for the betters out here, the post your picks thread

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

i have all 3 of those teams too... i took the knicks at home as a homer bet... and i got the under in the football game... aint no way carolina scores more than 20 points tonight

ive been saying that about the panthers for a while but they find a way. if sanchez fukks up they could get good field position too..and the over could also happen because PHI has good special teams and an opportunistic defense. i just took panthers in a big teaser at +16

i have all those teams mentioned and even a ML on pistons

 

[MikelArteta]

i like the clippers jazz and pistons more. i was thinking NO but saw the money shift the line and cleveland could get it together at any moment. id consider taking cleveland first half actually since they generally start off better than they finish

jazz looks fishy to me, jazz reminds me actually of yesterday kings/thunder game.

A garbage ass thunder team, a young kings team that won 5 in a row on the road and lost by 10

bulsl match up well against pistons, and bulls are averaging like 105

i see drummond in foul trouble early

 

[<<TheStandard>>]

but those projections are of 4 games where we know based on qualitative assumptions that the team underperformed HEAVILY... i dont see any chance that cleveland puts up 95 points against new orleans... and i dont believe theyre a bad team, or if they are... that that conclusion could be made after 4 games...

im all for stats but its so early into the season for a team with that many new parts... it could click at any time...

new orleans back court is also significantly sub-par defensively... i dont know about giving 6 points... but i definitely like cleveland more.

Well the Total is at 202.5

so the 96 point projection isn't too far off (I'm thinking maybe it's a few possessions off, there will probably be less possessions than 94 but the offensive efficiency should be a little better)

considering both teams have a pace of 95.7 (Pelicans) and 93.3 (Cleveland) respectively and with New Orleans being a top 10 team defensively.

I actually believe the total is dead on and I can't decide one way or another since Cleveland hasn't really clicked yet.

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

jazz looks fishy to me, jazz reminds me actually of yesterday kings/thunder game.

A garbage ass thunder team, a young kings team that won 5 in a row on the road and lost by 10

bulsl match up well against pistons, and bulls are averaging like 105

i see drummond in foul trouble early

possible, but you could say smith/monroe/drummond are too strong/big on the boards, good enough to negate pau/taj/noah...should be interesting either way. i took pistons ML cuz the odds were so ridiculous

some cool props:

anthony davis 14.5 Blocks+Rebounds
lebron 39.5 PTS+R+A
Millsap 23.5 PTS+R

 

[MikelArteta]

And no offense to the cavs but they have two wins on the year
a chicago team that theyt came back against and won by 6 in ot, and a garbage denver team they beat by 9.

I'm taking the big + against em until I lose

 

[MikelArteta]

possible, but you could say smith/monroe/drummond are too strong/big on the boards, good enough to negate pau/taj/noah...should be interesting either way. i took pistons ML cuz the odds were so ridiculous

some cool props:

anthony davis 14.5 Blocks+Rebounds
lebron 39.5 PTS+R+A
Millsap 23.5 PTS+R

i hate prop bets because all it takes is two quick fouls or a twist of the ankle and your screwed.

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

i hate prop bets because all it takes is two quick fouls or a twist of the ankle and your screwed.

true. which way would u go on those..just for kicks

i took over on same line for davis a game or two ago and it was easy $.

@Costanza @<<TheStandard>>

 

[Costanza]

Well the Total is at 202.5

so the 96 point projection isn't too far off (I'm thinking maybe it's a few possessions off, there will probably be less possessions than 94 but the offensive efficiency should be a little better)

considering both teams have a pace of 95.7 (Pelicans) and 93.3 (Cleveland) respectively and with New Orleans being a top 10 team defensively.

I actually believe the total is dead on and I can't decide one way or another since Cleveland hasn't really clicked yet.

im looking at their stats... cause last year they were below average defensively at like 19th overal... this year theyre 6th!!.... it could be the Asik effect or it could be that they played memphis and the magic who both had like 81... dallas had 109, spurs 100..... its a tough call... but fundamentally i dont believe in that backcourt.

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

im looking at their stats... cause last year they were below average defensively at like 19th overal... this year theyre 6th!!.... it could be the Asik effect or it could be that they played memphis and the magic who both had like 81... dallas had 109, spurs 100..... its a tough call... but fundamentally i dont believe in that backcourt.

i think its some of both. asik and schedule. i like their backcourt but gordon and tyreke are really damn streaky. holiday is pretty consistent and evans looks good so far this year but he could be garbage at any moment. i also feel like marion in the starting lineup is going to improve the cavs defense

id stay away from the o/u and the game in general tbh unless you want to tease NO to get a big spread

 

[<<TheStandard>>]

@Costanza

The total of this Cavs/Pelicans game is dropping

from from 202 to 201

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

just saw best prop of the night

melo O9.5 rebounds+assists

all day guaransheed

 

[River_trey]

just saw best prop of the night

melo O9.5 rebounds+assists

all day guaransheed

I would say the O2 made 3's by melo is a better prop

 

[MikelArteta]

New Orleans Pelicans +7 (-125)
(Bought 0.5 points)
Risk
CA$ 158.00
To Win
CA$ 126.40

 

[Costanza]

that over under lookin about correct in the end lol.... well see the 3rd quarter is gonna be big here... i got the cavs but its been a great game i wouldnt mind if pelicans win and u brehs win some coin

 

[MikelArteta]

that over under lookin about correct in the end lol.... well see the 3rd quarter is gonna be big here... i got the cavs but its been a great game i wouldnt mind if pelicans win and u brehs win some coin

cavs win by 6 and everyone is happy

if andersen didnt go off cavs would be killing it