Making our Pockets Fat again AGAIN PT 2 - Official Gambling Thread

threattonature

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How y'all feel about a desperate underdog Eagles team winning in Lambeau? Alson is supposed to be back.
I put 60 on GB. They scare me with how conservative they have gotten with leads. Instead of putting their foot on necks they just shut shyt all the way down.
 

Sghost597

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I put 60 on GB. They scare me with how conservative they have gotten with leads. Instead of putting their foot on necks they just shut shyt all the way down.
I think I'm gonna wait till game time, but I think Rodgers starting to catch fire.

Let's be honest.. Packers is gonna be the best team that the Eagles faced. If they come in injured. I'd take the Packers.

Road teams on TNF is such a risky proposition.

And 3 straight Underdog win on TNF.

What I don't like is that Eagles is at its best when they run that prime Gulf Coast Vertical offense that Prime Brees used to run. Wentz perfer to go west coast for large parts of games till he gets into a do or die situation. Foles always loved to go vertical, but Wentz deep ball is bad and he doesn't trust it.

If anyone us leaning...

1. If Jeffery and Jackson are back and line is still 4.5 or 5. Hedge it now.
2. I think because of the injury concern. It's worth waiting till game time or live bet it out.

It's a sink or swim bet. There is a reason the line won't move more than 4.5. The expected margin of victory should be 5. The only double digit win between both teams is Gen Bay 11 points over Denver. Eagles got a ton of heart. So, if the spread moves down to 4. I'd say it should safe to push or win on Green Bay. If Eagles go back to being super bowl run aggressive. They could easily win this game with their grit.

Yet, It's time for a home favorite to win on TNF.

But gamblers will say that Eagles +4.5 is the safe bet with them being 1-2 and desperate. I think the injuries is the deciding factor
 

threattonature

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I think I'm gonna wait till game time, but I think Rodgers starting to catch fire.

Let's be honest.. Packers is gonna be the best team that the Eagles faced. If they come in injured. I'd take the Packers.

Road teams on TNF is such a risky proposition.

And 3 straight Underdog win on TNF.

What I don't like is that Eagles is at its best when they run that prime Gulf Coast Vertical offense that Prime Brees used to run. Wentz perfer to go west coast for large parts of games till he gets into a do or die situation. Foles always loved to go vertical, but Wentz deep ball is bad and he doesn't trust it.

If anyone us leaning...

1. If Jeffery and Jackson are back and line is still 4.5 or 5. Hedge it now.
2. I think because of the injury concern. It's worth waiting till game time or live bet it out.

It's a sink or swim bet. There is a reason the line won't move more than 4.5. The expected margin of victory should be 5. The only double digit win between both teams is Gen Bay 11 points over Denver. Eagles got a ton of heart. So, if the spread moves down to 4. I'd say it should safe to push or win on Green Bay. If Eagles go back to being super bowl run aggressive. They could easily win this game with their grit.

Yet, It's time for a home favorite to win on TNF.

But gamblers will say that Eagles +4.5 is the safe bet with them being 1-2 and desperate. I think the injuries is the deciding factor
I pulled the trigger on the bet cause it was looking really doubtful that Desean would play. I didn't want him to be called out and then the line moved on me. Jeffrey I'm not too worried about since Wentz doesn't know how to use him right.
 

WesCrook

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It wasn't a 12th man but I've told the story on here before about being in Vegas and having a bet on Celtics/Cavs. I had the Celtics +7.5. Celtics pulled within 1 with two minutes left and I'm celebrating. Them muthafukkas didn't score again. It was still a 5 point game and Cleveland has the ball so I'm thinking I still have a great chance at covering. fukking Lebron pops a 3 with 17 seconds left. Once the game ended I got pissed and balled up the ticket and threw it on the ground of the casino. Had another big bet on Mayweather/Mosley with Mayweather winning by decision that would've paid 250 back. I hit that bet so go to find my betting slip. I still had the Celtics/Cavs slip. Turns out I had balled up and threw down the Mayweather/Mosley ticket. I was too sick.

Meanwhile....

tumblr_lroicpk0lN1r2dyhxo1_500.gif
 

Sghost597

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I pulled the trigger on the bet cause it was looking really doubtful that Desean would play. I didn't want him to be called out and then the line moved on me. Jeffrey I'm not too worried about since Wentz doesn't know how to use him right.
Eagles WR personnel fit better for a gunslinger like Foles. Wentz only likes deep throws on broken wide open coverage like with Jackson.

Foles is ballsy, but he has really good deep ball anticipation. Foles problem steams from reading rolling coverage and defenses keying in on his number 1 and number 2 reads..
 

Sghost597

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Regarding Bears vs. Redskins. After much need tape study and some betting analytics...

Abandon Ship.

That is all.

Live bet and if Redskin get an early lead. Don't jump on Skins. Wait it out. They have blown back to back early leads.

Matt Nagy is due for an offensive explosion.

Skin 7 game MNF losing streak will probably continue and that 7 game Vs. Chicago win streak about to break.

Just don't put significant money Trashbriski to cover.

Mitch's play is the x-factor. He can literally keep Skins alive.

Skins:
Bad coaching
Bad defense
Oline struggle opening up rushing lanes.
One dimensional offense is bad match up for Bears

Case is actually playing very decent, but he doesn't go through his progression that well and miss open receivers a bit.

Defense is really bad to start the season, but this was against a healthy Eagles squad and Primed Dallas team as well. So, the game will probably a lot more even due to Bears lack of weapons.

Skins needs Jonathan Allen because their pass rush is nonexistent.

If Case comes out struggling to put up 50% completion rating. Skins are done..

Just gonna brag right here.

It has taken me a good bit of time to get better at film study, but it has paid off. 100% spot.

Key point one dimensional offense is always a bad match up with the Bears. When you can have a pass rush and sit 7 back in coverage . You can tear a decent QB apart.
 

Ohene

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Washington and LAC are good money

Washington +3
- NYG back home after a close road win
- Saquon injured
- Division rivalry
- 0-3 teams are like 9-2 in the last three years

LAC -16
- Chargers are 23-11 after losing as faves ...against the spread
- Anthony Lynn is 4-2 (3-1 as a favorite) after losing as faves ...against the spread
- Lynn is 6-2 coaching against the East coast
- Dolphins are still the Dolphins
- I'd prolly hedge this one though
 
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broller

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Washington and LAC are good money

Washington +3
- NYG back home after a close road win
- Saquon injured
- Division rivalry
- The more games a team loses the more likely it is to win its next

LAC -16
- Chargers are 23-11 after losing as faves ...against the spread
- Anthony Lynn is 4-2 (3-1 as a favorite) after losing as faves ...against the spread
- Lynn is 6-2 coaching against the East coast
- Dolphins are still the Dolphins
- I'd prolly hedge this one though

not true
 

phillycavsfan

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Don't have a great feel yet for either football game tonight. On anything, spread, total, moneyline, or props.

Maybe I'll bet the first half under for PHI/GB.
 

Ohene

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youre right. I shouldve been more specific ...i meant 0-4 and 0-3 teams

for what its worth. all 0-3 teams since 2016 either won or beat the spread as underdogs the next wk

EXCEPT
The 2016 Browns who were 1-15
the only other one who didnt was playing another 0-3 team

go against it if you like :manny:
 
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WesCrook

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youre right. I shouldve been more specific ...i meant 0-4 and 0-3 teams

for what its worth. all 0-3 teams since 2016 either won or beat the spread as underdogs the next wk

EXCEPT
The 2016 Browns who were 1-15
the only other one who didnt was playing another 0-3 team

go against it if you like :manny:
Teams get off to a bad start and pick it up after a few games, but some of the 0-3 teams this year are ass.
 

broller

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youre right. I shouldve been more specific ...i meant 0-4 and 0-3 teams

for what its worth. all 0-3 teams since 2016 either won or beat the spread as underdogs the next wk

EXCEPT
The 2016 Browns who were 1-15
the only other one who didnt was playing another 0-3 team

go against it if you like :manny:

:ohhh:

I guess we can expect Pitt to beat Cincy but not cover
 
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