for the betters out here, the post your picks thread

[MikelArteta]

never put your faith in cornball

 

[MikelArteta]

I know it was smart. The real public trap imo is the saints/niners game. All the public money thats on KC, I think they'll get it right back on that niners game. Another thing is its smart to let the public win sometimes so they can keep playing. The books have made a killing these last few weeks. Maybe they just gave a freebie so the public can think they're "luck has changed". Its kind of like how when you lose alot at the casino, they'll comp you free plane tickets and hotel stays.

Also kind of like how slots are rigged to win every now and then. If everybody lost all the time, they'd run out of business.

the -3 is the ol regular gimme bet that you sometimes get, it looks to good to be true more than times than not vegas rakes it in, sometimes things like this happen

 

[BigE214]

never put your faith in Corn

fixed.

 

[L&HH]

Yea this KC game just convinced me to go heavy on the saints and niners tonight. I really feel they wanted the sharps to take hit so they'll second guess/have a weaker bankroll for the Saints and niners games. The public money they lost they're going to get right back on the saints or niners or both.

 

[yoyoyo1]

the last 10-20 posts is why I hate reading feedback on NFL, I swear people try to psych themselves out with this trap, rlm, sharps, squares, vegas garbage.

the books dont know more than you know, those days are gone

 

[USSInsiders]

the last 10-20 posts is why I hate reading feedback on NFL, I swear people try to psych themselves out with this trap, rlm, sharps, squares, vegas garbage.

the books dont know more than you know, those days are gone

traps are real breh

 

[L&HH]

the last 10-20 posts is why I hate reading feedback if I ever make American sports bets, I swear people try to psych themselves out with this trap, rlm, sharps, squares, vegas garbage.

the books dont know more than you know, those days are gone

I think there's still some merit to it. Yes, the books don't know more than us as far as the outcomes of the games [this can be debated] but they know more than us as far the lines because they're the ones who made them. We know for a fact that they intentionally skew lines for one reason or another. KC -3 was a fukked up line they intentionally made for a reason, same with the Niners game. There's no reason for Seattle to be the dogs in this game. Seattle has already whooped them this year, Niners have only beaten one team with a winning record, and Seattle is coming off a BIG win against one of the top 5 teams in the league. If they were doing things accurately KC would be no less than -6 and Seattle would be the favorites.

 

[yoyoyo1]

I think there's still some merit to it. Yes, the books don't know more than us as far as the outcomes of the games [this can be debated] but they know more than us as far the lines because they're the ones who made them. We know for a fact that they intentionally skew lines for one reason or another. KC -3 was a fukked up line they intentionally made for a reason, same with the Niners game. There's no reason for Seattle to be the dogs in this game. Seattle has already whooped them this year, Niners have only beaten one team with a winning record, and Seattle is coming off a BIG win against one of the top 5 teams in the league. If they were doing things accurately KC would be no less than -6 and Seattle would be the favorites.

yeah, so dont you say "oh they messed it up, let me take this bet even faster"? but all people do is second-guess themselves out of some money.

1+1 = 2, but vegas says its 3 so.. I don't know about this

I think betting is about being steadfast in your beliefs and research, why just completely mistrust yourself if a line is wrong.

 

[MikelArteta]

scust at the raiders

gave up 14 easy points to teh jets

 

[L&HH]

yeah, so dont you say "oh they messed it up, let me take this bet even faster"? but all people do is second-guess themselves out of some money.

1+1 = 2, but vegas says its 3 so.. I don't know about this

I think betting is about being steadfast in your beliefs and research, why just completely mistrust yourself if a line is wrong.

Yea, my argument is that they're intentionally making the lines "wrong". Which is much different then when they mes up. Ive caught a few lines they've messed up on but they weren't popular/mainstream games. They're not just going to mess up NFL lines on, everything they do there imo is very intentional [maybe they'll mess up a few totals but speads? nah]


BTW my undercall is fukkED. I knew the skins were bad and I didnt have to worry about them scoring but shyt, this defense , its fukking snowing and shyt

 

[USSInsiders]

yeah, so dont you say "oh they messed it up, let me take this bet even faster"? but all people do is second-guess themselves out of some money.

1+1 = 2, but vegas says its 3 so.. I don't know about this

I think betting is about being steadfast in your beliefs and research, why just completely mistrust yourself if a line is wrong.

breh, 90% of the time it is too good to be true for a reason. Go bet on a primetime NFL game with an "easy" number and watch what happens.

However, I'd say Washington is a good example of a "dead" dog. There's no fight in them. I bet on the Niners who also had an easy number against them and blew them out because I felt Washington has no fight.

I just don't even fukk with games like that, period, but in primetime NFL, there are usually traps galore. Linesmaker undervalue "bad" teams all the time just becaus of their record and competition.

People forget games aren't played in a vacuum. We have to deal with psychology, weather, referees--most projection software that cappers use doesn't always account for that shyt

This Washington line is a prime example of how you get action on both sides of a truly one-sided game. Just put out a weird number

 

[Dak Pickscott]

great insight guys

 

[954UAlreadyknow]

if San Fran win I'ma get my parlay

 

[MikelArteta]

lol at geno smith about to cost me money

 

[BigE214]

kc and wash went over in the first half