n1gga destroyed evidence, and apparently isn't cooperating at all. He gonna do some time. I dont care how good the lawyer is. Someone will cut a deal, but they gonna go after the famous dude thinking he's above the law. Mass got some strict az gun laws too, they gonna start hittin this n1gga with all kinds of charges.
I don't care about any of the factors you listed
if he gets accesory or lower he's not doing jailtime..there's no gun anywhere in this equation. If there is, it's a different story.
so short of confessions or overwhelming evidence (not just suspicious activity), this negga is going to be alright