Boiler Room: The Official Stock Market Discussion

7oclock

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Crude might be moving against you here. More Iraq nonsense and an easing of the export ban.


the easing doesn't affect crude oil

oil production is in iraq south, the Iraq insurgents are in the North - exhausted run in oil showed up today even with the insurgents capturing more areas in the north.
 
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the easing doesn't affect crude oil

oil production is in iraq south, the Iraq insurgents are in the North - exhausted run in oil showed up today even with the insurgents capturing more areas in the north.
It might not right now directly, but that export ban isnt going to last.
 

7oclock

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Crude might be moving against you here. More Iraq nonsense and an easing of the export ban.


also the way i read it, if this "light oil" is opened for international shipping you have the following effects:

1. you have potentially another player in the fuel field (with crude) and thus could affect demand of crude/increase supply of fuel, which would lower international prices

2. producers who have all this excess supply can ship outside the US this excess and make a profit
 
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maybe but i don't see how additional capacity would drive international fuel prices up
It won't. The argument is that the spread between prices in the US and the Brent will close, so oil produced in the US will be more expensive.

I'm not really sure why this news caused that jump in the Brent, but, like I said, this shyt is so news driven and less about fundamentals.

Edit: Nvm I read wrong. US futures went up. Brent hasn't. that makes sense.
 

Hiphoplives4eva

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1. not saying this is the advice you should follow, I have an entire portfolio that is invested in other things - a natural hedge if oil does continue upward in the short term

2. what broker do you use?

3. no margin account is necessary for buying naked call/pull or spreads.

4. You should be able to find option chains in your online brokerage account and select the month of expiry and the strike price for a ticker.

no doubt. just going to put a little cash here and see what happens. Any websites you recommend i check out to look into this?

My broker is Etrade BTW.
 

Hiphoplives4eva

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Looking for a safe investment 1+ year out. Do you guys think PFE will be a good hold for 1 year? Any other recs would be greatly appreciated

Pfizer is a solid blue chipper, at some pretty hisotric lows right now so it might be a good jump in point. Only problem is that there star drug Lipitor goes generic in November. This will likely result in substantial declines in revenue in subsequent quarters (i.e Q1 2015). I would honestly short this stock if i were a betting man.

However they are a formidable pharmeceutical company, so their viability long term is still good, given their substantial war chest. I can definitely see this as a good buy and hold for at least 4-5 years before you expect any decent returns.

The stock will likely continue to fall until late 2015 i think...
 

7oclock

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no doubt. just going to put a little cash here and see what happens. Any websites you recommend i check out to look into this?

My broker is Etrade BTW.


i would start with investopedia and theoptionsguide to get the basics down and paper trading to learn the concepts

get off the etrade platform, how much are you paying in commission (if you don't mind me asking)

if you're serious, look into optionsexpress (expensive but great tools and customer service), thinkorswim, and if you really feel comfortable placetrade or interactive brokers. The latter is definitely less user friendly but commissions are the best.
 

7oclock

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Oil aint pulling back breh. Iraq and the summer season will insure High gas prices for the forseeable future.


i keep talking about oil prices, but what I'm short is CVX, OIH, and the XLE. I don't necessary need oil prices to fall - the summer increase is built into forecasts. Any mitigation or realization that the iraqi issue has no affect on oil prices and reaction to Commerce dept potential easing us shipments will cause less volatility, which should see the run up in these companies retrace backwards.

That's what I'm playing for - US releases oil supply today as well. So looking at it from a micro point of view - there's a good chance to see a pull back. XLE dropped 2% yesterday another pullback today and I should be good/
 
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