team option -2.5 -1.1






Draft picks


Own top-10 protected (10th entering lottery)
Own second-round pick (40th)



Projected cap space


Maximum: $20.8 million
Minimum: $0
Likely: $0



What's returning


Most notably, Chris Bosh. After missing the second half of this season with a blood clot in his lung, Bosh is expected to be cleared to return to full basketball activities in September with an eye toward being ready for the start of training camp. Bosh played barely 300 minutes with breakout center Hassan Whiteside, with the Heat outscoring opponents by 2.1 points per 100 possessions with that duo, per NBA.com/Stats.



Whiteside will surely be back for the second season of his minimum-salary contract to try to build on his remarkable per-36 averages: 17.8 points, 15.2 rebounds and 3.9 blocks. Backup guard Tyler Johnson also proved an impressive D-League find, making 37.5 percent of his 3-point attempts.



Beyond Bosh, Miami also should get a healthy Josh McRoberts back from arthroscopic knee surgery. Since McRoberts was limited to just 17 games at far less than 100 percent, it's easy to forget how effective he was in Charlotte in 2013-14. McRoberts is overqualified for the reserve role he figures to play alongside veteran center Chris Andersen. Mario Chalmers is also set to return as a backup at both guard spots.




Free agents


Veterans Dwyane Wade ($16.1 million) and Luol Deng ($10.1 million) both have player options on the second seasons of the contracts they signed last summer. Whether on their current contracts or new, longer-term ones, both starting wings figure to return to the Heat. After 12 seasons in South Beach, it's hard to see Wade finishing his career anywhere else, and he remains an effective scorer when healthy.



After giving up a pair of first-round picks for Goran Dragic at the trade deadline, Miami hopes to re-sign the point guard. The Heat can offer Dragic a fifth year and larger year-to-year raises than other suitors such as the Lakers and Knicks. After arriving in Miami, Dragic averaged 17.2 points and 5.5 assists per 36 minutes while making 55.2 percent of his 2-point attempts.



Biggest need: health


With Bosh missing 38 games, Wade 20 and McRoberts 65, the Heat ranked fifth in the NBA in most WARP lost due to injuries in 2014-15. While they should be more capable of overcoming extended absences next season thanks to improved depth, Miami has to keep its stars on the court to be competitive with the Eastern Conference's best teams.



Biggest question: Can the Heat rely on Whiteside?


After Whiteside was ejected from games twice in a week, Wade was sharply critical of his younger teammate, telling reporters, "We all have our moments, selfish moments, but you can't continue to keep having them because you got to be reliable, and you've got to be able to be counted on. And right now, if he continues to act that way, then he's not reliable."



Whiteside wasn't called for an exceptional number of technical (seven) or flagrant fouls (one), but his short fuse was costly in terms of ejections and he wasn't as consistent as his impressive statistics would suggest. If Miami is to take a step forward, Whiteside will need to be a reliable presence in the middle.



Ideal offseason


Heat president Pat Riley already did the heaviest lifting on the offseason by digging up Whiteside and Johnson and dealing for Dragic. Assuming Miami re-signs Dragic and Deng and Wade return, Miami will have only a couple of roster spots open at most. The summer's biggest drama will come in the NBA Draft lottery, when the Heat have to avoid being jumped by a team below them in the order to keep their top-10 protected pick. A lottery pick might be the only newcomer on next year's roster, and it's unlikely that whoever Miami selects will see much action as a rookie.
 

He Who Posts Well

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Jason Lieser: Justise Winslow did not meet with #Heat. Twitter @PBPjasonlieser
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Miami Heat, Draft, Justise Winslow
devin_booker.jpg

Jason Lieser: Devin Booker met w/ #Heat. Says Riley told him Wade is in the final phase of his career and he could learn under him. Twitter @PBPjasonlieser
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Miami Heat, Draft, Devin Booker
Ethan J. Skolnick: Devin Booker calls himself best shooter in draft. Met with Pat Riley. "It was a great vibe. I could feel the Big Blue nation." Twitter @EthanJSkolnick
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Miami Heat, Draft, Pat Riley, Devin Booker
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Jason Lieser: Arkansas PF Bobby Portis met w/ #Heat. He was surprised how personable & funny Riley was. "On TV he always looks so serious." Twitter @PBPjasonlieser
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Miami Heat, Draft, Bobby Portis


Here are the scouting reports from DraftExpress for each prospect.

Bobby Portis
http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Bobby-Portis-7167/
The 6'10.5, 235-pound forward has some intriguing physical tools, centered around his seeming never-ending motor. He competes with tenacity and while he isn't the most explosive player, he zips around the floor with constant energy to affect play on both ends with his mobility. To round out his physical attributes, he sports a long wingspan, measured at 7'1.5, and excellent strength to help play physically on the interior.

Portis will get many baskets at the next level solely from his energy, as he runs the floor in transition well to get ahead of the defense, rolls aggressively to the rim, and establishes deep post position. He's also a relentless offensive rebounder, as his 4.5 offensive rebounds ranks 4th among all players in our top 100. He crashes the glass hard with a great nose for the ball, chases down rebounds outside his area, and proves adept at converting put backs.

He's an improved finisher around the rim in the half court from his freshman year, raising his average from 60% to 64.2% according to Synergy Sports Technology. His lack of explosiveness hurts his ability to finish against rim protectors, so he counters with a quick second jump pursuing offensive rebounds and a quick release to avoid being blocked. He'll need to continue to get stronger or refine his finesse game to find success at the rim at the next level as he is mainly a below the rim player

Portis is a great jump shooter for a big man and has range to the mid-range and beyond. He shot 41.2% on all jump shots according to Synergy Sports Technology which includes 43.5% on jump shot measured from 17 feet to the three point line. He has an unconventional release and follow through but he is consistent with it and it seems to work for him. He hasn't yet looked to extend his shot out to the three point, as he took just 1.0 three's per 40 minutes pace adjusted. He was effective in that small sample connecting on 46.7% of such attempts and increasing his range would make him a more dangerous, versatile offensive player.

Portis has a solid, but not spectacular back to the basket game, as he doesn't have the array of moves needed to consistently beat defenders. He is quick enough to beat defenders to the spot or strong enough to back them down, which does help him create easy looks at times. He has also demonstrated a useable face-up game, along with a drop-step and hook shot that he could use to score on NBA defenders. He's a fairly patient scorer on the block, doing a nice job looking for cutters and turning the ball over at a low rate. However, he doesn't have the counter moves necessary to score consistently on the block and often relies on a tough turnaround, fadeaway jump shot when he can't get past his defender.

Defensively, Portis is constantly active and has the potential to guard either interior or perimeter players. He can leverage his size and strength to slow down big men in the paint and showed the ability to move his feet well enough to stay in front of guards on the perimeter when Arkansas switched on the pick and roll. With the intensity he brings to the court combined with his physical tools, he could help a team in multiple ways defensively and has the potential to be a nice asset for a NBA team on this end of the floor.

From DraftExpress.com http://www.draftexpress.com/#ixzz3aOvImIn2
http://www.draftexpress.com

Weaknesses
One area he will have to improve upon is his defensive rebounding. While he has posted great offensive rebounding numbers, he hasn't had this success translate to the defensive side, where he averages just 6.4 defensive rebounds per 40 minutes pace adjusted. He doesn't always focus on boxing out his opponent and then doesn't have the leaping ability necessary to grab the rebound in traffic. He has the lower body strength to hold his opponents and will need to concentrate on this aspect to contribute as a defensive rebounder for a NBA team.

He doesn't project to be a great rim protector at the next level, as his 1.7 blocks per 40 minutes pace adjusted is an average mark for power forwards in our top 100. He'll surprise people at times with his closing speed but he didn't display the explosiveness and length to be a dominant rim protector at the college level.

Overall, Portis may not project to have a high ceiling but his skill set suggests he should be able to find a spot in the league as a high-impact role player. He has enough offensive weapons to find ways to contribute offensive and his motor and physical tools should help him compete on the defensive side. If he continues to play with high energy, he'll be able to impact on both ends of the floor and find a home in a NBA rotation.

From DraftExpress.com http://www.draftexpress.com/#ixzz3aOw4hhbI
http://www.draftexpress.com

He is not a bad prospect. However, I don't see him getting much playing time behind Haslem, Bosh, McBob, and Bidman. He'd probably be sent to the D-League for his rookie season.
 

He Who Posts Well

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Devin Booker is a good spot up shooter. I could see him actually breaking the rotation if he becomes consistent enough. He is just not a good defender yet but he is only 18 so he has plenty of time to improve and work on his overall game.

Here is his DraftExpress scouting report.

Strengths
Booker has solid height for a shooting guard at 6-6 in shoes, as well as a strong build, but doesn't possess a very long wingspan (6-6) or incredible explosiveness. He's a fluid athlete who moves well and has decent quickness, but isn't the type of prospect who will be jumping over or dominating other players physically.

Nearly half of Booker's field goal attempts on the season came from beyond the arc, and for good reason, as he is one of the best shooters in this draft class. He has gorgeous shooting mechanics, a quick, compact and repeatable motion complete with an effortless release and textbook follow-through. His size, high release point and ability to create separation off the dribble makes him a very capable off the dribble shooter. He has outstanding footwork and balance, allowing him to be more than just a spot-up floor-spacer as someone who makes shots running off screens, attacking closeouts, and punishing defenders for going underneath on the pick and roll. He already shows range out to the NBA 3-point line, and hit 41% of his shots beyond the arc on a very high volume of attempts per-minute.

From DraftExpress.com http://www.draftexpress.com/#ixzz3aOx0Pjn0
http://www.draftexpress.com

Weaknesses
Defensively, Booker's strong frame and competitive nature means he is unlikely to emerge as a liability on this end of the floor. He fights over screens, and shows excellent technique and fundamentals, rarely getting pushed around, despite his youth. With that said, his lack of length and reach, combined with his average lateral quickness, does raise some concerns. He struggles to contest jump-shots closing out on the perimeter, and will get beat at times off the dribble. Additionally, he averaged one of the lowest number of blocks, steals and rebounds of any player in this draft on a per-minute basis, which is a red-flag statistically that again points towards a distinct lack of upside on this end of the court.

The number of players in the NBA who aren't point guards and possess a wingspan shorter than 6-6 and a standing reach under 8-4 is fairly small: J.J. Redikk, O.J. Mayo, Kirk Hinrich, Marcus Thornton, Jody Meeks, Gary Harris, Randy Foye. It's unlikely he'll ever be asked to guard more than one position, which limits his versatility somewhat.

There are also some question marks about Booker's ball-handling ability and how prolific of a shot-creator he will become at the NBA level. Most 3-pointers in today's NBA game come off an assist, and to fully take advantage of Booker's terrific stroke, he will have to be on a team that can manufacture good looks for him. Booker mostly stayed in his lane at Kentucky and played the role he was asked to, which is likely similar to what he will do in the NBA. He was only charted for four isolation possessions all season at Kentucky, and is unlikely to be someone that is asked to shoulder a very heavy load offensively at the next level either.

178 of the 200 shots Booker took in the half-court were jump-shots this season. In the rare cases that he does get inside the paint, he is not a great finisher, due to his average explosiveness and the lack of extension he gets around the rim due to his poor wingspan. He relies heavily on pull-up jumpers and floaters once he puts the ball on the floor, which are not the most high percentage looks in the NBA, and rarely gets to the free throw line—only 65 times in 38 games this season.

NBA teams in the lottery are usually hoping to find a player who projects as either a lockdown defender, or a prolific scoring option—which Booker is neither as of right now. With that said, the shooting guard position lacks quite a bit of depth in this draft class and in the NBA as a whole right now, and there's never been a higher premium put on floor-spacing and 3-point shooters.

While Booker may not possess superstar potential, he also comes with very little risk, as it will be very very surprising if he doesn't end up developing into at least a solid NBA player. At age 18, as the youngest player who will hear his name called on draft night, and someone who is younger than many of the players who participated in this year's McDonald's All-American game, there is plenty of room for him to continue to improve despite not possessing incredible physical tools or upside.

From DraftExpress.com http://www.draftexpress.com/#ixzz3aOxPljD0
http://www.draftexpress.com
 
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