Making our Pockets Fat again AGAIN PT 2 - Official Gambling Thread

LastManStanding

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Don’t get cocky now. They covered in the last minute lol. And so is Baylor if they hit these free throws in the last ten seconds


A win is a win tho

and don't you get mad cause they won and you didn't take the bet :pachaha:

thankfully had $255 on Celtics and only $110 on Baylor ..... dumbass missed the free throw at the end :mjlol:
 

Ohene

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and don't you get mad cause they won and you didn't take the bet :pachaha:

thankfully had $255 on Celtics and only $110 on Baylor ..... dumbass missed the free throw at the end :mjlol:
lol i aint mad fam
a win is a win period
almost every time i win big money its in dramatic fashion

i overthought the celts atthe end of the day

a live bet has me $250 in red for the day. texas mad a garbage time bucket to take it over 125.5 smh
 

Ohene

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clippers are the most frustrating team to bet on
we just need to accept that they are overrated man
all that talent, you expect them to blow out teams below 500
but unless theyre playing the lakers you cant expect them to give their effort day in day oout
 

LastManStanding

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lol i aint mad fam
a win is a win period
almost every time i win big money its in dramatic fashion

i overthought the celts atthe end of the day

a live bet has me $250 in red for the day. texas mad a garbage time bucket to take it over 125.5 smh

yea ... on the real I don't even give a shyt about 90% of these games. they're just bets to me. look for the best daily odds and go with your gut. and like you said a win is a win. regardless if the team you bet on easily dominates or whether they cover in the final minute ... both results pay the same.
 

Ohene

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Auburn @ Arkansas
  • Arkansas 5-1 at home vs Auburn in the 2010s
  • Tallest starter for Arkansas is 6’6 SR Desi Sills
  • Arkansas starts 2 SR, 2 SO, 1 JR
  • Auburn starts 4 SR and a FR
  • Auburn got a big size advantage
  • Auburn has shot poorly in conference play 40%, 28%, 70%
  • Meanwhile Arkansas has shot in line with season avgs, 43%, 31% , 70%
  • Both teams make 7 threes a game
  • Arkansas forces the most D and has the least turnovers on O in conference
  • In the SEC Auburn has been shyt on the road
    • Beat Ole Miss by one in double OT. Ole miss worst in conference
    • Lost by ~ 20 to Alabama and Florida
  • Arkansas has lost to SC and Kentucky on road. All the other Ws were convincing

Verdict: Stay away…if you can’t…take the home team Arkansas. Home, better shooting in conference play, they beat on the road Ole Miss, and Bama who Auburn struggled against. They will also win the turnover battle. Auburn will likely make a lot of mistakes on the road against a scrappy D. See Alabama and Florida games for reference on why i say that



Ill prolly take Arkansas
 
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Ohene

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yea ... on the real I don't even give a shyt about 90% of these games. they're just bets to me. look for the best daily odds and go with your gut. and like you said a win is a win. regardless if the team you bet on easily dominates or whether they cover in the final minute ... both results pay the same.
all facts
 

Ohene

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auburn has proven to be too trash on the road. might have to hammer arkansas
lotta ppl will see auburn is ranked ..the win vs kentucky and take them
what i like about Arkansas is that they beat the best of the lower conferences as well
 
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Ohene

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Ball State @ Kent State
BET THE MORTGAGE ON KENT STATE MONEY LINE, and sprinkle -4.5

  • Against teams with a winning record, on the road, Ball State is 1-3. The one team they beat was Eastern Michigan who is 1-6 in the MAC West
  • On road in the three losses they lost by 15, 5 and 6 (spread is +4.5 for them)
  • Ball state starts 2 FR, 2SR and a JR…biggest player is 6-8 and 215 lbs
  • Kent State starts 3 SR, a JR and SO, including two 6’9 225 lb players
  • Ball state shoots 42%, 30%, 68% in conference play (8 threes a game)
  • Kent State shoots 46% 41% 74% in conference play (9 threes a game)
  • Ball state has best d in conference while Kent’s is average
  • Kent has best O in conference while Ball is meh
  • Kent state is 18-2 in last 20 vs Ball State dating back to 2004
  • Kent State is 14-0 in last 14 at home vs Ball state and ONLY 3 were below 5 pt deficits

This is one of those you throw a ton of cash on and if you lose you cant be mad cause you did the research. I havent looked at injuries btw
 

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Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan
  • On the road, Buffalo has handled Akron by 3, Central Michigan by 19 and Miami OH by 5 but got killed by Ball State
  • Buffalo also beat Depaul on the road
  • Eastern Mich just got its first home win against Toledo
  • Before that they lost to Ohio by 2, Ball State by 17 and Akron by 24
  • Buffalo starts 2 SR, a JR and 2 SO
  • EMich starts 4 JR and a SR. Slight size advantage with a 6’11 Center/rim protector.
  • EMich have the best interior D in conference play and are overall good defensively but they can’t score for shyt
  • Buffalo has the best interior scoring and attempts the most 2Pointers
  • Buffalo doesn’t shoot threes particularly well either (10th in conference/30%)
  • Buffalo shoots 43%, 30%, 68%
  • EM shoots 39%, 25%, 63%.
  • EM gets 60 points a game and 67 points against
  • Buffalo gets 77 points a game and 75 against
  • At home, point totals in EM games average 118 points a game
  • Buffalo has won last five matchups by an average of about 12 pts

Verdict: Take under 140 points. Buffalo isn’t good enough in 3s and I’m not sure who will win the inside battle. I could see it being a grind out game and if Buff has an off night they will be hard pressed to cover 4 points. I predict a 70-65 type of game.

I might also take -4

Mississippi State @ Kentucky
  • Kentucky has won the last 13 games …only 3 out of last 10 were under 7 points
  • Kentucky best player is a JR, they also start 3 SO and a FR
  • Said Best player is 6’11, 244 and Jamaican lol
  • Miss State best player is a 6’10 245 lb sophomore
  • Overall, no team has a size or experience advantage
  • Team shooting statistics similar but State better in Its by 5% and Kentucky better in 3s
  • Kentucky FG% against is only 38%
  • State has poor defensive rating
  • Kentucky and state both have high offensive ratings
  • Relatively slow paces so don’t touch total…too much conflicting stuff
  • Kentucky has won all its home games by at least 8 pts except a loss to trash Evansville lol
  • This includes beating Louisville by 8, MSU by 7 in neutral territory
Verdict: Kentucky - 6.5. Might be worth teasing in a parlay
 
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