Election Day thread

theworldismine13

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Chris Christie Re-elected Governor of New Jersey
http://www.nytimes.com/news/electio...istie-re-elected-governor-of-new-jersey/?_r=0

http://www.nytimes.com/news/electio...istie-re-elected-governor-of-new-jersey/?_r=0

New Jersey Exit Poll: Christie Gained Support Among Key Groups

New Jersey Exit Poll: Christie Gained Among Key Groups
Nov 5
8:09 pm
Michael R. Kagay
Gov. Chris Christie is heading toward a re-election victory that could fall just short of landslide proportions (usually defined as over 60 percent of the vote).

Compared to four years ago, Mr. Christie, a Republican increased his strength among many demographic groups: by 8 points among men and 11 points among women; by 9 points among whites, 12 points among blacks, and 13 points among Hispanics.

His support also grew by 5 points among college graduates and 14 points among those with no college degree. Among key centrist groups, his support increased by 12 points among suburbanites, by 12 points among moderates, and by 5 points among Independents.

Barbara Buono, Mr. Christie’s Republican opponent, drew strength from the youngest age group, from blacks and Hispanics, from liberals, Democrats, union households, large cities, and the urban north of the state — all familiar core groups of the Democratic coalition in the state.

But a Democrat cannot win when 30 percent of the party faithful defect and Independents split 2:1 for the other party.

Self-described Democrats were 41 percent of the voters on this Election Day, and Republicans 28 percent. Four years ago, Democrats were also 41 percent, and Republicans 31 percent.

Governor Christie had been hoping for a reduced Democratic advantage to boost the size of his victory.

In the end, he seems to have won over significant number of Democrats (22 points worth) but not reduced their turnout. Mr. Christie’s strategy may have been blunted by outside expenditures from pro-Democratic groups aimed at stimulating Democratic turnout.

It remains to be seen tonight how these shifts will affect the political balance in the New Jersey Legislature.

All State Assembly and State Senate seats were up for election Tuesday. But the statewide exit poll offers little help in assessing those down-ticket races.

If defecting Democrats frequently split their ticket, voting for Mr. Christie but also for a Democratic legislator, the partisan balance could be little changed. But sometimes in the past, a blowout in the governor’s race caused one or both houses of the Legislature to change hands.

Governor Christie’s national ambitions didn’t receive as overwhelming an endorsement as his re-election to the governorship. Only 51 percent of New Jersey voters said he would make a good president. And, when asked to choose, New Jersey voters preferred Hilary Clinton by 49 percent to 43 percent for Mr. Christie.
 
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