Ethiopia is a powerhouse in the making

loyola llothta

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Ethiopians Go to the Polls Even After the US Tells Them Not to

23 Jun 2021



Ethiopians Go to the Polls Even After the US Tells Them Not to

Many Ethiopians expressed enthusiasm for what they consider the country’s first real, competitive election, writes Ann Garrison.

“Ethiopia, Eritrea and Somalia are now alarming US political and military elites by forming an alliance and threatening to chart an independent path in the Horn of Africa.”

On Monday, June 21st, Ethiopians went to the polls to select a parliament, which will elect a prime minister, even though US officials told them not to, warning of chaos and violence. Maybe they think it’s arrogant of the United States to presume to be the global arbiter of peace, justice, and democracy.

The African Union sent an election observer mission headed by former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo, who told press midday on Monday that it was going well, far better than previous Ethiopian elections.

Lawyer, judge, and politician Birtukan Mideksa, chairperson of the National Election Board, no doubt agrees. In 2005, she helped found the Coalition for Unity and Democracy (CUD) Party, ran for parliament a second time, claimed the election was rigged, and was then among thousands imprisoned by the US puppet government of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi in the ensuing crackdown. She was sentenced to life in prison, pardoned in 2007, after signing a controversial document regretting past mistakes, but sent back to prison for life in 2008. International human rights advocacy, including that of Amnesty International, led to her release and exile in the United States, where she attended the Harvard Kennedy School of Government and spent time employed by the National Endowment for Democracy, the CIA cutout that claims to promote democracy around the world while in fact promoting US global hegemony.

“Former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo told press midday on Monday that it was going far better than previous Ethiopian elections.”

It’s not clear whether her brief tenure with NED should be a red flag or simply something to keep in mind as her political career advances. The United States foreign policy establishment often likes to invest in any promising African leaders even if they are opposed to a government the US is supporting at the time, as was the case with Mideksa. And the leaders they invest in don’t always toe the line over time. Somali President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed, aka Farmaajo, is a case in point. Abiy, Farmaajo, and Eritrea’s Isaias Afwerki are now alarming US political and military elites by forming an alliance and threatening to chart an independent path in the Horn of Africa.

In any case, Mideksa seems to be enjoying rock star status in Ethiopia today. The BBC ran a lengthy profile of her including many of the aforementioned details.

Sitting Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party is widely expected to win a majority large enough to make him prime minister and increase both his legitimacy and the party’s. Abiy has served as Ethiopia’s caretaker prime minister since April 2018, when a popular uprising finally forced the Tigray People’s Liberation Front from power after 27 years. In 2019, he was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for negotiating peace with Eritrea, a former Ethiopian colony

“Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party is widely expected to win a majority large enough to make him prime minister and increase both his legitimacy and the party’s.”

Under the rule of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front, commonly known as the TPLF , Ethiopia was a key US ally and military proxy in the Horn of Africa and on the African continent, putting boots on the ground under US command in both Somalia and South Sudan. The US and NATO have been hostile to Prime Minister Abiy, seemingly because of his alliance with Eritrea, the only African nation that refuses to cooperate with AFRICOM , the US Africa Command, or submit to the debt peonage that the International Monetary Fund and World Bank have imposed on other African nations.

Last year Prime Minister Abiy postponed elections because of the COVID-19 pandemic, but the US’s former ally, the TPLF, held elections in Tigray Regional State nevertheless and then attacked a federal army base in the state capital, Mekelle, ambushing and killing Ethiopian National Defense Forces who had been sleeping. Prime Minister Abiy responded, as any head of state would, by sending in the national army to put down the insurrection, and fighting is ongoing. Eritrea was drawn in after the TPLF fired rockets across its border at the Eritrean military.

Elections were not held on Monday in Tigray because of the civil conflict. They were reportedly not held in Somali State because of logistical problems or in Harrar City because of an unresolved lawsuit over who can vote. It was also reported that some did not vote in Benishangul-Gumuz region because ethnic violence prevented voter registration. However, these regions are all expected to elect parliamentary representatives by September, and many Ethiopians expressed enthusiasm for what they consider the country’s first real, competitive election. Fitsum Alemu, a member of the Ethiopian diaspora living in Virginia, told me that he didn’t expect the election to solve all of Ethiopia’s problems, but that voting was so important to members of his family that they stood in line for several hours in the rain to vote in Addis Ababa.

“Eritrea is the only African nation that refuses to cooperate with AFRICOM .”

Benyam Kitaw, a member of the diaspora living in Los Angeles, said, "All the people I spoke with in Ethiopia stated that they are excited about voting and the prospect of true democracy starting to take hold there for the first time. Democracy may be bumpy and have flaws, but progress towards the common Ethiopian finally having their vote counted means that Ethiopia is closer to self-determination, and this is a very good thing.”
Secretary of State Antony Blinken and USAID Chief and former UN Ambassador Samantha Power said that the Tigray conflict, and more, made an honest and peaceful election impossible and demanded that Abiy postpone the election.

However, in 2015, when Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn and the TPLF claimed to have won an impossible 100% of the vote, Barack Obama called it democratic. Susan Rice, who was then Obama’s National Security Advisor, addressed reporters prior to their trip to Kenya and Ethiopia and said that the TPLF’s 100% victory suggested some procedural problems, but she didn’t doubt the rightness of the outcome. When a reporter asked whether she considered that an honest election, she responded “100%,” and then laughed, helping to make herself one of the most despised US officials in Ethiopia and on the African continent.
Link:
Ethiopians Go to the Polls Even After the US Tells Them Not to | Black Agenda Report
 

loyola llothta

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What are the options for arms deals and loans? Addis Ababa has an opening Washington support of TPLF is giving Moscow serious strategic opportunities with Addis Ababa






Despite Abiy efforts to be compliant to IMF/ World Bank, he is not submissive enough with security and overall set foreign policy for Eritrea & Somalia The TPLF is compliant internally and regionally to Washington interest Abiy was Washington's man as long as TPLF was in Addis



 

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However, in 2015, when Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn and the TPLF claimed to have won an impossible 100% of the vote, Barack Obama called it democratic. Susan Rice, who was then Obama’s National Security Advisor, addressed reporters prior to their trip to Kenya and Ethiopia and said that the TPLF’s 100% victory suggested some procedural problems, but she didn’t doubt the rightness of the outcome. When a reporter asked whether she considered that an honest election, she responded “100%,” and then laughed, helping to make herself one of the most despised US officials in Ethiopia and on the African continent.

Skinfolk aren't always kinfolk. :francis:
 
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2Quik4UHoes

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Anyone thinks that Ethiopia can get back to League of Nations status? Serious question.

Explain. League of Nations went defunct before WWII. Ethiopia was one of the founding nations of the UN. Right now, there’s a geopolitical showdown taking place in the region with Ethiopia at the center of it.
 

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Explain. League of Nations went defunct before WWII. Ethiopia was one of the founding nations of the UN. Right now, there’s a geopolitical showdown taking place in the region with Ethiopia at the center of it.

During the League of Nations, Ethiopia was a major player. UNSC level player. After WW2, post-UN, they lost that position/power.
 

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During the League of Nations, Ethiopia was a major player. UNSC level player. After WW2, post-UN, they lost that position/power.

I wouldn’t say Ethiopia was a major player, the country wasn’t allowed to industrialize unlike Japan and that was mostly due to European racism. Ethiopia was a very shrewd country diplomatically so it was more a matter of making the right alliances in order to survive.

If anything, being unified with Eritrea made Ethiopia economically much stronger than it had been before. This is even after the British snatched much of the industrial technology that the Italians built. In terms of right now, it really depends on how things turn out in the next few months. The dam will be filled next month and that could draw a wider regional conflict. Sudan could be emboldened to become more assertive in the disputed al Fashaqa region to spark a war and bring in Egypt. If Eritrea, Ethiopia, and Somalia maintain and keep on course with their plans it could spell dramatic shift in the West’s policies while drawing in Russia/China.

The tricky part is no one country in the region enjoys a grand advantage over the other. Sudan is still politically fragile and has its own ethnic conflicts. Ethiopia’s issues are known. Eritrea is trying to shake sanctions but may be about to backslide. Somalia remains fragile as well. The West is essentially propping up Djibouti’s leadership to keep their bases cozy which could inevitably backfire with the people in open revolt after seeing its neighbors take a more independent stance.

My hope of all hopes is that the EAC project in the south combines with the Horn initiative and a more stable, less Egypt-centric Sudan to make one large East African bloc. This would be the first true bold step for Africa as far as I’m concerned.
 
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My hope of all hopes is that the EAC project in the south combines with the Horn initiative and a more stable, less Egypt-centric Sudan to make one large East African bloc. This would be the first true bold step for Africa as far as I’m concerned.

EAC in the South? What's that? I don't think I've heard of it.
 

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EAC in the South? What's that? I don't think I've heard of it.

The East African Community. It’s a planned bloc of all the Swahili speaking East African states. South Sudan is potentially in the mix as well.

In my opinion, Africa’s sovereignty is going to come from powerful regional states instead of all these smaller countries which were specifically designed with colonialism in mind. If you were to combine the East African countries from Sudan to Tanzania that is a potential economic powerhouse rivaling the top countries in the world. The EAC is further along in this idea than the rest of East Africa but the Horn initiative which has further exasperated the problems in the region is a step in the direction of the EAC. Difference being that the Horn is a far more strategically important region than the East African coast south of Somalia.
 
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