Doing Better Business.

Poitier

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This is a placeholder post to ensure I get around to this.

A thread evaluating good and bad business/development deals across the diaspora and how they could be improved.

This is a communal space so if you have a deal worth analyzing then feel free to contribute.

@KidStranglehold @MansaMusa @Dip @BlackStarLine @Raymond Burrr @TTT @CharlieManson @CashmereEsquire @EastCoastNaga @DrBanneker @Yehuda @Misreeya @How Sway? @Frangala @mbewane @Clean Cut @KingSlime @Isiolaikipia @Trajan @David_TheMan @lloyola llotha
 
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bnew

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Besides costly building projects, How would someone go about earning income from a empty lot? i.e What type of fold up shops would find the space appealing?
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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Any and all you see fit. The "Africa Media" and "Afro-Latino/Caribbean" threads provide a lot of good source material but not much analysis so I think it'd be better to centralize and have a space where its more discussion-based.

So, something like this?
Nigeria-Benin Rail Line Underway as Experts Discuss West African Infrastructure Projects
A standard gauge rail line stretching from Parakou in Benin Republic will terminate in Ilorin, central Nigeria, upon completion, as part of a budding infrastructure rebirth aimed at unlocking potential investment opportunities in the West African sub-region.


The project was disclosed at Africa’s premier infrastructure summit which kicked off in Abuja Monday.

The event, organised by Africa Finance Corporation, was held on Monday and continues on Tuesday. It brings together some of the frontline experts in infrastructure investments who would offer suggestions on how to approach the continent’s infrastructure demands.

The cross-border rail project is part of a series of investment arrangements put in place by Petrolin’s Backbone Project – which includes a rail line to be built on existing networks linking Cotonou (Benin) to Parakou (Benin), to Dosso (Niger) and to Niamey (Niger) for a total 1,032 kilometres.


The project also includes a new dry port, a new deepwater port, a dry port and a new international airport being planned around Cotonou-Parakou axis in Benin Republic, Petrolin said.

The project will unlock opportunities in other critical infrastructure endeavours such as schools, universities, health centres, and tourism areas.

“The core of our business strategy is to use our international strength to bring on board first class international companies and, more importantly, to involve local indigenous partners and investors to associate them to the development of the sub-region,” Samuel Dossou-Aworet, Chairman of Petrolin Group, said on the opening day of the event, tagged: AFC Live 2017.

“We’re currently planning a train line from Parakou to Ilorin, Nigeria,” he added.

lg.php
But details of the construction project, which could span up to 360 kilometres, were not immediately provided at the event.Andrew Alli, the President and CEO of AFC, who said investors unveiled about a dozen projects that would gulp as much as $13 billion at Monday’s session of the event, noted that his team would prioritise partnerships across the continent.“We will focus on deal-making, with a view to leveraging public-private partnerships for continental infrastructure transformation,” Mr. Alli said.

AFC, which has its headquarters in Lagos, said the infrastructure projects were planned for Benin, Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Niger, Rwanda, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe, amongst others.
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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I've been examining development policy as of late. Poitier, have you seen Ethiopia's Economic Transformation 5 Year Plans? Here's the plan for 2015-2019/2020
http://dagethiopia.org/new/images/DAG_DOCS/GTP2_English_Translation_Final_June_21_2016.pdf

Some highlights:
Most farmers, pastoralist, private sector, women and youth groups and other members of the society experienced the sustained, rapid and broad based growth of the country. This broadbased and rapid economic growth performance during the plan period, 2010/11-2014/2015, has in turn consolidated the aspirations of individual citizens and the country in general to achieve even better in the time ahead. Ethiopia’s achievements over the last five years have also attracted global recognition, and help the image of the country for the better, as can be observed from the increased inflow of FDI and strong performance of the country’s first ever sovereign bond in the international capital markets.

Per capita income increase
Annual average income per capita increased from 377 USD in 2009/2010 to 691 USD by 2014/15. By sustaining the robust growth performance witnessed during the last five years, which in turn helped accelerate income per capita growth, social development and environmental protection and management capacity, the country is set to realize its vision of becoming a lower middle income country by 2025.

Agricutural led economic growth
Given the bulk of the rural population derives its livelihood from agriculture and poverty is by and large a rural phenomenon, agricultural growth has been a major driver of poverty reduction in Ethiopia. The proportion of the population living below the national poverty line fell from 38.7% in 2003/4 to 29.6% in 2010/11. This study clearly indicated that the proportion of the population living in poverty has fallen in both rural and urban areas .By the end of 2014/15; the proportion of the population living below national poverty line was estimated to decline from 29.6 to 23.4 percent. This progress shows that the country is on track to achieve the target of reducing income poverty by half by the end of 2014/15.

Inflation
The GTPI set a target to keep general inflation within single digit. However, inflation emerged as a major macroeconomic challenge during the first two years of the GTPI period. The 12 months moving average general inflation rate increased to 18 percent in June 2011 and further to 33.7 percent in June 2012. The price increase was so high particularly in 2012 and it was very likely to have adversely affected the wellbeing of people and efforts to promote private investment. In addition to prudent macroeconomic policy measures (fiscal and monetary), a new trading reform and price stabilization interventions such as distribution of basic commodities like sugar, edible oil and wheat to low income households have been carried out. Thus, prices had stabilized and general inflation rate dropped to a single digit in 2013/14 and 2014/15. As a result, the 12 months moving average general inflation rate declined to 8.1 percent and further to 7.7 percent in 2013/14 and 2014/15, respectively. However, the government recognizes that the lasting solution to a recurring inflation is to accelerate inclusive growth that creates decent employment opportunities. To this end, improving the productivity of smallholder agriculture sector and expanding investments in manufacturing industries coupled with the creation of decent employment opportunities becomes crucial.

Budgetary Expenditure
The expenditure side of the fiscal policy focused on allocating the majority of the revenue mobilized to poverty reducing priority sectors and on following tight fiscal policy to maintain budget deficit below 3% of GDP. The budget allocation system aimed at fully financing recurrent expenditure from domestic revenues and increasingly covering the capital spending from domestic sources. Accordingly, of the total annual government expenditure, on average 60% was allocated for capital investment, while the remaining was allocated to recurrent expenditure during the GTP I period. This showed that the actual government budget allocation was well aligned with the fiscal policy pronouncement, leading to increased capital accumulation. It is also worth noting that 70% of government expenditure was disbursed on progrowth and pro-poor sectors as roads, education, health, agriculture and food security, and water and sanitation.
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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Export Targets
Although some agricultural and manufacturing export commodities showed a modest increase, overall performance fell short of the planned target. For instance, volume of coffee exported stood at a record 200,000 ton for the first time during the plan period. But still its performance did not exceed one third of the planned target. Similarly, it was planned to increase foreign exchange 16 earnings from flower export by more than 50 percent. However, performance has lagged behind the target. It was also planned to increase foreign exchange earnings and broaden the export base through expanding manufacturing exports. It was planned to earn 1 billion USD from textile and garment, 500 million USD from leather and leather products and more than 660 million USD from sugar by the end of the plan period although, the performance remained far below the planned target.

Land certification
The following major targets are set with respect to Rural Land Administration during GTP II: (i) Provide land use certificates for 7.2 million male and female headed households that secure land use right by carrying out the second level of certification for 28.6 million farmlands in 359 Woredas; (ii) prepare national rural land use master plan; and (iii) prepare land administration and utilization master plan for each regional state
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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I think what Ethiopia is doing is getting export-agriculture right.

It's harder to industrialize when you have to import both machinery AND foodstuffs. Also, agricultural exports is a simple way for less advanced countries to obtain foreign currency, which is then used to machinery, investment and sometimes even skilled labour. To avoid a balance of payments/debt crisis in the future in a country with over 100,000,000 people as of this year - Ethiopia is trying to obtain mastery of its agricultural sector.

I'd also note that land certification policies in Ethiopia/state aid may induce yields. But as far as I know, all land in Ethiopia is owned by the state via long-term leases. If farmers owned the land themselves, maybe there'd be more incentives to work? However, the current gov't in Ethiopia dislikes the idea of landlords, which were the bane of peasants before the Revolution in the mid 1970s... :patrice:A way around this is to ban/prevent the sale of land for profits and firm land redistribution/limit the size of fields per household.

But, are farmers gaining credit, necessary infrastructure (roads, inland ports, commercial railways, cargo airports) to ship goods? What about the institutions needed to teach farmers how to be more productive, avoid livestock diseases, set up cooperatives etc?

:lupe:
 

The Odum of Ala Igbo

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Botswana to construct 100MW solar power plant
Botswana’s state run power utility is seeking a partner for a 100-MW solar power plant project with energy storage capacity in the country.

The Botswana Power Corporation (BPC) will be accepting expressions of interest (EoIs) by June 14.

The power company will be a partner in the joint venture that will develop, install, and operate the solar power plant project.

It will also be the entity buying the power by the future solar farm under a power purchase agreement (PPA).

“The plant will be situated in Botswana, and the new formed Joint Venture will sell its power to BPC through a Power Purchasing Agreement.

Also read:Major Power Plant in Botswana to be constructed in expansion plan

Therefore, Expression of Interest is invited from power generation companies/Independent Power Producers (IPPs)/power plant developers/Captive Power Producers for developing a solar power plant in a joint venture with BPC,” BPC explained.

BPC states that the objectives of the 100 MW Solar Power plant project are to improve security and reliability of energy supply, increase share of new and renewable sources of energy in the energy supply mix of the country and offset the country’s carbon footprint.

The 100-MW solar power project is in line with the country’s power strategy. BPC said the plant will improve the security and reliability of energy supply, increase the use of renewable energy, and reduce Botswana’s carbon footprint.

According to BPC, Botswana is facing a huge power supply deficit owing to diminished surplus generation capacity in the region and the growing electrical energy requirements in Botswana.

To address the power supply challenges and to meet the future electricity demand, BPC and the Ministry of Minerals, Green Technology and Energy Security has embarked on a comprehensive electrical power system development strategy which includes among others, the development of a 100MW solar power plant two years from appointment of the preferred Independent Power Producer joint venture partner.

The supplementary power generation will be from a new solar power plant constructed, commissioned, owned and operated, by the IPP joint venture company.

This initiative is in line with National Energy Policy goal of providing affordable, reliable and adequate supply of energy for sustainable development, as well as improving access to and efficient use of energy resources.

- Great move. Botswana has lots of land that's inundated with sunlight, but not a lot of people. Moreover, diamonds and coals won't last forever. Exporting power to Angola and South Africa can help the country's coffers in the next 20-30 years. Also, Botswana knows how to create beneficial join venture companies (Debswana for example). The Debswana model, I expect, will be implemented here.
 

Poitier

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South Africa raises black ownership threshold for mining firms
Thu Jun 15, 2017 5:00pm GMT

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By Tanisha Heiberg and Ed Stoddard

PRETORIA/JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) - South Africa has raised the minimum threshold for black ownership of mining companies to 30 percent from 26 percent, the government said on Thursday, though an industry body said it would try to block it and other regulatory changes in court.

Mining firms in the world's top platinum producer have complained about a lack of consultation over revisions to an industry charter that sets targets for black ownership and participation in the powerful sector.

The charter is part of a wider empowerment drive across Africa's most industrialised economy designed to rectify the disparities of apartheid that persist more than two decades since the end of white minority rule in 1994.

The Chamber of Mines, which represents mining firms, said it would take the government to court over the charter because it had not been consulted sufficiently and feared the new rules would create regulatory uncertainty and scare off investors.

Announcing the new rules on Thursday, Mines Minister Mosebenzi Zwane said companies had 12 months to meet the new 30 percent target.

The rand fell 2 percent after Zwane announced details of the revisions. Johannesburg's Mining Index ended the day more than 3 percent lower, underscoring investor concerns about the charter and the uncertainties it raises.

"The value destruction is hard to quantify and the uncertainty will persist. What is certain is that South Africa continues to be a terrible destination for mining investment and assets in South Africa will continue to trade at a discount," said Ben Davis, an analyst at London-based Liberum Capital.

The government has said in the past that companies must stick to ownership targets even if black shareholders sell their stakes but Zwane said it had not yet decided whether mining firms must maintain the threshold permanently.

The Chamber of Mines said it would also take this issue back to courts. It argues that a company should only be obliged to meet its black ownership targets once.

The Mining Charter was introduced in 2002 to increase black ownership of the mining industry, which accounts for about 7 percent of South Africa's economic output.

Black South Africans make up 80 percent of the 54 million population, yet most of the economy in terms of ownership of land and companies remains in the hands of whites, who account for about 8 percent of the population.



"NOT OUR CHARTER"

Zwane told a news conference in the capital Pretoria that he had consulted widely with businesses.

"We will engage with business going forward in a respectable manner. We will never take them to court," he said.

The new charter stipulates that mining firms must pay 1 percent of their annual turnover to the Mining Transformation and Development Agency, which helps black communities.

Under the new rules, prospecting rights must be 50 percent black owned and mining rights should be 30 percent black owned. Mining firms are required to procure 70 percent of goods and 80 percent of services from black-owned companies.

This could prove difficult for many companies, as much of the expensive and sophisticated equipment used on South Africa's increasingly mechanised mines is imported from foreign manufacturers.

The new rules also state that half of the members of mining company boards must be black, and a quarter of the overall board must be women.

Officials at the Chamber of Mines said they hoped legal action would force the government back to the negotiating table.

"We will not sign this charter because it is not our charter," Chamber of Mines CEO Roger Baxter told a news conference in Johannesburg.

The chamber, which represents companies such as Anglo American and Sibanye Gold, did not take part in the launch of the new charter because of what it said was a lack of prior consultation.



(Additional reporting by Mfuneko Toyana in Johannesburg and Zandi Shabalala in London; Writing by James Macharia; Editing by David Clarke and Mark Potter)

I really wish our people did not have to rely on commodities and foreign investment. I say take these crackers bluff and push this referendum:francis:


@MansaMusa really like what Ethiopia is doing. I wonder how long it'll take on a timeline to have a majority middle class? The continent needs a consumer class anchor badly.
 

ZoeGod

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I think what Ethiopia is doing is getting export-agriculture right.

It's harder to industrialize when you have to import both machinery AND foodstuffs. Also, agricultural exports is a simple way for less advanced countries to obtain foreign currency, which is then used to machinery, investment and sometimes even skilled labour. To avoid a balance of payments/debt crisis in the future in a country with over 100,000,000 people as of this year - Ethiopia is trying to obtain mastery of its agricultural sector.

I'd also note that land certification policies in Ethiopia/state aid may induce yields. But as far as I know, all land in Ethiopia is owned by the state via long-term leases. If farmers owned the land themselves, maybe there'd be more incentives to work? However, the current gov't in Ethiopia dislikes the idea of landlords, which were the bane of peasants before the Revolution in the mid 1970s... :patrice:A way around this is to ban/prevent the sale of land for profits and firm land redistribution/limit the size of fields per household.

But, are farmers gaining credit, necessary infrastructure (roads, inland ports, commercial railways, cargo airports) to ship goods? What about the institutions needed to teach farmers how to be more productive, avoid livestock diseases, set up cooperatives etc?

:lupe:
This is something Haiti has been trying to do for a while. Haiti ultimately is an agricultural economy although there has been attempts to bring factories with some limited sucess. I hope Ethiopia succeeds so we can learn how to have a successful agricultural base.
 
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