Making our Pockets Fat again AGAIN PT 2 - Official Gambling Thread

Ohene

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To use just Adams as a betting reference when the team has 8 starters out is pure luck. No Packer fan thought the game would end a W and most thought it would be a blow out.

-6.5 for AZ was a fair line
its not luck man. like i said last week when it comes to betting the situation is key and so is going contrarian

everyone was riding AZ after the Adams news..and vegas moved the line from 3 to 6.5 despite the fact GB was 6-0 without adams, hopkins was hobbled and watt was out.
it was basic arbitrage. 3 points woulda made me pause. 6.5??? Asinine


an undefeated AZ team on a short week vs the 6-1 Packers who play better without Adams...and a Rodgers who is 10-5 on Thursday with his best QB rating of all the splits. I could go into more detail but you get the point. There was no reason for AZ to be 6 pt faves. I told you from the get go bro. Gimme some credit lol
 

Bboystyle

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its not luck man. like i said last week when it comes to betting the situation is key and so is going contrarian

everyone was riding AZ after the Adams news..and vegas moved the line from 3 to 6.5 despite the fact GB was 6-0 without adams, hopkins was hobbled and watt was out.
it was basic arbitrage. 3 points woulda made me pause. 6.5??? Asinine


an undefeated AZ team on a short week vs the 6-1 Packers who play better without Adams...and a Rodgers who is 10-5 on Thursday with his best QB rating of all the splits. I could go into more detail but you get the point. There was no reason for AZ to be 6 pt faves. I told you from the get go bro. Gimme some credit lol


The defense had let Heinickie(sp?) Run 95 yards on them the week prior.

Then u have to face Murray, at home on the road on a short week with the highest scoring offense. No one thought the hobbled Packers defense would contain Murray and cause 3 TOs. No one thought they would only allow 21 points.


All those records of Rodgers and what time they play become irrelevant IMO when ur team is as injured as they are and are on the road vs a top team who is undefeated.

I give u props for being right and i give the Packers props for proving me they arent some front running frauds like they been known to be.

Trust, any other year, this game would be a huge L.
 

phillycavsfan

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Tom is on pace for 50 TD's and 5000 yards. You think voters would pass on a 44 year old man finishing anywhere in that ballpark?

They will because of voter fatigue. Also, if the Bills finish with the best record Allen will almost certainly break some scrambling/passing records.

Soon after I posted about Allen I did bet Ja'Marr Chase at +105 to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. I was shocked to see that option was still available at plus value.
 

Ethnic Cleansing

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They will because of voter fatigue. Also, if the Bills finish with the best record Allen will almost certainly break some scrambling/passing records.

Soon after I posted about Allen I did bet Ja'Marr Chase at +105 to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. I was shocked to see that option was still available at plus value.
Voter fatigue??? Its been 4 years since his last MVP. Buccs are favored in every remaining game.

I got Jamaar Chase at +250 last week, went to throw some more down this week and it was down to -105. Where did you find a + at?
 

Ohene

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nba slate is garbage today
Being the better team is probably the worst determining factor in covering a spread in the NBA.

It's more about "if this team is motivated to play tonight"

If I could just get into the psyche of players before tipoff, I'd be a millionaire right now
.
100%
you just never know who is gonna be motivated, fatigued etc.
thats why let down spots, look aheads, revenge games and shyt can be so crucial
though revenge games related to previous seasons are overestimated
 

Ethnic Cleansing

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NFL Week 8 locks:

Once again breh's...we have to get 4 to 5 locks for the week, what are yours so far?
NFL

Every +10 or higher games money line so far. I know they don't pay much, but in the pro's they're typically a lock. The Rams tried to give us a scare last week with the Lions

Who got the college plays tho?
 

Buckeye Fever

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NFL Week 8 locks:

Once again breh's...we have to get 4 to 5 locks for the week, what are yours so far?
Just looked at the schedule:huhldup:

Tough week, imo.

Only "locks" I can give are ML

Bills
Bengals
Rams
Chiefs

MAYBE Tampa Bay

I'm not touching that Rams -15.5 on the road at Houston
 

threattonature

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Being the better team is probably the worst determining factor in covering a spread in the NBA.

It's more about "if this team is motivated to play tonight"

If I could just get into the psyche of players before tipoff, I'd be a millionaire right now.
I’ve given up on the NBA this year. So many results make no sense. I’ll still fukk with player props but I have absolutely no feel for who will win on a night to night basis.
 
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