@Asantehene @Maluma's Wallet What y'all think about Kent State and Bowling Green? Lmk if yall have time to look.
I like Kent State cause of what they did to Bowling Green
-2 seems like a trap for Bowling Green. Here are some notes
-In the last 15 years, Ball State has only beat them 4 times
-Half those 20 games were decided by two possessions or less
- In terms of experience both teams are even in terms of returning starters...however Bowling Green has more upperclassmen starting
-Bowling also has a slight size advantage
-Other than turnovers and ppg...Bowling is worse than its conference opponents on a per game basis in most stats...yet theyre first in the MAC. Odd
- To me that suggests there must be a one game outlier
- That game was vs kent st. they shot very poorly and Kent State was lights out
-All the other games have been very even and decided by 2 possessions or less except the Ohio game
So what worries me is that Bowling green be keeping games too close. They are good in FTs though and Ball State is trash so thats favourable.
Ball state turns the ball over quite a bit so that and FTs is what i think will decide the game cause theyre pretty even in most regards. Theyve also shown they can win on the road this yaer even if some of the teams were shyt.
I will probably stick to a moneyline. -2 aint worth it. If there arent any injuries that is