COVID-19 Pandemic (Coronavirus)

Orbital-Fetus

Orbital-Fetus

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heart said:
It's just a lot of unethical practices going on around the country with the hospital morgues and funeral homes. Back in march when it was really popping off, most of the bodies were getting cremated. But the cases became so overwhelming, the majority of the deaths were happening in hospitals and you had bodies on top bodies waiting to get cremated, no autopsy's, most of the bodies are not even being washed or properly cared for.

Now fast forward, lets say you don't have the funds to bury yourself or your loved one. Usually a funeral home with put you on a payment depending on what you you are wanting for a service, etc.. Now if you don't have the money within three or four days they will not work with you and are just cremating bodies. That's the reason they have so many bodies and they're monopolizing the hospitals not only in Dallas but in other places that are considered "hot spots" as well.

With covid stipends from the government coming directly to hospitals, some of that money is going to funeral homes based on how many bodies they get. So those greedy basstards are making money on top of money. Meaning If you die in a hospital and don't have insurance, they are calling a SPECIFIC funeral home to pick up the body, then that funeral is getting part of whatever stipend the hospital gets PLUS they are getting whatever money the family will pay for burial or cremation.. It's a hustle.

And by that I mean case in point, a week ago at Parkland(which is a county hospital) we had a 41 year old patient die from covid, his body stayed in the room for seven hours, that's right seven hours because Golden Gate Funeral home was so backed up picking up other bodies from area hospitals, but then they along with other funeral directors wanna cry foul media saying they are overwhelmed with bodies when they are getting about 15-30k from the hospitals plus whatever the family pays, they are cleaning up, not treating the dead with dignity and only worried about a check.

Dallas has become a hot spot with more higher cases EVERYDAY, even more covid patients and I don't think its part of the "2nd wave", I think its still the first which why the GOV and Lt gov are making trips here every week. Talk to my colleagues in NY and its even worse with how the deceased is being treated at these hospitals and funeral homes.
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Thank you for sharing that with us, breh.
 
klutch2381

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<<TheStandard>> said:
Every time they extend the stay at home order I'm amazed at people's delusion. There was NEVER a world in which we were having a normal summer. People aren't grasping how our lives are going to change forever. Buckle up, stay safe & find a way to make the best of things until 2021.
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It reminds me of the scene in The Matrix where Morpheus is talking to Neo and he says that most people are so inert, so dependent on “the system” they will fight to try to maintain it. :wow:
 
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Stir Fry

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Different Coronavirus Models Are Starting To Agree. The Picture's Not Good

More than 82,000 people in the U.S. have died of COVID-19 as of Tuesday. How many more lives will be lost? Scientists have built dozens of computational models to answer that question. But the profusion of forecasts poses a challenge: The models use such a wide range of methodologies, formats, and time frames, it's hard to get even a ballpark sense of what the future has in store.

Enter Nicholas Reich, a biostatistician at University of Massachusetts Amherst. Reich and his colleagues have developed a method to compare and ultimately to merge the diverse models of the disease's progression into one "ensemble" projection. The resulting forecast is sobering: By June 6, the cumulative death toll in the U.S. will reach 110,000.

Reich's approach builds on work he's done over the past four years for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, pulling together the many forecasts that U.S. experts create annually to predict how that year's seasonal influenza will play out.

Reich's team has set up a similar system to compare coronavirus models. It's a sort of portal through which the scientists behind each COVID-19 model can communicate key details about their methodology and results, so that, as Reich explains, "all of these forecasts can be represented in a single standardized way. And this makes it really easy to make apples-to-apples comparisons between these models."

which publishes a version with a slight time lag.)

The projections vary substantially — with the most pessimistic forecasting a total death toll of 120,000 by June 6, and the most optimistic forecasting 103,000 deaths by that date. But the models have been inching closer to each other. Over the last several weeks, the distance between the highest and lowest estimates has halved from a gap of 36,000 deaths two weeks ago, to a gap of 17,000 deaths in the most recent update released Tuesday.

Still, says Reich, that remains a large difference. Also, he says, some of the models are gyrating fairly significantly from week to week.

"The most pessimistic model a few weeks ago was the model from Los Alamos National Laboratory," notes Reich. "Now Los Alamos is one of the most optimistic." Meanwhile the models produced by IHME and University of Texas at Austin respectively have substantially increased their projected deaths tolls — becoming among the most pessimistic.

There are a range of reasons for these changes: The scientists are getting new data; they are updating their methods as they calibrate their models against the reality to date; and lastly, Americans have stopped social distancing to the same degree as they had been in March and April — requiring models that assumed a longer stay-at-home period to adjust their forecasts upward.

But how do we make sense of these COVID-19 projections if the models can see-saw so abruptly from week-to-week? That's where Reich's "ensemble" model may be helpful. It's a strategy that forecasters use regularly to model not just disease outbreaks, but other phenomena ranging from weather to electoral outcomes.

"Individual models are being changed every week. They're sensitive to the last observed data in different ways," says Reich. But with an ensemble "there's a certain consistency and robustness. You're not quite, sort of flapping in the wind."

Caitlin Rivers, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security agrees. "We know from the experience of seasonal influenza that ensemble models tend to perform better than any single model," she says.

And the approach is particularly well-suited in this pandemic given how much is still unknown. "This ensemble approach really pulls together those different results and makes them, in some ways, greater than the sum of their parts," says Rivers.

Reich thinks he can still improve his ensemble model. For instance, at the moment Reich is giving equal weight to each of the forecasts that go into it. But soon he hopes to give more weight to those that are proving more accurate — an approach that he uses in his ensemble models for flu.

"Model accuracy is one thing that we're tracking and we're hoping to release some information on over the next few weeks," says Reich. "We've been sort of building the car as we're driving it at 90 miles an hour down the highway. And we're learning as we go."

In the meantime, says Rivers, it is at least useful to be able to see the range of forecasts that have been produced. "It tends to help the user to understand where the uncertainties are and the spectrum of possible futures," she says.

That said, Reich's setup only compares projections through the next four weeks — since many of the models don't offer forecasts beyond that point. This is why the latest update his team released projects deaths up to June 6.

Still, in that first week of June about 7,000 people are projected to die. The clear implication, adds Reich: The cumulative death toll of 110,000 forecast through June 6 will unquestionably rise much higher in the weeks beyond.
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Stir Fry

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THE HEAVEST said:
Covid19 has ability to cause every symptom you can think of. Unbelievable.

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Malcolmxxx_23 said:
More fear mongering

1.6 million ppl worldwide recovered

Just so u know
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This has got to be the goofiest talking point to come out of this situation when people use it as their only argument against this virus. It has some merit when used in context in the bigger picture of this event, but it in no way paints the entire picture. This exchange is a perfect example of it. OK 1.6 million people recovered, but the youtube video is pointing out the long term effects of it, where's the counterpoint to this when saying look at the recovery numbers? Of course, many will make a full recovery, but you still gotta take into account those that don't and the fact that this is still a very dangerous virus we're dealing with right now.

Ironically, the people I know irl that try and pull this shyt are heavy weed and tobacco smokers that don't seem to realize that their addiction puts them high on the list of people with a pre-existing conditions. I can't tell them nothing though, so I just keep it moving and pray that luck is on their side and they don't end up fukking up other people with their negligent attitudes.
 
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