Boiler Room: The Official Stock Market Discussion

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Domingo Halliburton

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dish lowry said:
ford is a great long term stock imo. i have it in my roth & never worry about it.

upside: #1 in trucks, best hybrids, one of the most recognized brands, good dividends. and they're at the forefront of self-driving cars.

https://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/2018/03/19/ford-pickup-trucks-fseries-facebook/438515002/

+ teaming up with domino's, one of the best stocks out there.


at worst, it'll move sideways for a couple years and be kinda frustrating. but they're aggressive & they have a plan.
Click to expand...


It always move sideways. Look at their chart for the past 100 years.
 
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dish lowry said:
ford is a great long term stock imo. i have it in my roth & never worry about it.

upside: #1 in trucks, best hybrids, one of the most recognized brands, good dividends. and they're at the forefront of self-driving cars.

https://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/2018/03/19/ford-pickup-trucks-fseries-facebook/438515002/

+ teaming up with domino's, one of the best stocks out there.


at worst, it'll move sideways for a couple years and be kinda frustrating. but they're aggressive & they have a plan.
Click to expand...



I agree that Ford may be a good buy.

Sedan and Econ car sales have been declining for years. Toyota is regrouping (focusing more on the Tacoma, Tundra, Rav4, highlanger, and bring back the FJ cruiser). Ford went straight to the point and killed all car lines except the mustang. Ford will now only sell the F-150/250, Ranger, Bronco, and it's SUV's. There will be hybrid and electric versions of all their platforms.

I think the new Ranger and Bronco can overtake the current respective segment leaders (Toyota Tacoma and Nissan Rouge). GM tried to take out the Tacoma with the Colorado/Canyon, but lost by a large margin. However, in the world Market, the Ranger has either closely matched or overtaken the world's #1 truck (the Toyota Hilux) in foreign national markets.

If the Ranger beats the Tacoma, which I think it has a good shot at, Ford will own the entire North American truck market. I believe that trucks are the most profitable platforms right now.


A quick look at some important markets.

Top 30 cars in America
Top 30 Best-Selling Vehicles In America - March 2018 -


top 10 Trucks
Top 11 Best-Selling Pickup Trucks In America – March 2018 -

Quick Analysis

Toyota tried to save the "Car" with a big remodel of the Camry, giving it 300+ hp and a more sportly look, but while initial sales picked up, Sales for the Camry fell compared to March of 2017.

Toyota is the king of the Sedan, and even they couldn't save it. Further proof, the Corolla, the king of the econ cars, continues to have sales fall through the roof. Even the civic is having a hard time now.

But look at the cars with the biggest percentage increase in sales for March 2018

Jeep Compass
Mazda CX-5
GMC Terrain
Jeep Wrangler
Chevrolet Equinox
Jeep Cherokee
Toyota Tacoma
Nissan Sentra
Nissan Rogue
Toyota RAV4
Toyota Highlander


notice something?

The biggest winners right now are Mid size and cross-over SUVs. Oh look what else is there? The Champion Mid-size truck.

The Bronco and the Ranger fit right in with this pack.

The Bronco and the Ranger have the heritage, and they are probably going to have best in class towing, best in class torque/horse power, and best in class fuel economy thanks to Ford Ecoboost engines and transmissions.

Ford is a definite buy
 
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Camile.Bidan

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Goldz-n-hoez said:
gteme0ifumu01.png
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I have had insider information for the last 10 years on dozens of different companies. This included earnings, profit, major transactions and Management shake-ups.

9 times out of 10, I would not have made any money even with my insider non-public information. I have seen earnings beat estimates, which didn't result in higher stock prices, and I have seen earnings misses that didn't result in falling stock prices.

Honestly, it seems like the market reacts to information almost arbitrarily.

Don't rely on quarterly earnings or Technicals

There is one Youtube personality that was using "advanced" technicals to track a former of client of mine. He had all these charts, but he really didn't seem to understand what was pushing the trendline for this Company. I knew with 60 -70% confidence because I had access to the books and information that the public did not. I knew that one event was going to tank or boost this stock, and he didn't make any mention of it or even cared to research what it could be. He just analyzed everything using trendlines and technicals.

Of course the event actually happened and the stock lost 99% of its value in one day. This guy's technicals couldn't predicted this event even though a few google searches would have led him down the right path.
 
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Camile.Bidan said:
I have had insider information for the last 10 years on dozens of different companies. This included earnings, profit, major transactions and Management shake-ups.

9 times out of 10, I would not have made any money even with my insider non-public information. I have seen earnings beat estimates, which didn't result in higher stock prices, and I have seen earnings misses that didn't result in falling stock prices.

Honestly, it seems like the market reacts to information almost arbitrarily.

Don't rely on quarterly earnings or Technicals

There is one Youtube personality that was using "advanced" technicals to track a former of client of mine. He had all these charts, but he really didn't seem to understand what was pushing the trendline for this Company. I knew with 60 -70% confidence because I had access to the books and information that the public did not. I knew that one event was going to tank or boost this stock, and he didn't make any mention of it or even cared to research what it could be. He just analyzed everything using trendlines and technicals.

Of course the event actually happened and the stock lost 99% of its value in one day. This guy's technicals couldn't predicted this event even though a few google searches would have led him down the right path.
Click to expand...
:gucci:
 
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I bought this stock at around $40, and it's hovering around $55-49. In january, it was at $25. CRISPR is a definitely a cutting edge technology and there was a big 60 Minutes piece on it last night.

I am buying and holding for the moment. I feel it's a good buy.

CRISPR Therapeutics AG
 
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Futuristic Eskimo

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Camile.Bidan said:
Having been investing for years... playing the day trading game is the most stupid idea ever.

You ain't going to beat the market at on a ten or 5 year average.

Don't pick stocks. Just buy ETFs or vanguard mutual funds and that's it.

If you have a few 100 thousand sitting around, it's way better to either buy rental property or open sometype of small business.


Everyone is a stock genius in a bull market, then they somehow all become socialists and communist in a bear market.
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Camile.Bidan said:
I bought this stock at around $40, and it's hovering around $55-49. In january, it was at $25. CRISPR is a definitely a cutting edge technology and there was a big 60 Minutes piece on it last night.

I am buying and holding for the moment. I feel it's a good buy.

CRISPR Therapeutics AG
Click to expand...
:heh:
 
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