You said a lot of things that are questionable, but I don't have time right now to go through all of it. I would fall back on stating what facts are and are not relevant in such a matter of fact matter. You make numerous suppositions--including taking Cash Money's attorneys words at face value and then try to extrapolate as to how the case will turn out in something as complicated as contract law. The proper answer here is simple--there are questions on both sides and absent knowledge of the applicable law and contractual agreements, determining how this will result is premature. This is not like me literally reading the Wells report and stating how the Brady case would go if it showed up in front of a judge.
I get that we're all trying to help here, but there simply is not enough information for you to make anything resembling a strong credible analysis. When I stated "what this looks like" I was referring to a tactic not the actual merits of the case which is what you're trying to do extensively--no credible transaction/corporate/contract attorney would attempt to do what you're doing right now. The fact that you said I pointed out general things that aren't relevant is a red flag that you've never actually handled a case like this in your life or had to deal with damages calculations. My opinion is simple--we do not have enough facts to be commenting.
There were requests early in thread for people to help make sense of the situation and Ive tried to do extensively.
If you want to fall back on stating what facts are, then state that Wayne's 4 album obligation was not fulfilled and he is still technically signed to CMR, rather than pu pu the situation by saying 'well FWA was released for free and is found elsewhere' (paraphrasing). FWA was not even released for free as the rights of it were transferred by Wayne to Tidal in return for tangible compensation. Tidal released FWA as a part of their service to paying customers.
If Wayne released FWA as a mixtape for free, or without a transfer of licensing to another business, there would be no grounds for a law-suit against Tidal. Then you tried to bolster
your opinion of the merits of the case by considering Apple/Google/Spotify..groups that are not listed in the lawsuit nor are groups that Wayne sold the licensing rights to (I would like to see information on how they got access to the album, havent looked that up)..which is a red-flag
to me since you are being both off-base and hypocritical by saying I am not doing anything to resemble credible analysis while you have only pointed to a false designation of FWA being a free release and to parties not being apart of the lawsuit. Why doesn't everyone just sue YouTube in a class action lawsuit then? Because of copyright ownership, semantics/legalize, poor legal standing, apathy or lack of funds to finance a law-suit. All they can do, and some can do, is request an injunction of sorts and removal based on copyrights. And guess what? Baby filed an injunction on the streaming of FWA...
And further, I have also, on numerous occasions, alluded to tactics. Clearly, as both lawsuits are still pending and there are pertinent pieces of information that haven't been released yet, it is too soon to give a definitive judgement...and also, clearly, we are both not judges in the first place so this whole endeavor is partially hypothetical and subjective in regards to the interpretation of the law in the jurisdiction in which the cases are being tried. However, there is no need for you to cast aspersions towards what I have spent way too much time in here on doing with a weakly intentioned caveat of "we're all trying to help here". You called me out for not acknowledging the points you raised, then I promptly acknowledged the points you made and did so in depth, and you are now saying you didnt read the response you asked for and that we don't have enough facts to be commenting on the case..yet commented on my post without being aware of all the information presented in it.
In this case, as with all cases, judgements can go either way and potentially be a surprising ruling..and I did nothing to claim (and I apologize if I implied otherwise) "this is going to happen, 100% sure" other than to say: Tidal is in big trouble with the lawsuit (unlikely to be 50m) on legal grounds pending the release of more copyright/licensing information, based on the information provided that Wayne has strong merits in getting money for the advance if not more and that Baby seems to have reasonably strong legal standing in both cases to at least break even. These assertions have been somewhat supported by another poster here who has said that their expertise is in IP...yet, Im pretty sure most everyone in here is reasonable enough to understand that none of my words, or anyone else's words, are gospel, specifically regarding pending lawsuits.