Golubev -120, people hyping up Coric but he beat a fukked up Gulbis
Andujar -140, Andujar has priors on hard
Kuku -155, been playing lights out
Dolgopolov -135, finally get his post-injury win against a tanking Simon but he's a confidence player and finally getting a big win = I expect a run
Murray at -800 against a top 20 in Fognini (a clown, but a talented one when he cares) is too much risk
Ferrer -335 (straight up and big) against Verdasco, he's won 5 straight against him ironically when he dropped out of the top 10. Verdasco playing well but Ferru playing weller. Ferrer has won Valencia 2x before and +300 to win the tourney ain't enough for me, would rather rack up the chalk ML and back him against Murray (if they both get there).
may seem like a "take the favorites strategy" but remember this is tennis, not a point spread reverse line movement double "vegas" switcheroo.