if white males are most likely to vote for trump....
then who the fukk are the fathers raising these white millennial females.....
believe conservatism is dying brehs
How the electoral map would look if only ____ voted
- Thread starter Skooby
- Start date
if white males are most likely to vote for trump....
then who the fukk are the fathers raising these white millennial females.....
believe conservatism is dying brehs
White millennials vote a lot more like whites than like millennials
A critical part of the coalition that elected Barack Obama was younger voters. In 2008, voters under the age of 30, a group that was almost entirely made up of what we often call "millennials", backed Obama by a 2-to-1 margin on his way to a blowout victory.
Whether or not Hillary Clinton can similarly win over younger voters could be the key to her success. One recent poll showed her essentially tied among voters under the age of 35 -- tied with Libertarian Gary Johnson. Hotline's Josh Kraushaar tweeted about one bit of data from a recent poll that he found surprising.
As people quickly noted, though, white voters under the age of 30 actually preferred Mitt Romney in 2012. In only three of the past 11 presidential races have voters under 30 preferred the Republican, according to exit polls: 1972, 1984 and 1988. In all 11, white voters have backed the Republican. In eight of those 11, white voters under the age of 30 have also backed the Republican. In 1992, it was a tie.
In fact, over that period, white voters under the age of 30 have consistently voted a lot more like white voters overall than like voters under 30 overall. Since 2000, young white voters have voted 23 points more Republican than other young voters on average, and only about 9 points more Democratic than whites on the whole.
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In 2004, young white voters backed George W. Bush by 11 points, 14 points closer to how whites voted than how younger voters cast their ballots. In 2008, they were only 2 points closer to whites overall, but in 2012 that difference expanded to 17 points.
Why does Clinton continue to see an edge among younger voters in most polls? Because of her stronger support from young nonwhite voters. Over time, nonwhites have made up a larger percentage of the electorate, particularly among younger voters. Obama did well with younger white voters in 2008, but did phenomenally with young nonwhites. He won the under-30 vote in 2008 by 34 points and won it by 23 points in 2012, despite losing 17 points of support from younger white voters over that period.
One question for Clinton is if she can count on the same depth of support from those voters. It's a question far less of young white voters than young nonwhites. In most polls, the number of nonwhite voters under the age of 30 that are included are relatively small, making this hard to gauge. During the primary, polling suggested that Clinton's strength with black voters in particular was much softer among younger black voters, who were more likely to support Bernie Sanders.
This is why Clinton is eager to have Sanders out on the stump as frequently as possible. It's also why she's got Barack Obama making his pitch in Philadelphia and why she's made a concerted effort to woo younger voters.
Sure, Clinton could be doing better with younger white voters, but they typically lean more Republican than other young voters. The part of the younger Obama coalition Clinton needs to replicate is everyone else.
White millennials vote a lot more like whites than like millennials
A critical part of the coalition that elected Barack Obama was younger voters. In 2008, voters under the age of 30, a group that was almost entirely made up of what we often call "millennials", backed Obama by a 2-to-1 margin on his way to a blowout victory.
Whether or not Hillary Clinton can similarly win over younger voters could be the key to her success. One recent poll showed her essentially tied among voters under the age of 35 -- tied with Libertarian Gary Johnson. Hotline's Josh Kraushaar tweeted about one bit of data from a recent poll that he found surprising.
As people quickly noted, though, white voters under the age of 30 actually preferred Mitt Romney in 2012. In only three of the past 11 presidential races have voters under 30 preferred the Republican, according to exit polls: 1972, 1984 and 1988. In all 11, white voters have backed the Republican. In eight of those 11, white voters under the age of 30 have also backed the Republican. In 1992, it was a tie.
In fact, over that period, white voters under the age of 30 have consistently voted a lot more like white voters overall than like voters under 30 overall. Since 2000, young white voters have voted 23 points more Republican than other young voters on average, and only about 9 points more Democratic than whites on the whole.
5-Minute Fix newsletter
Keeping up with politics is easy now.
In 2004, young white voters backed George W. Bush by 11 points, 14 points closer to how whites voted than how younger voters cast their ballots. In 2008, they were only 2 points closer to whites overall, but in 2012 that difference expanded to 17 points.
Why does Clinton continue to see an edge among younger voters in most polls? Because of her stronger support from young nonwhite voters. Over time, nonwhites have made up a larger percentage of the electorate, particularly among younger voters. Obama did well with younger white voters in 2008, but did phenomenally with young nonwhites. He won the under-30 vote in 2008 by 34 points and won it by 23 points in 2012, despite losing 17 points of support from younger white voters over that period.
One question for Clinton is if she can count on the same depth of support from those voters. It's a question far less of young white voters than young nonwhites. In most polls, the number of nonwhite voters under the age of 30 that are included are relatively small, making this hard to gauge. During the primary, polling suggested that Clinton's strength with black voters in particular was much softer among younger black voters, who were more likely to support Bernie Sanders.
This is why Clinton is eager to have Sanders out on the stump as frequently as possible. It's also why she's got Barack Obama making his pitch in Philadelphia and why she's made a concerted effort to woo younger voters.
Sure, Clinton could be doing better with younger white voters, but they typically lean more Republican than other young voters. The part of the younger Obama coalition Clinton needs to replicate is everyone else.
White millennials vote a lot more like whites than like millennials
If it's just millennials they're probably split between Trump and combined Johnson/Stein.if white males are most likely to vote for trump....
then who the fukk are the fathers raising these white millennial females.....e
believe conservatism is dying brehs
Because they like rap music and sports. Those are still the main Coli draws. If we left it at those topics, they'd prob be cool dudes. But then they roam to other forums like Higher Learning and, through the lens of political discourse, they expose how fukked up they truly are even if they do love Illmatic.Why do these weirdos keep coming to forums like this anyway? Even after they get banned. Gundam has been banned at least three times I can remember. Kingpin OG has been banned several times as well.
I don't understand the obsession. In terms of volume, 3 out of 5 most active posters since the election started are white dudes pretending to be black. You know who you are weirdos.
What kind of psychology makes people do this?
She's making fun of the fact that people are chastising millenials for being reluctant to support Hillary as if they are fine with Donald Trump when they clearly aren't.
White millennials vote a lot more like whites than like millennials
A critical part of the coalition that elected Barack Obama was younger voters. In 2008, voters under the age of 30, a group that was almost entirely made up of what we often call "millennials", backed Obama by a 2-to-1 margin on his way to a blowout victory.
Whether or not Hillary Clinton can similarly win over younger voters could be the key to her success. One recent poll showed her essentially tied among voters under the age of 35 -- tied with Libertarian Gary Johnson. Hotline's Josh Kraushaar tweeted about one bit of data from a recent poll that he found surprising.
As people quickly noted, though, white voters under the age of 30 actually preferred Mitt Romney in 2012. In only three of the past 11 presidential races have voters under 30 preferred the Republican, according to exit polls: 1972, 1984 and 1988. In all 11, white voters have backed the Republican. In eight of those 11, white voters under the age of 30 have also backed the Republican. In 1992, it was a tie.
In fact, over that period, white voters under the age of 30 have consistently voted a lot more like white voters overall than like voters under 30 overall. Since 2000, young white voters have voted 23 points more Republican than other young voters on average, and only about 9 points more Democratic than whites on the whole.
5-Minute Fix newsletter
Keeping up with politics is easy now.
In 2004, young white voters backed George W. Bush by 11 points, 14 points closer to how whites voted than how younger voters cast their ballots. In 2008, they were only 2 points closer to whites overall, but in 2012 that difference expanded to 17 points.
Why does Clinton continue to see an edge among younger voters in most polls? Because of her stronger support from young nonwhite voters. Over time, nonwhites have made up a larger percentage of the electorate, particularly among younger voters. Obama did well with younger white voters in 2008, but did phenomenally with young nonwhites. He won the under-30 vote in 2008 by 34 points and won it by 23 points in 2012, despite losing 17 points of support from younger white voters over that period.
One question for Clinton is if she can count on the same depth of support from those voters. It's a question far less of young white voters than young nonwhites. In most polls, the number of nonwhite voters under the age of 30 that are included are relatively small, making this hard to gauge. During the primary, polling suggested that Clinton's strength with black voters in particular was much softer among younger black voters, who were more likely to support Bernie Sanders.
This is why Clinton is eager to have Sanders out on the stump as frequently as possible. It's also why she's got Barack Obama making his pitch in Philadelphia and why she's made a concerted effort to woo younger voters.
Sure, Clinton could be doing better with younger white voters, but they typically lean more Republican than other young voters. The part of the younger Obama coalition Clinton needs to replicate is everyone else.
White millennials vote a lot more like whites than like millennials
Very interesting. I wonder how much the south distorts the young white vote though?
Not by much if at all. I don't know people think white people from NY and Cali are the bastion of liberal hope. Without blacks/hispanics/Asians, the whites who vote democrat would be outnumbered in major American cities in the north.
The south as to distort the white vote a bit. You have places in the South where the white vote was 80-90% for McCain and Mitt Romney.
The rest of the country was a lot closer like 45 % for Obama.
Here is the detailed breakdown of the 2012 elections. The white vote for Obama ranged anywhere
from 10% in Mississippi
to 57% in MASS....... even with Boston's reputation for racism.
Massachusetts Presidential Election Results - Presidential Race | NBC News
from 10% in Mississippi
to 57% in MASS....... even with Boston's reputation for racism.
Massachusetts Presidential Election Results - Presidential Race | NBC News
if white males are most likely to vote for trump....
then who the fukk are the fathers raising these white millennial females.....
believe conservatism is dying brehs
Wait till you have kids...youll embrace conservatism so tight she will press chargesImagine your little girl havng to go change into her swimsuit with this
And you cant stop him cos the liberals have passed laws saying she IS a courageous woman...Liberalism as practiced in America is anti family,anti common sense,anti human nature ...didnt take millennials long to figure it out
superunknown23
Superstar
The gap between white and nonwhite women is just as crazy. Married white women vote just like their husbands, especially in the South (Obama got only 10 percent of the white vote in Mississippi, for example).
There's no sisterhood between races. The reactions to the OJ Simpson verdict were pretty indicative
DrBanneker
Space is the Place
How do you define conservative?
Principles of hands-off non-interventionist government? Everyone falls of that list except HK and maybe Chile. Singapore is free in a "market" sense but elections and even press freedom are very controlled. The opposition leaders have always been litigated out of existence by the People's Action Party and they can jail you indefinitely without charges.
Conservative social and family values? Every developing country would be on that list. Especially against non-traditional families, same sex marriage, etc and pro religion. All of Africa would definitely be on point. Also note Asia has the lowest fertility in the world. They are literally not making families anymore in the younger generation in many countries.
Sound fiscal and monetary policies? Yeah, though Nigeria would be off the list and China is edging toward the cliff
Gun rights? LOL, private gun ownership is illegal in all those countries
American conservatism today is a grab bag of principles. If it were only fiscal conservatism and pro-family, you would probably see a lot more Blacks. Just remember, pre-Goldwater (1964) a lot of Blacks still voted Republican. The pro-segregationist Dixiecrats were all Democratic. Well, between the Republicans kicking the liberal wing of the party to the curb from Nixon and Reagan on and embracing the Southern legislators who opposed Civil Rights, that and not the trendy liberal issue du jour is why Blacks are where they are. Is it good? I doubt it. Is it optimal? Hell no. But we aren't stupid.
JahFocus CS
Get It How You Get It
Think that cacs won't cac, brehs and brehettes.
Attention. They gotta stand out someway.Why do these weirdos keep coming to forums like this anyway? Even after they get banned. Gundam has been banned at least three times I can remember. Kingpin OG has been banned several times as well.
I don't understand the obsession. In terms of volume, 3 out of 5 most active posters since the election started are white dudes pretending to be black. You know who you are weirdos.
What kind of psychology makes people do this?
Any other political forum and 90% will probably agree with what they are saying. Might as well troll here and get the attention somehow
