USSInsiders
Banned
ND covers but man they shoulda won that shyt straight up
for the betters out here, the post your picks thread
- Thread starter NoMoreWhiteWoman2020
- Start date
First time all week I'm actually posting tennis picks, so watch me go 0-3.
From most certainty to least.
Cilic (-260) against Batista Agut
Simply put, this is Cilic's to lose. He had a bit of a post-US Open slump, but he's back. Warmed up with Donskoy, beat a very solid Robredo, and beat a Kukushkin who had beaten 4 top 20 players and took a set off Djokovic in the last 2 weeks. His serve was off against Kuku and he was on the verge of losing multiple times, but he hung in there and ended up tiring Kuku out.. and that's saying something. RBA has had a cupcake draw, 3 #80-100 ranked players and a clearly laboring/injuring Gulbis. Not that he isn't a very good player himself, but Cilic should be able to overpower him.
Dimitrov (+135) against Berdych
Dimitrov won Stockholm last year. Berdych won Stockholm the year before that. Berdych loves indoor hard, has won 4 titles in his career indoors, yet I'm rolling with Dimitrov why? Dimitrov owns H2H 3-2, 3-1 if we don't count an exhibition tournament. Berdych has played absolutely no one this week, it's been one of the easiest paths to a final I've ever seen. #92, #181, #202 to reach a final! And despite this, still struggling here and there. I think this is a 50/50 match and it will depend on who can defend better.. Dimi has played a bunch of tight matches, Berdych hasn't really run into trouble playing against way inferior opposition. Will take a battle-tested guy who is on the up, has won 3 titles this year, has the h2h, over a guy who has better power but is generally more inconsistent.
Ferrer (+260) against Murray
Ferrer is my breh, probably my favorite player cause he gets it done with determination and grinding. Anyway... Ferrer just beat Murray LAST WEEK! Why are the odds like this? Murray has admittedly looked more solid, and Kohlschreiber really did choke it away against Ferrer in the 3rd set.. but these are new circumstances. Murray has played better, but against Ferrer, in my opinion, he is playing someone who's slightly better at what Murray does. Murray has the power advantage, Ferrer slight rally advantage. He can grind anyone down, Murray included like last week. However.. ADMITTEDLY.... Ferrer is horrific in finals. He's 1-9 in his last 10, while Murray hasn't lost to anyone not named Federer or Djokovic in a final dating back to 2010. However, this is 2014. He hadn't even reached a final in a year, and he won a weak Shenzhen only after Robredo choked away 5 match points. This ain't peak Murray, while this is same old Ferrer. These odds are ridiculous, and I'll be taking Ferrer while keeping an eye on live betting just in case.
From most certainty to least.
Cilic (-260) against Batista Agut
Simply put, this is Cilic's to lose. He had a bit of a post-US Open slump, but he's back. Warmed up with Donskoy, beat a very solid Robredo, and beat a Kukushkin who had beaten 4 top 20 players and took a set off Djokovic in the last 2 weeks. His serve was off against Kuku and he was on the verge of losing multiple times, but he hung in there and ended up tiring Kuku out.. and that's saying something. RBA has had a cupcake draw, 3 #80-100 ranked players and a clearly laboring/injuring Gulbis. Not that he isn't a very good player himself, but Cilic should be able to overpower him.
Dimitrov (+135) against Berdych
Dimitrov won Stockholm last year. Berdych won Stockholm the year before that. Berdych loves indoor hard, has won 4 titles in his career indoors, yet I'm rolling with Dimitrov why? Dimitrov owns H2H 3-2, 3-1 if we don't count an exhibition tournament. Berdych has played absolutely no one this week, it's been one of the easiest paths to a final I've ever seen. #92, #181, #202 to reach a final! And despite this, still struggling here and there. I think this is a 50/50 match and it will depend on who can defend better.. Dimi has played a bunch of tight matches, Berdych hasn't really run into trouble playing against way inferior opposition. Will take a battle-tested guy who is on the up, has won 3 titles this year, has the h2h, over a guy who has better power but is generally more inconsistent.
Ferrer (+260) against Murray
Ferrer is my breh, probably my favorite player cause he gets it done with determination and grinding. Anyway... Ferrer just beat Murray LAST WEEK! Why are the odds like this? Murray has admittedly looked more solid, and Kohlschreiber really did choke it away against Ferrer in the 3rd set.. but these are new circumstances. Murray has played better, but against Ferrer, in my opinion, he is playing someone who's slightly better at what Murray does. Murray has the power advantage, Ferrer slight rally advantage. He can grind anyone down, Murray included like last week. However.. ADMITTEDLY.... Ferrer is horrific in finals. He's 1-9 in his last 10, while Murray hasn't lost to anyone not named Federer or Djokovic in a final dating back to 2010. However, this is 2014. He hadn't even reached a final in a year, and he won a weak Shenzhen only after Robredo choked away 5 match points. This ain't peak Murray, while this is same old Ferrer. These odds are ridiculous, and I'll be taking Ferrer while keeping an eye on live betting just in case.
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been doin well on nfl this year so decided to ramp it up a little bit see what happens. put a chunk of change on these-
Colts -3 vs Cincinnati
Seattle -6 @ STL
Panthers +7 @ GB
Falcons +7 @ Ravens
Vikings +7 @ Bills
49ers +7.5 @ Denver
Steelers -3.5 vs Houston
Colts and Steelers heaviest leans
Colts -3 vs Cincinnati
Seattle -6 @ STL
Panthers +7 @ GB
Falcons +7 @ Ravens
Vikings +7 @ Bills
49ers +7.5 @ Denver
Steelers -3.5 vs Houston
Colts and Steelers heaviest leans
alright this is my last run im going back for one more job like deniro in heat...
cincy +3
bears -3
cleveland -4
I honestly wanted to take cincy ML... i dont understand how that line isnt a pickem... cincy is going to win this game... people are forgetting too quickly how good they are... and how average eevryone except andrew luck is on indy
cincy +3
bears -3
cleveland -4
I honestly wanted to take cincy ML... i dont understand how that line isnt a pickem... cincy is going to win this game... people are forgetting too quickly how good they are... and how average eevryone except andrew luck is on indy
you underestimate luck's ability to take over the whole game. cincy's good but luck's a superstar. if colts get ahead early they'll blow em out. otherwise could be close game but i'm all in on colts -3. steelers -3.5 is even better.
Dalton on the road vs Luck at home, Green out also, im thinking Colts take this at home. Also I cant trust Cutler, he's too up and down. Goodluck though
as to you breh
"It Was Always Jerry"
New Season, Same Problem
Im going more towards NO, but that Detroit front 4 is a Problem. Also that NO defense is one of the worst in the league. I just cant go against Brees, but this is a no bet for me. Too Unpredictable.
McTwerk
Dreams and Nightmares
1st Half Bet - 50 to win 300
Cleveland -3
Seattle -3.5
Dallas -3
3 Team Parlay - 50 to win 300
Seattle -7
NO +1
Dallas -4
3 Team Teaser - 100 to win 100
Atlanta +15.5
Indy +6
NO +10
Cleveland -3
Seattle -3.5
Dallas -3
3 Team Parlay - 50 to win 300
Seattle -7
NO +1
Dallas -4
3 Team Teaser - 100 to win 100
Atlanta +15.5
Indy +6
NO +10