Surprising. The movie award shows are the only ones I like/respect though.They got jungle book as a dark horse
Awards Season: The Road to the 2017 Oscars.
- Thread starter the next guy
- Start date
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
BEST PICTURE
1. “La La Land” (9/2 odds)
Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs(Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone(Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today),Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogetEbert.com).
2. “Manchester by the Sea” (13/2 odds)
Tim Gray (Variety), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson(Indiewire)
3. “Fences” (10/1 odds)
4. “Moonlight” (10/1 odds)
5. “Loving” (10/1 odds)
6. “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” (11/1 odds)
Michael Musto (Out.com),
7. “Lion” (14/1 odds)
8. “Silence” (20/1 odds)
9. “Arrival” (22/1odds)
10. “The Birth of a Nation” (33/1 odds)
Experts’ Oscars 2017 predictions for Best Picture: ‘La La Land’ widens lead
1. “La La Land” (9/2 odds)
Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs(Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone(Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Brian Truitt (USA Today),Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogetEbert.com).
2. “Manchester by the Sea” (13/2 odds)
Tim Gray (Variety), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson(Indiewire)
3. “Fences” (10/1 odds)
4. “Moonlight” (10/1 odds)
5. “Loving” (10/1 odds)
6. “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” (11/1 odds)
Michael Musto (Out.com),
7. “Lion” (14/1 odds)
8. “Silence” (20/1 odds)
9. “Arrival” (22/1odds)
10. “The Birth of a Nation” (33/1 odds)
Experts’ Oscars 2017 predictions for Best Picture: ‘La La Land’ widens lead
The awards season has officially kicked off with the Gotham Awards nominations:
Best Feature
Certain Women
Kelly Reichardt, director; Neil Kopp, Vincent Savino, Anish Savjani, producers (IFC Films)
Everybody Wants Some!!
Richard Linklater, director; Megan Ellison, Ginger Sledge, Richard Linklater, producers (Paramount Pictures)
Manchester by the Sea
Kenneth Lonergan, director; Kimberly Steward, Matt Damon, Chris Moore, Lauren Beck, Kevin J. Walsh, producers (Amazon Studios)
Moonlight
Barry Jenkins, director; Adele Romanski, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, producers (A24)
Paterson
Jim Jarmusch, director; Joshua Astrachan, Carter Logan, producers (Amazon Studios)
Best Actor
Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios)
Jeff Bridges in Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Adam Driver in Paterson (Amazon Studios)
Joel Edgerton in Loving (Focus Features)
Craig Robinson in Morris from America (A24)
Best Actress
Kate Beckinsale in Love & Friendship (Amazon Studios)
Annette Bening in 20th Century Women (A24)
Isabelle Huppert in Elle (Sony Pictures Classics)
Ruth Negga in Loving (Focus Features)
Natalie Portman in Jackie (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
Best Screenplay
Hell or High Water, Taylor Sheridan (CBS Films)
Love & Friendship, Whit Stillman (Amazon Studios)
Manchester by the Sea, Kenneth Lonergan (Amazon Studios)
Moonlight, Story by Tarell Alvin McCraney; Screenplay by Barry Jenkins (A24)
Paterson, Jim Jarmusch (Amazon Studios)
Breakthrough Actor
Lily Gladstone in Certain Women (IFC Films)
Lucas Hedges in Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios)
Royalty Hightower in The Fits (Oscilloscope Laboratories)
Sasha Lane in American Honey (A24)
Anya Taylor-Joy in The Witch (A24)
The 2016 Best Actor/Best Actress and Breakthrough Actor nominating panels also voted to award a special Gotham Jury Award for ensemble performance to Moonlight, “in which actors at all levels of experience give outstanding performances that speak eloquently to one another both within and across each chapter of the story.” The awards will go to actors Mahershala Ali, Naomie Harris, Alex Hibbert, André Holland, Jharrel Jerome, Janelle Monáe, Jaden Piner, Trevante Rhodes, and Ashton Sanders.
Best Feature
Certain Women
Kelly Reichardt, director; Neil Kopp, Vincent Savino, Anish Savjani, producers (IFC Films)
Everybody Wants Some!!
Richard Linklater, director; Megan Ellison, Ginger Sledge, Richard Linklater, producers (Paramount Pictures)
Manchester by the Sea
Kenneth Lonergan, director; Kimberly Steward, Matt Damon, Chris Moore, Lauren Beck, Kevin J. Walsh, producers (Amazon Studios)
Moonlight
Barry Jenkins, director; Adele Romanski, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, producers (A24)
Paterson
Jim Jarmusch, director; Joshua Astrachan, Carter Logan, producers (Amazon Studios)
Best Actor
Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios)
Jeff Bridges in Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Adam Driver in Paterson (Amazon Studios)
Joel Edgerton in Loving (Focus Features)
Craig Robinson in Morris from America (A24)
Best Actress
Kate Beckinsale in Love & Friendship (Amazon Studios)
Annette Bening in 20th Century Women (A24)
Isabelle Huppert in Elle (Sony Pictures Classics)
Ruth Negga in Loving (Focus Features)
Natalie Portman in Jackie (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
Best Screenplay
Hell or High Water, Taylor Sheridan (CBS Films)
Love & Friendship, Whit Stillman (Amazon Studios)
Manchester by the Sea, Kenneth Lonergan (Amazon Studios)
Moonlight, Story by Tarell Alvin McCraney; Screenplay by Barry Jenkins (A24)
Paterson, Jim Jarmusch (Amazon Studios)
Breakthrough Actor
Lily Gladstone in Certain Women (IFC Films)
Lucas Hedges in Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios)
Royalty Hightower in The Fits (Oscilloscope Laboratories)
Sasha Lane in American Honey (A24)
Anya Taylor-Joy in The Witch (A24)
The 2016 Best Actor/Best Actress and Breakthrough Actor nominating panels also voted to award a special Gotham Jury Award for ensemble performance to Moonlight, “in which actors at all levels of experience give outstanding performances that speak eloquently to one another both within and across each chapter of the story.” The awards will go to actors Mahershala Ali, Naomie Harris, Alex Hibbert, André Holland, Jharrel Jerome, Janelle Monáe, Jaden Piner, Trevante Rhodes, and Ashton Sanders.
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali,Moonlight. A consensus is building around Ali as theMoonlight actor with the likeliest shot at a nomination in this category, and the highly likable performer, who plays a sympathetic drug dealer, will win fans for as long as he's willing to do the awards-season pole dance.
Andre Holland,Moonlight. Honestly, you could fill out all five of the spots in this category withthe men of Moonlight, and I wonder whether there's room for two of the film's performers. Momentum is building around Ali, but don't count out Holland, who is enormously appealing in the film's final third. At times, his puppy-dog longing for our protagonist reminded me of Jake Gyllenhaal's Oscar-nominated Brokebackperformance.
@Gil Scott-Heroin
Oscar Futures: Will Voters Find Magic In Moonlight?
Mahershala Ali,Moonlight. A consensus is building around Ali as theMoonlight actor with the likeliest shot at a nomination in this category, and the highly likable performer, who plays a sympathetic drug dealer, will win fans for as long as he's willing to do the awards-season pole dance.
Andre Holland,Moonlight. Honestly, you could fill out all five of the spots in this category withthe men of Moonlight, and I wonder whether there's room for two of the film's performers. Momentum is building around Ali, but don't count out Holland, who is enormously appealing in the film's final third. At times, his puppy-dog longing for our protagonist reminded me of Jake Gyllenhaal's Oscar-nominated Brokebackperformance.
@Gil Scott-Heroin
Oscar Futures: Will Voters Find Magic In Moonlight?
StraxStrax
I'm selling these fine leather jackets
Jeff Bridges was not in a leading role
The Gotham Awards don't have a supporting category.
They didn't even have a Best Actor/Actress category until a few years ago. They used to lump all actors into the Breakthrough Actor category.
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
Boom: 'Fences' Viola Davis Will Campaign For The Best Supporting Actress Oscar
Gives her a better shot at winning, but I hope Harris still gets nominated as well.
Last edited:
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
TheGodling
Los Ingobernables de Sala de Cine
I was iffy on whether it would get a Best Picture nom. I figured it was a guarantee to get acting nominations for Jeff Bridges and Ben Foster though.
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
First media screening reactions
Last edited:
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
Dr. Narcisse
Veteran
Hidden Figures. This drama about math-whiz black women who were essential to the space race has finally begun screening, and though it's fairly conventional, it's also the sort of come-together crowd-pleaser that could feel like a post-Trump tonic. Several films in this year's Oscars conversation tackle racial issues and the black experience, but Hidden Figures is the only one to do it with populist polish, and if it becomes the big blockbuster hit it's built to be, there could be room for it in the Best Picture derby.
Live By Night. Affleck's follow-up to his Oscar-winning Argo is still unusually embargoed: No reviews or social-media reactions are permitted until a few days before its Christmas release date, though I've been told that the film is okay to discuss in the context of awards-season spitballing. So let me see if I can get away with saying that this handsomely mounted gangster movie is likely to be a major contender in below-the-line categories — the production design, cinematography, and costumes are all standouts — though it asserts itself more as a box-office play than an Oscar sure shot.
Taraji P. Henson, Hidden Figures. An Oscar and Emmy nominee, Henson capably anchors Hidden Figures, though her lead is the most low-key of the film's main trio. There is likely an awards-season future for her — the Golden Globes will have enough room in the dramatic actress category, and SAG voters will be the most partial to her — but aside from one outburst that is begging to be her Oscars clip, she's in danger of being too tamped down for the Academy.Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane. After back-to-back Oscar nods for The Help and Zero Dark Thirty, Chastain has put in her best work in mostly underseen movies like A Most Violent Year and The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby. Miss Sloane is flashier on its face — Chastain has many a major moment as a fierce, amoral lobbyist — but it's not coming from a major distributor and the mixed reviews won't make this top of pile.
Best Supporting Actor
Kevin Costner, Hidden Figures. The other characters in Hidden Figures talk about Costner's stern NASA boss like he's a tyrant who'll take the whole movie to grow a heart, but it's clear that after Costner was cast, the actor decided to go in a different direction: He's enormously sympathetic to Taraji P. Henson from the get-go, and his character literally takes a hammer to racism in a key scene where he integrates NASA by smashing a segregation sign. That said, Costner is so appealing that he could be a real threat in this still-fluid category.
Janelle Monáe, Hidden Figures. You have to hand it to Miss Monáe: After years of fame as a singer, she finally took the plunge into film acting with two movies that are now contenders for Best Picture, Moonlight andHidden Figures. The latter allows her some major moments that seem tailor-made for Oscar: Monáe’s aspiring engineer gets most of the film's jokes and two of its major stand-up-and-cheer moments, and her arc transcends the usual expectations for a comic-relief part. The only thing that gives me pause is a potential vote split with her co-star Octavia Spencer, a former Best Supporting Actress winner.
Sienna Miller, Live By Night. After years of decorative, trimmed-down, or simply overlooked work, Miller is starting to really come into her own as an actress, and she's got a very striking role in Live By Night as a gangster's moll with a rude Irish accent and irresistible, give-no-fukks temperament. The movie leaves you wanting more of her, though sometimes when it comes to Oscar contention, it's better to have too much rather than not enough.
Oscar Futures: Is Ben Affleck’s Live by Night a Contender?
Live By Night. Affleck's follow-up to his Oscar-winning Argo is still unusually embargoed: No reviews or social-media reactions are permitted until a few days before its Christmas release date, though I've been told that the film is okay to discuss in the context of awards-season spitballing. So let me see if I can get away with saying that this handsomely mounted gangster movie is likely to be a major contender in below-the-line categories — the production design, cinematography, and costumes are all standouts — though it asserts itself more as a box-office play than an Oscar sure shot.
Taraji P. Henson, Hidden Figures. An Oscar and Emmy nominee, Henson capably anchors Hidden Figures, though her lead is the most low-key of the film's main trio. There is likely an awards-season future for her — the Golden Globes will have enough room in the dramatic actress category, and SAG voters will be the most partial to her — but aside from one outburst that is begging to be her Oscars clip, she's in danger of being too tamped down for the Academy.Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane. After back-to-back Oscar nods for The Help and Zero Dark Thirty, Chastain has put in her best work in mostly underseen movies like A Most Violent Year and The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby. Miss Sloane is flashier on its face — Chastain has many a major moment as a fierce, amoral lobbyist — but it's not coming from a major distributor and the mixed reviews won't make this top of pile.
Best Supporting Actor
Kevin Costner, Hidden Figures. The other characters in Hidden Figures talk about Costner's stern NASA boss like he's a tyrant who'll take the whole movie to grow a heart, but it's clear that after Costner was cast, the actor decided to go in a different direction: He's enormously sympathetic to Taraji P. Henson from the get-go, and his character literally takes a hammer to racism in a key scene where he integrates NASA by smashing a segregation sign. That said, Costner is so appealing that he could be a real threat in this still-fluid category.
Janelle Monáe, Hidden Figures. You have to hand it to Miss Monáe: After years of fame as a singer, she finally took the plunge into film acting with two movies that are now contenders for Best Picture, Moonlight andHidden Figures. The latter allows her some major moments that seem tailor-made for Oscar: Monáe’s aspiring engineer gets most of the film's jokes and two of its major stand-up-and-cheer moments, and her arc transcends the usual expectations for a comic-relief part. The only thing that gives me pause is a potential vote split with her co-star Octavia Spencer, a former Best Supporting Actress winner.
Sienna Miller, Live By Night. After years of decorative, trimmed-down, or simply overlooked work, Miller is starting to really come into her own as an actress, and she's got a very striking role in Live By Night as a gangster's moll with a rude Irish accent and irresistible, give-no-fukks temperament. The movie leaves you wanting more of her, though sometimes when it comes to Oscar contention, it's better to have too much rather than not enough.
Oscar Futures: Is Ben Affleck’s Live by Night a Contender?