Making our Pockets Fat again AGAIN PT 2 - Official Gambling Thread

Sghost597

Sghost597

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<<TheStandard>> said:
You'll be lucky if you get a split but best of luck.
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Saints need Ramsey to sit out. Even then, a fast release accurate passer like Minshew is a pass rush worst nightmare. Saints will have to buy the Dline time to collapse to pocket with tight coverage.

Minshew still eaten 12 sacks in 4 and 1/2 games.

I see Vegas is betting against Bridgewater repeating last Sunday performance. Which is a valid historical analysis. He hasn't followed up a 4 TD game with a stellar outing.

Saints stunned Seahawks on the road with 2 non offensive TD. Which is 90% of securing a win and very little likelihood of happening again on the road.

So.. There is nothing crazy about this line. It's pretty on point.

I think there is no safe bet with Over/Under. Saints over the last 3 years have won games in sooo many different fashion.

If you have a good gut feeling on the Saints and understand why they & the risk for them to be an underdog. You should jump on it. Payton is a superior coach. Jacksonville has always been a bad matchup, but NOLA usually always cover.

If you're playing with free money. I'd try it. If you needing a hit. This is a lot of risky.
 
<<TheStandard>>

<<TheStandard>>

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taker597 said:
Saints need Ramsey to sit out. Even then, a fast release accurate passer like Minshew is a pass rush worst nightmare. Saints will have to buy the Dline time to collapse to pocket with tight coverage.

Minshew still eaten 12 sacks in 4 and 1/2 games.

I see Vegas is betting against Bridgewater repeating last Sunday performance. Which is a valid historical analysis. He hasn't followed up a 4 TD game with a stellar outing.

Saints stunned Seahawks on the road with 2 non offensive TD. Which is 90% of securing a win and very little likelihood of happening again on the road.

So.. There is nothing crazy about this line. It's pretty on point.

I think there is no safe bet with Over/Under. Saints over the last 3 years have won games in sooo many different fashion.

If you have a good gut feeling on the Saints and understand why they & the risk for them to be an underdog. You should jump on it. Payton is a superior coach. Jacksonville has always been a bad matchup, but NOLA usually always cover.

If you're playing with free money. I'd try it. If you needing a hit. This is a lot of risky.
Click to expand...


my math model makes the Saints 1.5 point favorites with the over under 42.5


I'm inclined to lean under.

I wouldn't play the Saints in this spot. This reeks of a let down spot.
 
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i took NO and SEA too
but i just know one of em will prolly fukk me
I really hope Jalen dont start
 
Sghost597

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<<TheStandard>> said:
my math model makes the Saints 1.5 point favorites with the over under 42.5


I'm inclined to lean under.

I wouldn't play the Saints in this spot. This reeks of a let down spot.
Click to expand...
I have them as a soft 1.5/ hard 2 pt favorite, but these out conference match up always seems like a crap shot.

But ever since their 2017 Patriots loss. I believe they won against ever AFC matchup since and only didn't cover against the Texans in week one

Edit: it's more about how the clash in team styles will play out
 
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