Making our Pockets Fat again AGAIN PT 2 - Official Gambling Thread

[BucciMane]

I've been cold recently (lost about $5,000 after winning $8,500 in September) and I'm not going to make any wagers next week, but I really, really, really like Seattle - 2 1/2 against Buffalo.

I cashed out my remaining $2,000-3,000 and am just going to take a few weeks off. I've been cold as fukk.

 

[BucciMane]

My four biggest bets since September.

Falcons v.s. Cowboys
Falcons v.s. Bears
Rams v.s. Dolphins
Chargers v.s. Broncos (this one wasn't that large)

 

[BucciMane]

What would you guys think of these. If I had to make one final play instead of withdrawing, this would be it, but I'm not doing it. It will probably hit since I'm not wagering..

$2,000 to win $8,129.

Seahawks ML -135
Titans ML -255
Patriots ML -330
Bucs (tonight) - 9 at -170

 

[broller]

Yup. A truly horrific bad beat if you had the Cowboys.

What would you guys think of these. If I had to make one final play instead of withdrawing, this would be it, but I'm not doing it. It will probably hit since I'm not wagering..

$2,000 to win $8,129.

Seahawks ML -135
Titans ML -255
Patriots ML -330
Bucs (tonight) - 9 at -170

I like all 4

 

[jilla82]

any of yall make an election bet?

Im tempted to throw down on Biden.

 

[BucciMane]

any of yall make an election bet?

Im tempted to throw down on Biden.

In all likelihood, it's going to be a shyt show. How is your book determining when the winner is declared? On election night? Next day? In January?

I'm not going to get into a political discussion in this thread, but I think those are good odds for Biden. I'm surprised Trump is only at around +180 or +200.

Obviously the electoral vote makes things a lot crazier in terms of predicting who wins.



If Trump was +500 or so, then I might have thrown some on him, but I don't like it at +180 or +200.

 

[jilla82]

In all likelihood, it's going to be a shyt show. How is your book determining when the winner is declared? On election night? Next day? In January?

I'm not going to get into a political discussion in this thread, but I think those are good odds for Biden. I'm surprised Trump is only at around +180 or +200.

Obviously the electoral vote makes things a lot crazier in terms of predicting who wins.



If Trump was +500 or so, then I might have thrown some on him, but I don't like it at +180 or +200.

think they all are doing "next US president".
which means whoever officially takes over.

It probably will be a bunch of nonsense going on the next few weeks.

Im watching this shyt like a damn football game...
...dont see how Biden loses outside of something super goofy happening.

But then I read Maga twitter and them fools are extra confident

 

[broller]

think they all are doing "next US president".
which means whoever officially takes over.

It probably will be a bunch of nonsense going on the next few weeks.

Im watching this shyt like a damn football game...
...dont see how Biden loses outside of something super goofy happening.

But then I read Maga twitter and them fools are extra confident

What about betting who wins a given state?

 

[BucciMane]

think they all are doing "next US president".
which means whoever officially takes over.

It probably will be a bunch of nonsense going on the next few weeks.

Im watching this shyt like a damn football game...
...dont see how Biden loses outside of something super goofy happening.

But then I read Maga twitter and them fools are extra confident

Honest opinion.

I have said for two or more years that Biden would be the nominee for the Democrats when other people were sucking off Bernie, Harris, Beto, and Warren. I was correct on that, although if "he" gets in, we all know it's going to actually be Kamala (that no one voted for) that's going to take over when Biden becomes "sick".

With that said, I'm not confident either way. I do think there will be a large voter turnout, and there will be many people that are going to vote for Biden because they are told they need to do so, even if their lives have not been harmed by a Trump presidency. It's emotional voting with a lot of the left, and there are many lefties in this country.

I think you will see a massive surge of Trump voters tomorrow. Many have benefitted during these past four years and don't want to risk a Biden (Harris really) presidency. It's going to come down to Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Minnesota , Wisconsin, Arizona, and possibly Georgia.


I'll leave it at that as I don't want to have a political discussion in this thread. I understand why people don't like Trump, but I'm not going to get into that. It will be close, and I don't have a predication right now.

 

[RisingSon]

any of yall make an election bet?

Im tempted to throw down on Biden.

Trump winning with fewer than 300 electoral votes
take it wherever you can

 

[L&HH]

In all likelihood, it's going to be a shyt show. How is your book determining when the winner is declared? On election night? Next day? In January?

I'm not going to get into a political discussion in this thread, but I think those are good odds for Biden. I'm surprised Trump is only at around +180 or +200.

Obviously the electoral vote makes things a lot crazier in terms of predicting who wins.



If Trump was +500 or so, then I might have thrown some on him, but I don't like it at +180 or +200.

The betting market unfortunatey lines up in sync with Trump supporters, that combined with 2016 has many of them betting heavy on Trump which is why the odds are where they are. The value is definitely on Biden based on polling and trend data. If this wasn't Trump, Biden would really be like a -500 odds or some shyt.

Honest opinion.

I have said for two or more years that Biden would be the nominee for the Democrats when other people were sucking off Bernie, Harris, Beto, and Warren. I was correct on that, although if "he" gets in, we all know it's going to actually be Kamala (that no one voted for) that's going to take over when Biden becomes "sick".

With that said, I'm not confident either way. I do think there will be a large voter turnout, and there will be many people that are going to vote for Biden because they are told they need to do so, even if their lives have not been harmed by a Trump presidency. It's emotional voting with a lot of the left, and there are many lefties in this country.

I think you will see a massive surge of Trump voters tomorrow. Many have benefitted during these past four years and don't want to risk a Biden (Harris really) presidency. It's going to come down to Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Minnesota , Wisconsin, Arizona, and possibly Georgia.


I'll leave it at that as I don't want to have a political discussion in this thread. I understand why people don't like Trump, but I'm not going to get into that. It will be close, and I don't have a predication right now.

I'd remove Ohio on your list (Red) and say North Carolina

 

[L&HH]

Trump winning with fewer than 300 electoral votes
take it wherever you can

Please explain your reasoning behind this? All polling and trends are saying otherwise. And yes I know but 2016. The problem with bringing up 2016 is Hilary is one of the most unliked politicians (by the public) in history. Her base simply didn't show up for her. Also Trump won that election vary narrowly by a total of 70,000 votes in 3 or 4 states. The high turnout we're seeing historically favors Democrats. Lastly even if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016 (something like 3% error) Biden still has a lead factoring that in (if it hasn't already been factored in). Forget who we want to win or who we even think will win. The value just isn't there for Trump. Like dude above said if Trump were getting like +500 odds like he should be then he might be a great value play but at +160/+170 it's not there. I mean there's talks of him losing Texas possibly (likely not going to happen) but just the thought of it imo would be enough to not bet anything on Trump. You did say Trump winning with less than 300 EV which probbaly have better odds than Trump outright winning at +170 but what's the odds on that? Can't see how it'd be much greater than Trump winning outright.

 

[BucciMane]

And, this is why NFL is one of the harder sports to gamble on.

 

[BucciMane]

I am so fukking glad I stayed away from this game..



2020 ya'll..

 

[50CentStan]

fukking bucs suck. Smh I cant. Catch a break