The Green Bay Packers traded up in the first round to select Utah State quarterback Jordan Love. The cost was a fourth-round pick. Here’s a quick analysis:
PROS
1) Love has the physical traits that get quarterbacks drafted in the top-10. He has size (6-4, 225), speed (4.7), and a rocket for a right arm. He stands strong in the pocket and can sidestep the rush, brush off defenders and make difficult, off-balance throws. When he’s on, there aren’t many quarterbacks that are more fun and exciting to watch.
2) While Love will need at least a year or two before he’s ready to start in the NFL, he should be an immediate upgrade over current backup and former undrafted free agent Tim Boyle. The Packers had almost no chance to win games without Aaron Rodgers in recent seasons; they might actually have a chance now.
3) If GM Brian Gutekunst is right in his assessment of Love, the Packers have found their quarterback of the future. It’s long been believed by GMs that the worst time to find a QB is when you desperately need a QB.
CONS
1) Love won’t make the Packers better next season. He can’t catch passes, block blitzing outside linebackers, tackle running backs at the point of attack, or cover tight ends over the middle of the field. Simply put, he won’t help the Packers take that next step from the NFC championship game to the Super Bowl.
2) Love was the fourth quarterback taken in the first round, and history hasn’t been kind to other fourth choices this century. Rex Grossman (2003), Christian Ponder (2011), and Brandon Weeden (2012) all disappointed to varying degrees, and Josh Rosen (2018) might be on his way to joining them. It’s a small sample size, but it suggests that there are rarely four QBs worth taking in the first round. In fact, there are rarely three.
3) While Love can be fun and exciting to watch when he’s on, he’s laborious and infuriating to watch when he’s not. After a terrific sophomore season, he regressed as a junior. While it’s true his supporting cast was weaker, many of his 17 interceptions had nothing to do with his offensive line or his receivers. He simply made a lot of bad decisions and bad throws. Here’s just one of the numerous examples I saw on tape.
EARLY PREDICTION
I want to see Love in person before I render a strong opinion about his future, but I’ve made it clear the past few weeks that I’m not a big fan. He reminds me too much of DeShon Kizer, whom Gutekunst wanted to draft in 2017 and then traded for in 2018. I also see a lot of Jameis Winston (Ex-Bucs) and Josh Allen (Bills) when I watch his tape. While my initial reaction on social media was overly emotional, I do believe what I opined on Facebook a few minutes after the choice was made. To paraphrase, I wrote that in five years, Packers fans would look back at today as the beginning of the end of Gutekunst’s career in Green Bay.