How will Joe Biden GOVERN? General Biden Administration F**kery Thread

storyteller

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The estimated distributional effects are — how should I put this? — mixed. Under no scenario does more than 12% of the financial benefit accrue to the bottom income quintile. The optimal scenario is (not coincidentally), $10,000 in relief with a $125,000 income cap. That would maximize the combined benefit for the bottom and second income quintiles, shown with bars in the figure (below) for simplicity.



Amusingly (and remember, I’m allowed to laugh at this because I lean Progressive, so I’m effectively laughing at myself), the worst outcome results from no-questions-asked, $50,000 forgiveness. In that scenario, almost 3% of the benefits would go to the top 5% of earners, and 8% to the top 10%. That’s not surprising. Those earning more than $150,000 per year are more likely to have jobs requiring expensive, advanced degrees.

Note that using Penn’s estimate for the year-one cost of $50,000 in relief with no income cap, the 2.43% of benefits which would accrue to borrowers in the top 5% of earners equates to nearly $20 billion.

Crucially (and unfortunately) more than two-thirds of the debt relief accrues to borrowers in the top 60% of the income distribution in all scenarios. The distributional outcome doesn’t change if you control for so-called “lifecycle effects” by limiting the analysis to borrowers aged 25 to 35.


This is kinda funny...66% of the distribution going to 60% of borrowers kinda makes sense, and if you're using 60% of borrowers than you'll be able to get a majority distribution fairly easily because you've factored in...a majority of the borrowers :mjlol:

Also important to note that the top 5% are at 0 distribution in that chart and 90% and up earners make a very small portion of the proceeds. That still leaves that 80-90% range receiving a significant chunk but that chunk is 1) relatively small compared to earners in the quintiles below it and 2) not necessarily demonstrative of a person being "rich" because of how uneven wealth is distributed in this country. There are some cities in America where you can be a top 20% earner while making less than 100K (Link: You Need to Make This Much Money to Be One of the Richest Americans)

But none of that makes up for the similarly small impact at the bottom quintile. Rather, you'd want to see debt forgiveness paired with free public college options that make college education more easily available to earners at the lower end where some people forego it altogether because of prohibitive costs. This bill in a vacuum, helps a LOT of Americans that could truly use the help. But it's not a solution that goes far enough for sure.
 

Worthless Loser

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Biden makes a monumental Executive Order on Student Loan relief, and Nicole Wallace opens up her show with Trump as the top story.

Unbelievable. At least CNN made it their top story.
 
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