COVID-19 Pandemic (Coronavirus)

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7 April 2020

Video: New York Medical Doctor: Is COVID-19 Really ARDS? Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome? It’s Not Pneumonia?

By Cameron Kyle-Sidell

An interesting analysis by Dr. Cameron Kyle-Sidell, emergency medicine physician based in Brooklyn, New York, affiliated with the Maimonides Medical Center.





Link:

Looks like many physicians are backing him on this.
 

eXodus

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Jesus H. Christ we better hope CDC math is wrong just like there response to this was delayed and wrong as well.

A 5.7 R0 (Naught) is catastrophic levels.

Say starting with 4 people infected and spreading it around and it's a 2.3 R0 (Naught) after 9 rounds of it going around that's about 7,200 thousand people infected.

5.7 R0 (Naught) changes that 7,200 people infected to 25,000,000 million people infected!
Yo I’m fukking heated right now bruh because the CDC ain’t shyt and is dropping the ball!

This study was released on Feb 11th, from Los Alamos National Laboratory and it estimated the R0 being between 4.7-6.6 and CDC comes with this bullshyt 2.3 estimate using it to misinform the severity of the virus and the intensity of necessary policy changes !!!

Integrating these estimates and high-resolution real-time human travel and infection data with mathematical models, we estimated that the number of infected individuals during early epidemic double every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6. We further show that quarantine and contact tracing of symptomatic individuals alone may not be effective and early, strong control measures are needed to stop transmission of the virus.



these bytches need to ALL be removed when this is over, from the top down!


To be clear the below study was written and published Feb 11th!!! So if they are just now making the adjustment from 2.3 this shyt is ridiculous! That 2.3 better be correct and there better be just cause for them to have settled on that number vs. 5.7 because if they are actually in agreement that it is actually 5.7 now, these nikkas are fukking imbeciles!

The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated
 
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When a city has a high concentration of black populous then these numbers will get out of whack.
In a more multicultural setting, we are not more likely to get it out of the population density


Boston doesn’t have a large number of Black folks, but it seems the blacker neighborhoods are getting hit worse.

Some Boston neighborhoods seem to be getting hit harder by coronavirus than others

This is just by neighborhood, not race, so we’ll need to see where the numbers end up
 

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For those not in the know
R0<1 - The cases will go down
R0 = 1 - The Cases will remain constant
R0 > 1 - The cases will grow by that multiple of R0. R0=5 means 1 person on average will go on to infect 5 people

I read this. Hopefully this is right.


It's dutch so I went to the translate.

"The R0 (R zero) is a number that indicates how quickly a disease can spread. The R0 of the new coronavirus was slightly higher than 2, but has now dropped to about 1. That means that 1 sick person on average only 1 other infected"
 

eXodus

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I read this. Hopefully this is right.


It's dutch so I went to the translate.

"The R0 (R zero) is a number that indicates how quickly a disease can spread. The R0 of the new coronavirus was slightly higher than 2, but has now dropped to about 1. That means that 1 sick person on average only 1 other infected"

Perhaps that’s the current R0 for The Netherlands? Their daily new cases seem to have plateaued
 
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Jesus H. Christ we better hope CDC math is wrong just like there response to this was delayed and wrong as well.

A 5.7 R0 (Naught) is catastrophic levels.

Say starting with 4 people infected and spreading it around and it's a 2.3 R0 (Naught) after 9 rounds of it going around that's about 7,200 thousand people infected.

5.7 R0 (Naught) changes that 7,200 people infected to 25,000,000 million people infected!

I read this. Hopefully this is right.


It's dutch so I went to the translate.

"The R0 (R zero) is a number that indicates how quickly a disease can spread. The R0 of the new coronavirus was slightly higher than 2, but has now dropped to about 1. That means that 1 sick person on average only 1 other infected"


:francis: Idk what to believe anymore.
 

eXodus

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more than likely you're right.
This shyt crazy bro..

Hopefully the reproductive value when UNMITIGATED for this piece of shyt virus is only in the low 2s.

if it’s significantly higher than that, we in the crib until that vaccine hit
 
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