for the betters out here, the post your picks thread

FaygoMI

FaygoMI

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yall better hope @Absolut come thru and bless everyone with them sharp plays early in the week. Can't believe I'm back for the fukkery that is the NFL :aicmon:.

These fools at work got me in a pick every game of the week pool :damn:
 
yoyoyo1

yoyoyo1

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Absolut said:
rj bell is a clown, and cant wait til hes exiled from the medias mentions of sports betting (its not very far off, i can tell that for a fact). but mgm handles the most money in the state, yet has comically bad lines. theres too many tourists and large betting squares that just refuse to line shop, and take whatevers offered at their place they are staying. mgm has 20 cent baseball lines, which is out of the fukking 1980s, yet people still bet big into them. literally the worst place to bet baseball on planet earth, yet they write big action to games. the locals knock caesars & mgm/mirage all the time, but they still write massive handle. i dont even check what their lines are because a) they dont have an app, and more accurately b) their lines are hot garbage. -2400 with +800 takeback is as bad as it gets. mock em all we want tho, they probably had guys in line going into the fight betting 4-5 figs on berto at 8/9-1. -2400/+800? on something youll write handle to? if youre anything higher than say -1300/+800 its robbery. our favorite when a dog is 8-1 is -1100, on something we will write decent action to. a lil higher hold on tennis or ufc fights, smaller boxing etc, but nothing higher than -1300/+800
Click to expand...

thanks a lot for the detailed response, i couldnt wrap my head around it. knew it was bad but that not bad
 
yoyoyo1

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We've seen this Djokovic/Federer situation so many times, but while the other occasions were easy Djokovic bets while people got carried away with Fed and his legacy and the line was something ridiculous like -135 (just like Serena in GS finals this year was always around -300, thanks for the free money), this one seems like the most legit chance he has. The guy is playing lightning fast and at full confidence. The line is exactly where it was the past 3 times, Djokovic around -135. An obvious no bet.
 
<<TheStandard>>

<<TheStandard>>

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Week 1 of NFL

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Went pretty well besides the Jags and Raiders....ugh

Wanted the Bills but missed the good number
 
<<TheStandard>>

<<TheStandard>>

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CO6RQ4VW8AA9loX.jpg


Almost middled the Eagles total but Parkey missed that field goal


knew it would start off slow and would jump off in the 2nd half....
 
N

nomoreneveragain

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Is Denver's Defense that legit to keep it as -3 line?

Arrowhead in Primetime + Short Week + Shot Manning ... Wants me to Jump all over KC
 
yoyoyo1

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Str8Ballin said:
who's got a good money management system?


fukkin impulse betting be the downfall of a nikka :mjcry:
Click to expand...
money management is bullshyt if you don't have a LEGIT bankroll. at least in my experience. like whats 1-2% of 2000, 20 bucks? pretty pointless if you're gonna go that way, maybe 5% is more appropriate and that's still conservative if you wanna make some decent money.

let it fukking ride (not go all in, obviously, but pick and choose spots) and hope you go on a streak if you have less than 2k. but that's just how i roll. not gonna lie, most times i flop, but when i get hot i GET HOT and win back all i lost before in a few days. and its after that where you have to be smart and not lose it.
 
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