Making our Pockets Fat again AGAIN PT 2 - Official Gambling Thread

B

broller

Veteran
Joined
Jan 25, 2016
Messages
26,877
Reputation
2,820
Daps
76,472
SwizzLake said:
sometimes is necessary depending on the team/QB you're playing against...they thought kicking to GB with a less than a minute remaining on the clock and all they needed was a FG to win the game was too much....
Click to expand...

That's the part I disagreed with. I felt the Packers O could drive down. But then again, Crosby has been shaky.
 
P

profound

technique
Joined
May 2, 2012
Messages
4,898
Reputation
955
Daps
5,300
profound said:
i saw thunder/clippers 1, okc probably regrets giving that one away. no dort in that one either.

i had +195 and 5 or 6 points but both slipped a lot, i'll wait in hopes it gets better again.
Click to expand...

long weekend, I just saw they won :why:

I was too spread out so I dropped it :snoop:

but I took a look today and between 2 bets theres already $32k on their spread tonight?

Bold move considering what happened in the last one. But I gotta say, I could see it. I thought they might try to redeem themselves in their next match, didnt play it, but they won outright as dogs. Redemption part 2 maybe?

smaller play on old dominion +10 this afternoon..
 
Last edited:
P

profound

technique
Joined
May 2, 2012
Messages
4,898
Reputation
955
Daps
5,300
@SwizzLake

written today over on actionnetwork

...with the Jazz favored by 10 or more, double-digit dogs are 5-6 straight up. They’re winning almost as often as Utah. And that includes a 4-5 record in Utah, with that great Salt Lake City home-court advantage. It appears that the books are overinflating the line — and that the Jazz aren’t showing up for these sure-thing wins.

It just happened Friday. The Jazz ran out to an early lead on the Spurs in Utah but ended up losing the game. In November, they lost at home to the Pelicans, Pacers, and Grizzlies and on the road in Orlando. All five of those underdogs were +400 or longer on the moneyline.

Do I know what’s happening? I do not. But it’s happening nonetheless.

Think of it this way. We’ve had 49 games this season with a double-digit favorite. The Jazz have lost five of those games as the favorite — and the entire rest of the NBA has lost only four.

Just blindly betting the ML against Utah in this spot for the season would give bettors a 162% ROI for the season so far. A $100 bettor would be up $1,782 already on the season.
Click to expand...
 
SwizzLake

SwizzLake

Superstar
Bushed
Joined
Aug 11, 2012
Messages
6,716
Reputation
-1,076
Daps
12,513
profound said:
@SwizzLake

written today over on actionnetwork
Click to expand...

Also,

goes to show you, these heavily fav odds...1. Do not bring a value for your bet. 2. It is still a risk, not free money. We saw this case in multiple of weeks in the NFL, College Football/Basketball and the NBA.

Bottomline... Stay away from heavily favorites (-350 or above)
 
WesCrook

WesCrook

Veteran
Joined
Feb 17, 2017
Messages
17,977
Reputation
2,973
Daps
76,095
Browns to win anyway. They still have a solid squad on both sides.

It's not as if Baker Mayfield was killing it while he was playing.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top