7 April 2020
Video: New York Medical Doctor: Is COVID-19 Really ARDS? Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome? It’s Not Pneumonia?
By Cameron Kyle-Sidell
An interesting analysis by Dr. Cameron Kyle-Sidell, emergency medicine physician based in Brooklyn, New York, affiliated with the Maimonides Medical Center.
Link:
Yo I’m fukking heated right now bruh because the CDC ain’t shyt and is dropping the ball!Jesus H. Christ we better hope CDC math is wrong just like there response to this was delayed and wrong as well.
A 5.7 R0 (Naught) is catastrophic levels.
Say starting with 4 people infected and spreading it around and it's a 2.3 R0 (Naught) after 9 rounds of it going around that's about 7,200 thousand people infected.
5.7 R0 (Naught) changes that 7,200 people infected to 25,000,000 million people infected!
Integrating these estimates and high-resolution real-time human travel and infection data with mathematical models, we estimated that the number of infected individuals during early epidemic double every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6. We further show that quarantine and contact tracing of symptomatic individuals alone may not be effective and early, strong control measures are needed to stop transmission of the virus.
ARTICLE INFORMATION
doi
The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated
History
- February 11, 2020.
When a city has a high concentration of black populous then these numbers will get out of whack.
In a more multicultural setting, we are not more likely to get it out of the population density
I forgot about yo in here spamming the thread with unlimited tweets and videos. One of the reasons I ain’t been posting in here like that anymore
For those not in the know
R0<1 - The cases will go down
R0 = 1 - The Cases will remain constant
R0 > 1 - The cases will grow by that multiple of R0. R0=5 means 1 person on average will go on to infect 5 people
I read this. Hopefully this is right.
It's dutch so I went to the translate.
"The R0 (R zero) is a number that indicates how quickly a disease can spread. The R0 of the new coronavirus was slightly higher than 2, but has now dropped to about 1. That means that 1 sick person on average only 1 other infected"
more than likely you're right.Perhaps that’s the current R0 for The Netherlands? Their daily new cases seem to have plateaued
Jesus H. Christ we better hope CDC math is wrong just like there response to this was delayed and wrong as well.
A 5.7 R0 (Naught) is catastrophic levels.
Say starting with 4 people infected and spreading it around and it's a 2.3 R0 (Naught) after 9 rounds of it going around that's about 7,200 thousand people infected.
5.7 R0 (Naught) changes that 7,200 people infected to 25,000,000 million people infected!
I read this. Hopefully this is right.
It's dutch so I went to the translate.
"The R0 (R zero) is a number that indicates how quickly a disease can spread. The R0 of the new coronavirus was slightly higher than 2, but has now dropped to about 1. That means that 1 sick person on average only 1 other infected"
This shyt crazy bro..more than likely you're right.